D-Backs @ Dodgers Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Arizona Diamondbacks Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Locklear in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Tyler Locklear is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Dodger Stadium projects as the #1 venue in the majors for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league.

In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.

The #6 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the league.

Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

The #1 field in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

Dodger Stadium profiles as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Shohei Ohtani hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Enrique Hernandez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Enrique Hernandez will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s game.

Enrique Hernandez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

Mookie Betts’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Mookie Betts will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Smith in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Will Smith will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

Tyler Glasnow projects as the 10th-best starter in the league right now as it relates to his strikeout skill, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler Locklear, Blaze Alexander, Adrian Del Castillo).

Tyler Glasnow will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his metrics across the board.

Tyler Glasnow was on point in his last game started and posted 8 strikeouts.

Tyler Glasnow’s 2535-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 95th percentile among all starting pitchers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tyler Glasnow in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the Arizona Diamondbacks today has an estimated true talent wOBA of .309, which is a good deal lower than their actual wOBA of .330 this year.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward,Tyler Glasnow was rolling in his last game started and allowed 0 ER.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run skill, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Teoscar Hernandez will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Miguel Rojas will have an edge in today’s game.

Miguel Rojas will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Tyler Glasnow.

Recording 91.8 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Eduardo Rodriguez falls in the 78th percentile.

Compared to their .345 overall projected rate, the .333 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Los Angeles Dodgers projected batting order in this game suggests this version of the lineup significantly a bit watered down.

Due to his reverse platoon split, Eduardo Rodriguez will benefit from being matched up with 7 hitters in the projected batting order who hit from the other side in this outing.

Eduardo Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, putting up a 5.67 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.40 — a 1.27 disparity.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Shohei Ohtani, Michael Conforto, Alexander Freeland).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

In the past week, Gabriel Moreno’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.2% up to 18.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Among every team today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Andy Pages is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Andy Pages ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Blaze Alexander has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (90% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Blaze Alexander has made significant strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 3.4% rate last year to 13.7% this season.

Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Alek Thomas will have an advantage today.

Alek Thomas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Corbin Carroll will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today’s game.

Negatives with the Los Angeles Dodgers Game Today

Tyler Glasnow will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Locklear today.

Tyler Locklear will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Tyler Locklear’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.8%.

Tyler Locklear has been cold lately, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) over the last 14 days.

Tyler Locklear has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .245 rate is a fair amount higher than his .206 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Eduardo Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage against Shohei Ohtani in today’s game.

The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams in action today.

As it relates to his home runs, Shohei Ohtani has been lucky this year. His 44.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 38.6.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.390) implies that Shohei Ohtani has experienced some positive variance this year with his .412 actual wOBA.

Enrique Hernandez’s BABIP ability is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his home runs, Enrique Hernandez has had positive variance on his side this year. His 24.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 21.3.

Grading out in the 5th percentile, Enrique Hernandez has put up a .248 BABIP since the start of last season.

Mookie Betts’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 90.1-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 86.8-mph in the past two weeks.

Mookie Betts’s launch angle this season (17.4°) is significantly lower than his 21.4° mark last year.

Sporting a .250 BABIP this year, Mookie Betts has performed in the 6th percentile.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 17.4°, Mookie Betts has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.9°) in the last two weeks.

Placing in the 16th percentile, Mookie Betts has put up a .175 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Will Smith is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Over the past 14 days, Will Smith’s 5.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.7%.

Will Smith has been lucky this year, compiling a .388 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .360 — a .028 gap.

Will Smith’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (16.4°) is considerably lower than his 21.3° mark last season.

Projected catcher Will Smith profiles as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tyler Glasnow’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.2 mph this season (95.2 mph) below where it was last year (96.4 mph).

Tyler Glasnow’s sinker usage has risen by 10% from last season to this one (8.7% to 18.7%) .

Recording 14.2 outs per start this year on average, Tyler Glasnow places in the 9th percentile.

Dodger Stadium ranks as the #1 ballpark in the game for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Teoscar Hernandez has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Teoscar Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 92.9-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 87.5-mph in the last week.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 8.6°, Teoscar Hernandez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-4.5°) over the last two weeks.

Teoscar Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 43.8% to 38.5%.

From last season to this one, Teoscar Hernandez’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 96.3 mph to 92.9 mph.

In terms of plate discipline, Teoscar Hernandez’s ability is quite poor, posting a 5.53 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 4th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s matchup.

Notching a lowly an 86-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks’ worth of games, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been in a slump in recent games.

By putting up a .245 BABIP this year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. grades out in the 4th percentile.

When estimating his home run ability, Miguel Rojas ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Miguel Rojas is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Miguel Rojas’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 89.5 mph to 87.3 mph.

Miguel Rojas has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 15.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount higher than his 8.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Miguel Rojas has posted a .364 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, checking in at the 21st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 16th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Miguel Rojas has had positive variance on his side this year. His .305 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .276.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Geraldo Perdomo in today’s game.

Geraldo Perdomo’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 89.7-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 83.4-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Geraldo Perdomo has been lucky this year, posting a .367 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .054 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 15th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward,Eduardo Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Eduardo Rodriguez’s 91.4-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 18th percentile among all starters.

Eduardo Rodriguez’s high usage rate of his fastball (54.4% this year) is likely dampening his results, considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Eduardo Rodriguez has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, notching an 8.77 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.65 — a 0.13 K/9 difference.

Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded a .343 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in the majors on balls in play with better performance likely coming.

Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Gabriel Moreno meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Gabriel Moreno has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gabriel Moreno today.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Gabriel Moreno has been lucky this year. His .337 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .321.

Arizona’s #2-ranked outfield defense on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Andy Pages, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Over the last 14 days, Andy Pages’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 90.7 mph to 86.2 mph.

Sporting a 4.12 K/BB rate this year, Andy Pages has shown bad plate discipline, ranking in the 16th percentile.

As it relates to his home runs, Andy Pages has experienced some positive variance this year. His 26.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 21.4.

Hitting from the same side that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Blaze Alexander has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

In today’s game, Blaze Alexander is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.8% rate (76th percentile).

Blaze Alexander will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Blaze Alexander has been lucky this year, posting a .330 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .297 — a .033 deviation.

Alek Thomas is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alek Thomas in today’s game.

In the past week, Alek Thomas’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 91.3 mph to 84.9 mph.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.1°, Alek Thomas’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (3° in the past 14 days).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) provides evidence that Alek Thomas has had positive variance on his side this year with his .255 actual batting average.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Alek Thomas grades out in the 11th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .286.

Today, Corbin Carroll is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.4% rate (78th percentile).

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corbin Carroll in today’s game.

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