Rangers @ Astros Matchup Details

Positives for the Texas Rangers Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 4th-best field in the game for LHB home runs.

,Batting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Alejandro Osuna will have an advantage today.

,As it relates to his batting average, Alejandro Osuna has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .223 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .273.

,Alejandro Osuna has shown impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 90th percentile with a 1.52 K/BB rate.

,Ezequiel Duran has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last season’s 84.5-mph EV.

,Sporting a .331 BABIP since the start of last season, Ezequiel Duran grades out in the 86th percentile.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Christian Walker is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

,Minute Maid Park profiles as the #4 field in the game for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Christian Walker will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Cam Smith will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti in today’s matchup.

,Brandon Nimmo has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Josh Jung is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

,Ranking in the 94th percentile, Josh Jung has notched a .391 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,Grading out in the 93rd percentile, Josh Jung has put up a .524 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

,Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.

,Braden Shewmake will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Leiter today.

,Braden Shewmake will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Braden Shewmake has been hot of late, batting his way to a .426 wOBA over the past two weeks.

,Jack Leiter has averaged 93.8 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, grading out in the 79th percentile.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Houston Astros in this game carries an estimated true talent wOBA of .315, which is considerably lower than their actual wOBA of .326 this year.

,The Houston Astros have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress the rest of the season,The #2 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jack Leiter in the 76th percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.

,Minute Maid Park profiles as the #1 ballpark in the majors for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,With 6 batters who bat from the same side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Jack Leiter ought to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Evan Carter ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Evan Carter is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Evan Carter will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Evan Carter has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88.3-mph average to last season’s 86.3-mph average.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Christian Vazquez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Over the past week, Christian Vazquez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.4% up to 11.1%.

,Christian Vazquez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 94.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 88.4-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Cam Smith has recorded a .311 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 75th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Cole in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Zach Cole has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

,Zach Cole will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Leiter in today’s matchup.

,Zach Cole will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

,Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (47.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Josh Jung’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Josh Jung’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 48.7% to 54.5%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Joc Pederson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Joc Pederson will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Joc Pederson has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 7.4% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Yordan Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Leiter in today’s matchup.

,Brice Matthews pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Brice Matthews will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,Brice Matthews has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph to 90.8-mph in the past week.

,Brice Matthews’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 22.8% on the season to 42.9% in the last week’s worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Christian Walker has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.7-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.2-mph mark.

,In the past week, Joc Pederson’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 109.1-mph lately.

,Over the last 7 days, Joc Pederson’s 88.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.7%.

,When estimating his home run skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jake Burger has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 92.4-mph.

,Jake Burger’s launch angle of late (42.8° in the past week’s worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 12.5° seasonal mark.

,Isaac Paredes has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.3-mph average to last year’s 89.9-mph figure.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Brice Matthews ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Cole in the 91st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Isaac Paredes has shown good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 75th percentile with a 1.7 K/BB rate.

,Danny Jansen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Danny Jansen has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 93.5-mph.

,Danny Jansen’s launch angle lately (48° in the past 7 days) is a significant increase over his 20.3° seasonal mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Jose Altuve is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Burger’s true offensive ability to be a .327, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .046 disparity between that mark and his actual .281 wOBA.

,By putting up a .336 batting average this year, Josh Jung grades out in the 99th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

,Jose Altuve has displayed good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 76th percentile with a 1.65 K/BB rate.

,Zach Cole has been hot recently, putting up a a 25% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) over the past 7 days.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 12th-best batter in the game.

,Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Corey Seager will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti today.

,Corey Seager has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 16% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past 14 days.

,Evan Carter’s launch angle this season (21.2°) is quite a bit higher than his 14.1° figure last year.

,Spencer Arrighetti has averaged 93.5 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.

,Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Spencer Arrighetti will hold that advantage today.

,Over the past week, Christian Vazquez’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.8%.

,Yordan Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Spencer Arrighetti was rolling in his last GS and notched 10 strikeouts.

,Brice Matthews has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 20.8° angle is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (93rd percentile).

,In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Alejandro Osuna has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .288 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .332.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Danny Jansen ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brandon Nimmo has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.8-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 91.9-mph figure.

