Cubs vs White Sox match player stats | 2026 Friday, May 15th

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CHC @ CWS

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Cubs @ White Sox Matchup Details

Teams : Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox

Date : Todays Game is on Friday, May 15th
Time : 15/05/26 19:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Chicago Cubs Game Today

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best field in the game for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters.

,Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all parks — generally good for HRs.

,Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge today.

,Michael Busch has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph to 96.5-mph in the past two weeks.

,Chase Meidroth is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

,Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #8 stadium in MLB for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Chase Meidroth has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Chase Meidroth will hold that advantage today.

,Chase Meidroth has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 4.8% seasonal rate to 11.1% over the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #8 ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #8 venue in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong has averaged 33.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Samuel Antonacci is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Samuel Antonacci will have the upper hand today.

,Samuel Antonacci will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

,Nico Hoerner is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #8 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,By putting up a 0.92 K/BB rate this year, Nico Hoerner has shown good plate discipline, placing in the 96th percentile.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 17th-best hitter in MLB.

,Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,This season, Seiya Suzuki has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.3 mph compared to last year’s 93.7 mph mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Jarred Kelenic will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Jarred Kelenic will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Jarred Kelenic has been hot of late, putting up a a 20% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Ian Happ is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

,The switch-hitting Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Sean Burke.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Alex Bregman’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 45.9% on the season to 62.1% in the last 14 days.

,Andrew Benintendi will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera today.

,Andrew Benintendi pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Andrew Benintendi will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (30.5) suggests that Andrew Benintendi has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his 21.9 actual HR/600.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed batting average.

,Andrew Benintendi’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 37.5% to 44.9%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 10th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his batting average talent.

,Nico Hoerner has recorded a .310 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 99th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,In notching a .340 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Carson Kelly finds himself in the 77th percentile for hitting ability.

,Carson Kelly has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 86th percentile with a 1.63 K/BB rate.

,Samuel Antonacci’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Edward Cabrera in the 78th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

,Recording 94.1 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Edward Cabrera falls in the 82nd percentile.

,The Chicago White Sox have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Colson Montgomery, Jarred Kelenic, Munetaka Murakami).

,Edward Cabrera has used his change-up 8.2% more often this season (33.8%) than he did last season (25.6%).

,Edward Cabrera’s 95.3-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 79th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

,It may be wise to expect worse numbers for the Chicago White Sox offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

,The #6 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

,Edward Cabrera performed well in his last game started and allowed 0 ER.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,In the last week, Dansby Swanson’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 97.2-mph in recent games.

,Dansby Swanson has hit 23.4 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 78th percentile for power.

,Moises Ballesteros’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Moises Ballesteros is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,Batting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Moises Ballesteros will have an edge today.

,Moises Ballesteros has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as the league’s 2nd-best home run batter.

,Munetaka Murakami is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Munetaka Murakami will have an advantage today.

,Munetaka Murakami pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Colson Montgomery ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Colson Montgomery will have an advantage today.

,Colson Montgomery pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.9% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

,The switch-hitting Drew Romo will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Edward Cabrera.

,Drew Romo pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Drew Romo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Drew Romo has been hot in recent games, notching a a 14.3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) in the last week.

,It may be best to expect worse results for the Chicago Cubs offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 9th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

,Sean Burke will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his metrics across the board.

,Sean Burke’s four-seam fastball percentage has fallen by 5.5% from last year to this one (43.1% to 37.6%) .

,Among all starting pitchers, Sean Burke’s fastball spin rate of 2548 rpm is in the 96th percentile this year.

,In terms of plate discipline, Dansby Swanson’s talent is quite strong, posting a 1.5 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 82nd percentile.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Carson Kelly ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Colson Montgomery will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Moises Ballesteros in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Tristan Peters will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Tristan Peters pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Tristan Peters will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Alex Bregman has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 93.9-mph.

,Considering the 1.27 discrepancy between Sean Burke’s 7.36 K/9 and his 8.64 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in MLB this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to see positive regression in future games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Munetaka Murakami in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Chicago White Sox Game Today

Michael Busch has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (70% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Michael Busch will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Michael Busch’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 21.9% to 17.7%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 3rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Edward Cabrera will have the handedness advantage over Chase Meidroth in today’s game.

,Among every team playing today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs.

,Chase Meidroth has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph dropping to 79.6-mph over the last week.

,Chase Meidroth’s launch angle lately (3.5° over the past two weeks) is significantly lower than his 7.2° seasonal figure.

