D-Backs vs Cubs match player stats | 2026 Friday, May 1st

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ARI @ CHC

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D-Backs @ Cubs Matchup Details

Teams : Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago Cubs

Date : Todays Game is on Friday, May 1st
Time : 01/05/26 14:20:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Arizona Diamondbacks Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Ian Happ is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,The switch-hitting Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Zac Gallen.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Moises Ballesteros in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Moises Ballesteros has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Moises Ballesteros will have an edge in today’s game.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Moises Ballesteros can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

,Moises Ballesteros has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Corbin Carroll is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

,Corbin Carroll will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colin Rea today.

,Colin Rea has averaged 92.6 adjusted pitches per GS this year, placing in the 75th percentile.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Colin Rea will hold that advantage today.

,Compared to the average hurler, Zac Gallen has been given more leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, throwing an extra 4.9 adjusted pitches each game.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the Chicago Cubs in today’s game owns an estimated true talent wOBA of .329, which is a fair amount worse than their actual wOBA of .341 this year.

,Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

,The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Colin Rea.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

,Michael Busch will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today.

,Michael Busch will probably have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.7% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball.

,Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 85th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today’s matchup.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Pete Crow-Armstrong stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage today.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Carson Kelly ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,Lourdes Gurriel Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Ildemaro Vargas is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Colin Rea’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 24th percentile out of all starting pitchers in MLB right now.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

,Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage today.

,Adrian Del Castillo is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

,Adrian Del Castillo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Alek Thomas will have the upper hand today.

,Alek Thomas has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Moises Ballesteros ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Chicago Cubs Game Today

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup expects the lowest temperature of the day at 45,°.

,The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hurlers.

,Corbin Carroll pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 82nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.

,Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Colin Rea in the 23rd percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 19.8% underlying K%.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Carson Kelly (the Cubs’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) profiles as a weak pitch framer.

,With 6 batters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Colin Rea will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

,Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Zac Gallen in today’s game.

,When estimating his home run talent, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Michael Busch pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

,Nolan Arenado’s BABIP talent is projected in the 4th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Colin Rea will hold the platoon advantage over Nolan Arenado today.

,The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Colin Rea,Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ketel Marte in today’s matchup.

,Geraldo Perdomo’s BABIP skill is projected in the 22nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

,In today’s game, Pete Crow-Armstrong is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 39.3% rate (97th percentile).

,Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Carson Kelly will not have the upper hand today.

,Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,Colin Rea will have the handedness advantage over Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 9th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Ildemaro Vargas will bat from his worse side against Colin Rea in this game.

,Ildemaro Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (39.4% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

,Zac Gallen will hold the platoon advantage over Alex Bregman today.

,Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adrian Del Castillo in the 20th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

,Adrian Del Castillo is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Chicago (#3-best of all teams on the slate today).

,Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Alek Thomas is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

,Chicago’s #2-ranked outfield defense of all teams today poses a formidable challenge for Alek Thomas, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

,Alek Thomas will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,When estimating his home run skill, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Zac Gallen will have the handedness advantage over Nico Hoerner in today’s game.

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