Negatives with the Houston Astros Game Today

When estimating his home run ability, Alejandro Osuna ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Alejandro Osuna is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,This year, Alejandro Osuna has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 43% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

,The league’s 3rd-highest fence height (on average) can be found at Minute Maid Park.

,Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense.

,Ezequiel Duran is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

,This year, Ezequiel Duran has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 10% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

,The #2 field in the majors for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Spencer Arrighetti will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Duran in today’s game.

,Jack Leiter will have the handedness advantage over Christian Walker today.

,There has been a significant decline in Christian Walker’s launch angle from last season’s 16.9° to 13.8° this year.

,In the last two weeks, Christian Walker’s 8.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.6%.

,Cam Smith is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Jack Leiter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cam Smith in today’s matchup.

,In today’s matchup, Cam Smith is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.3% rate (89th percentile).

,Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Nimmo in today’s game.

,Spencer Arrighetti will have the handedness advantage over Josh Jung today.

,Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Josh Jung will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Braden Shewmake ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Braden Shewmake is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Braden Shewmake has struggled to lift the ball recently, compiling a 0.8° launch angle over the last week.

,An inconsistent launch angle is commonly a proxy for bad hitting skills, and Braden Shewmake has been very inconsistent with his lately, compiling a 20.8° launch angle standard deviation over the past 7 days.

,Among all parks, Minute Maid Park’s left field dimensions are the shallowest.

,Jack Leiter will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Collectively, Houston Astros hitters have shined when it comes to hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (between -4° and 26°), ranking 6th-best in the league.

,The Houston Astros as a unit place 2nd- overall in MLB this year when it comes to the maximum exit velocity of all of the baseballs their [HITTER}s have hit.

,Given the 1.15 discrepancy between Jack Leiter’s 10.34 K/9 and his 9.18 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to negatively regress in future games.

,12% of the time that Evan Carter has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,Today, Evan Carter is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.4% rate (86th percentile).

,Brandon Nimmo’s launch angle of late (3° in the past two weeks) is significantly worse than his 9.5° seasonal mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Vazquez in the 9th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Christian Vazquez is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

,This year, Christian Vazquez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

,Hitting from the same side that Jack Leiter throws from, Christian Vazquez has a tough challenge today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Vazquez in the 5th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,16% of the time that Zach Cole has started against a right-handed pitcher since the start of last season, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,In today’s game, Zach Cole is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.4% rate (80th percentile).

,Zach Cole has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .381 rate is a good deal higher than his .263 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Batting from the same side that Jack Leiter throws from, Isaac Paredes faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Isaac Paredes’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 92.3-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 90.3-mph over the past week.

,Over the past 7 days, Isaac Paredes’s 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.5%.

,Joc Pederson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 50% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

,Joc Pederson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.8% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Joc Pederson in today’s matchup.

,Yordan Alvarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 95.2-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 78.6-mph over the past week.

,Yordan Alvarez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, going from 21.7% on the season to 0% over the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Matthews in the 15th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Brice Matthews is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Brice Matthews has been pulled from the game early 14% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 8th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Minute Maid Park profiles as the #28 stadium in the majors for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Jake Burger is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

,Hitting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Jake Burger will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Isaac Paredes’s BABIP talent is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jack Leiter will hold the platoon advantage against Brice Matthews in today’s game.

,Jake Burger’s launch angle this season (12.5°) is a significant dropoff from his 17° mark last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Danny Jansen is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

,Batting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Danny Jansen meets a tough challenge today.

,Alejandro Osuna hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.

,Batting from the same side that Jack Leiter throws from, Jose Altuve will have a tough challenge today.

,Over the last two weeks, Jose Altuve’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 93.3 mph to 88.7 mph.

,Jose Altuve’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 14.6% to 10.1%.

,Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Sporting a .187 batting average this year, Corey Seager has performed in the 13th percentile.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Spencer Arrighetti’s overall pitching ability is in the 23rd percentile among all starters in the majors currently.

,The Texas Rangers have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season,Among all SPs, Spencer Arrighetti’s fastball velocity of 91.9 mph grades out in the 21st percentile this year.

,Spencer Arrighetti has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his ERA since the start of last season; his 3.80 rate is a fair amount lower than his 4.78 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Evan Carter in today’s game.

,Danny Jansen will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

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