,Despite posting a .322 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Chase Meidroth has experienced some positive variance given the .024 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .298.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pete Crow-Armstrong today.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.5% down to 0%.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 17.4% to 11.3%.

,Over the last 7 days, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s 15.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37.7%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Antonacci in the 11th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 13.1°, Samuel Antonacci has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.7°) over the past two weeks.

,Despite posting a .355 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Samuel Antonacci has been very fortunate given the .027 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Sean Burke will have the handedness advantage against Nico Hoerner in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nico Hoerner in today’s matchup.

,In the past two weeks, Nico Hoerner’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 88 mph to 84.6 mph.

,Nico Hoerner’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, going from 15.7% on the season to 0% over the last week.

,Hitting from the same side that Sean Burke throws from, Seiya Suzuki encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Typically, hitters like Seiya Suzuki who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Sean Burke.

,Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Edward Cabrera will have the handedness advantage against Miguel Vargas in today’s matchup.

,Chicago’s #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Miguel Vargas, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

,Miguel Vargas has put up a .258 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 11th percentile.

,Jarred Kelenic’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jarred Kelenic is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,In the past 14 days, Jarred Kelenic’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 5% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Jarred Kelenic is in the 18th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .248.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ian Happ in today’s game.

,Ian Happ’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 23.7% on the season to 0% over the last week.

,Batting from the same side that Sean Burke throws from, Alex Bregman will be at a disadvantage today.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alex Bregman in today’s matchup.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Alex Bregman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.1% down to 0%.

,Alex Bregman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 15% to 9.8%.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Alex Bregman ranks in the 24th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .230.

,Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Andrew Benintendi’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 88.5-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 83.4-mph over the past two weeks.

,Andrew Benintendi’s launch angle of late (13.9° in the last two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 19.3° seasonal figure.

,Andrew Benintendi’s BABIP talent is projected in the 24th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Andrew Benintendi’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased lately, decreasing from 44.9% on the season to 33.3% over the last two weeks.

,In the last 14 days, Nico Hoerner has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

,Carson Kelly’s BABIP skill is projected in the 17th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Carson Kelly is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Sean Burke will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Kelly in today’s game.

,Carson Kelly will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,In the past 14 days, Carson Kelly’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.8% down to 0%.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Carson Kelly (the Cubs’s expected catcher in today’s game) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

,The #7 stadium in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

,The Chicago White Sox have 7 batters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera in this matchup.

,Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Edward Cabrera in today’s matchup.

,Edward Cabrera’s 2235-rpm spin rate on his fastball this season is a sizeable 100-rpm decrease from last season’s 2335-rpm figure.

,Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest LF fences among all stadiums.

,Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Sean Burke throws from, Dansby Swanson encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Dansby Swanson today.

,Over the past 7 days, Dansby Swanson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.5% down to 0%.

,Over the last week, Dansby Swanson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14%.

,Moises Ballesteros will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.7°, Moises Ballesteros has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.7°) in the last two weeks.

,Munetaka Murakami has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 22% seasonal rate has fallen to 16.7% in the last week’s worth of games.

,Despite posting a .377 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Munetaka Murakami has had positive variance on his side given the .027 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .350.

,Despite posting a .354 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Colson Montgomery has experienced some positive variance given the .038 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Drew Romo ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Drew Romo is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Drew Romo’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 97.2 mph to 87.8 mph.

,Drew Romo has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, hitting balls between 23° and 34° just 0% of the time over the last 7 days.

,The 2nd-best projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill belongs to the Chicago Cubs.

,Sean Burke is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.2% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #7 HR venue among all stadiums in today’s game.

,Ranking in the 4th percentile, Sean Burke compiled a 7.3% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

,The Chicago Cubs have done a good job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-contacted balls. Their 15.6° figure is among the highest in MLB since the start of last season (#4 overall).

,Over the past 14 days, Carson Kelly’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 93.5 mph to 87.5 mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colson Montgomery in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,In terms of his home runs, Moises Ballesteros has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His 26.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 11.4.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Tristan Peters ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Tristan Peters is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,Tristan Peters has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph dropping to 81.9-mph over the past 14 days.

,Tristan Peters’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, falling from 43.3% on the season to 30% in the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tristan Peters in the 18th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,In the past week, Tristan Peters’s 10% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15%.

,Tristan Peters has been cold lately, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) over the last 14 days.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 17.5°, Pete Crow-Armstrong has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.3°) in the past 14 days.

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