
LAD @ LAA





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 3rd
03/09/24 21:38:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Dodgers vs Angels Matchup Today
Angel Stadium profiles as the #9 field in the majors for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 82°.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Drury will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
When it comes to his batting average, Brandon Drury has had bad variance on his side this year. His .160 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .218.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Tommy Edman will get to bat from his good side against Reid Detmers in today’s game.
Tommy Edman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 12.6% to 20.6%.
As it relates to his BABIP talent, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-best park in MLB for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.
Angel Stadium has the shortest fences in the majors.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Angel Stadium ranks as the #8 field in the majors for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage today.
Angel Stadium ranks as the #9 park in MLB for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Mickey Moniak will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Mickey Moniak will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
Mickey Moniak has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.6% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Taylor Ward is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 6th-best batter in the game when it comes to his batting average ability.
Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Freddie Freeman has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.9% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last 7 days.
Mookie Betts projects as the 14th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mookie Betts is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Taylor in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Chris Taylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Reid Detmers in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 7th-best stadium in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Zach Neto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
As it relates to his home run skill, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Batting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Kike Hernandez will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Over the last 14 days, Kike Hernandez has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 5% to 11.8%.
Kike Hernandez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.1-mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Reid Detmers in the 85th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.
Recording 93.9 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Reid Detmers ranks in the 84th percentile.
Angel Stadium ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Reid Detmers has a reverse platoon split and has the benefit of facing 7 opposite-handed bats in this game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Reid Detmers will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Nolan Schanuel is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Nolan Schanuel will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Smith in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Will Smith is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Jo Adell has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.7-mph EV.
The 2nd-best projected batting order of the day in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward, Angel Stadium ranks as the #7 stadium in the majors for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Anthony Rendon ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Anthony Rendon is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
The Los Angeles Angels have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games, Walker Buehler will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.
Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.
When it comes to his home run talent, Logan O’Hoppe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Logan O’Hoppe is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Will Smith will have an edge in today’s game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 12th-best hitter in the game.
Angel Stadium profiles as the #8 venue in baseball for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Teoscar Hernandez will have the handedness advantage against Reid Detmers in today’s game.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Logan O’Hoppe ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Logan O’Hoppe will hold that advantage today.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.294) provides evidence that Chris Taylor has had bad variance on his side this year with his .253 actual wOBA.
Batting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Mookie Betts will have an edge in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Anthony Rendon will hold that advantage today.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Taylor Ward will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The Los Angeles Angels have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Logan O’Hoppe, Mickey Moniak, Jo Adell).
Brandon Drury has been unlucky this year, notching a .216 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .300 — a .084 disparity.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Zach Neto will hold that advantage today.
Chris Taylor’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 40.4% to 46.3%.
Negative Match Player Stats with Dodgers vs Angels
Brandon Drury is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Angel Stadium has the 10th-deepest left field fences among all stadiums.
Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Brandon Drury will have a tough matchup today.
Brandon Drury has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 11.1% rate last year has dropped off to 4.1% this year.
Brandon Drury’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 89.8-mph figure last year has dropped off to 87.1-mph.
Tommy Edman is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.
Tommy Edman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Tommy Edman has struggled with his Barrel%; his 5.1% rate last year has dropped off to 0% this year.
Tommy Edman’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 90.6-mph average last season has dropped to 86.7-mph.
Teoscar Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Teoscar Hernandez’s launch angle lately (6.3° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 9.5° seasonal mark.
From last season to this one, Teoscar Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 47.7% to 42.7%.
Jo Adell is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.
Walker Buehler will have the handedness advantage over Jo Adell today.
Over the past 14 days, Jo Adell’s 3.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.1%.
Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.
20% of the time that Mickey Moniak has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.
Mickey Moniak’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 12% on the season to 5.3% over the last two weeks.
Posting a .223 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Mickey Moniak is ranked in the 17th percentile.
As it relates to plate discipline, Mickey Moniak’s talent is quite bad, posting a 5.01 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 7th percentile.
Walker Buehler will hold the platoon advantage against Taylor Ward today.
Taylor Ward’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 93.2-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 90.7-mph over the past 7 days.
Hitting from the same side that Reid Detmers throws from, Freddie Freeman meets a tough challenge today.
In today’s matchup, Freddie Freeman is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.9% rate (88th percentile).
Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Mookie Betts pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mookie Betts today.
Mookie Betts has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 12.5% rate last year has decreased to 5.9% this season.
Mookie Betts’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 92.4-mph average last year has decreased to 90.3-mph.
Over the last two weeks, Mookie Betts’s 10.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.9%.
Chris Taylor is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
This year, Chris Taylor has been pulled from the game early in 19% of his appearances when starting against left-handed pitcher.
Chris Taylor will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Chris Taylor’s 85.5-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in the league this year: 16th percentile.
Hitting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Zach Neto will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
Zach Neto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Zach Neto’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, falling from 41.1% on the season to 14.3% in the last week.
Kike Hernandez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Kike Hernandez is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.
Kike Hernandez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 23% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kike Hernandez in today’s matchup.
Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the Los Angeles Dodgers with a 20.3% underlying K%.
Reid Detmers’s slider usage has dropped by 8.5% from last season to this one (32% to 23.5%) .
Reid Detmers’s 2138-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 22nd percentile among all starters.
Considering the 0.33 discrepancy between Reid Detmers’s 10.00 K/9 and his 9.67 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to see worse results in the future.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 4th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Nolan Schanuel has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.2-mph dropping to 83.3-mph in the past 14 days.
Over the last week, Nolan Schanuel’s 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46.7%.
In terms of his home runs, Nolan Schanuel has had positive variance on his side this year. His 13.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 9.9.
Ranking in the 0th percentile, the hardest ball Nolan Schanuel has made contact with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 103.9 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power skill.
Ranking in the 8th percentile, Jo Adell sports a .246 BABIP this year.
Will Smith will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Over the past week, Will Smith’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 21.4%.
Placing in the 22nd percentile, Will Smith sits with a .272 BABIP this year.
Reid Detmers has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his ERA this year; his 6.14 rate is significantly inflated relative to his 4.42 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
Reid Detmers has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in the league on balls in play this year with a .335 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.
Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Anthony Rendon will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.
Anthony Rendon’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (9.5°) is considerably lower than his 12.7° figure last year.
In the past two weeks, Anthony Rendon’s 9.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.9%.
In terms of power, Anthony Rendon is ranked in the 0th percentile, having paced 0 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.
With 6 bats of the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected offense, Walker Buehler ought to benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.
Walker Buehler was in good form in his last GS and gave up 2 ER.
Among all starters, Walker Buehler’s fastball velocity of 94.6 mph grades out in the 81st percentile this year.
Walker Buehler has been unlucky this year, notching a 5.51 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.51 — a 1 discrepancy.
Batting from the same side that Reid Detmers throws from, Shohei Ohtani faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Shohei Ohtani will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Logan O’Hoppe encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Logan O’Hoppe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Logan O’Hoppe has shown poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 9th percentile with a 4.83 K/BB rate.
Sporting a .181 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Nolan Schanuel grades out in the 19th percentile.
Chris Taylor’s launch angle this season (16.8°) is a significant dropoff from his 21.2° mark last year.
Over the past 7 days, Kike Hernandez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.9%.
Over the past 7 days, Zach Neto’s 7.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.9%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Walker Buehler to throw 85 pitches today (7th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Placing in the 13th percentile, Walker Buehler posted a 7.5% Swinging Strike% this year.
Walker Buehler has posted a 16% strikeout rate this year, placing in the 20th percentile.
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