Cubs @ Rangers Matchup Details

Positives for the Chicago Cubs Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Moises Ballesteros in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

,Moises Ballesteros has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (62% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest fences in MLB.

,In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

,Moises Ballesteros will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kumar Rocker today.

,Moises Ballesteros has notched a .285 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

,Michael Busch will hold the platoon advantage against Kumar Rocker today.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Ben Brown throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Evan Carter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ben Brown today.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Evan Carter will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Evan Carter’s launch angle in recent games (27.4° in the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 22.5° seasonal mark.

,Evan Carter has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .223 rate is quite a bit lower than his .245 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,Josh Jung is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,Josh Jung will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Dansby Swanson’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 43.3% on the season to 55.9% over the past 14 days.

,Dansby Swanson has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .238 figure is a good deal lower than his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When assessing his home run ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Over the past week, Jake Burger’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.4% up to 16.7%.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Danny Jansen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage today.

,In the last two weeks, Danny Jansen’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.7-mph over the course of the season to 100.5-mph lately.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Using Statcast data, Carson Kelly grades out in the 77th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .340.

,Carson Kelly has compiled a .342 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile.

,Michael Busch has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.1% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Jake Burger has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 92.3-mph.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.9% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past two weeks.

,Corey Seager projects as the 10th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Corey Seager is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

,Corey Seager will have the handedness advantage over Ben Brown today.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Kumar Rocker will hold that advantage today.

,Kumar Rocker’s slider utilization has spiked by 20.8% from last season to this one (15.8% to 36.6%) .

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ian Happ is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

,As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Kumar Rocker in this game.

,Joc Pederson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Ben Brown throws from, Joc Pederson will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Joc Pederson will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 10th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his batting average ability.

,Nico Hoerner is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,Nico Hoerner’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 15.5% to 18.6%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Over the past week, Alex Bregman’s 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.2%.

,In terms of plate discipline, Alex Bregman’s talent is quite good, putting up a 1.28 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 87th percentile.

,Ezequiel Duran is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,In comparison to his 84.5-mph average last year, Ezequiel Duran’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 90.8 mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Nico Hoerner has recorded a .353 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 75th percentile.

,The Chicago Cubs have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games,The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.

,In his previous start, Kumar Rocker was rolling and allowed 2 ER.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Moises Ballesteros ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last year’s 89.3-mph average.

,When it comes to power, Dansby Swanson grades out in the 77th percentile, having paced 23.6 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Nico Hoerner’s 71.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50.4%.

,As it relates to plate discipline, Carson Kelly’s talent is quite good, sporting a 1.62 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 85th percentile.

,Sporting a .335 BABIP since the start of last season, Josh Jung finds himself in the 92nd percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Ben Brown in the 79th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

,Among all starting pitchers, Ben Brown’s fastball velocity of 95.1 mph is in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.

,Ben Brown has put up a 26.5% strikeout rate since the start of last season, placing in the 86th percentile.

,Grading out in the 85th percentile, Ezequiel Duran sits with a .329 BABIP since the start of last season.

,Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Josh Jung ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Joc Pederson has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 5.1% seasonal rate to 13% in the last 14 days.

,Ian Happ has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.6% seasonal rate to 25% over the last week.

Negatives with the Texas Rangers Game Today

This year, Moises Ballesteros has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 45% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

,Globe Life Field profiles as the #30 stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,In MLB, Globe Life Field’s CF dimensions are the 6th-deepest.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Moises Ballesteros in today’s game.

,Moises Ballesteros has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph dropping to 83.2-mph over the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the worst park in baseball for LHB batting average.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the 4th-worst park in the league for left-handed home runs.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Busch in today’s matchup.

,Michael Busch’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 92.2-mph average last season has dropped to 86.9-mph.

,In the past week, Brandon Nimmo’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.8% down to 0%.

,In the last two weeks, Brandon Nimmo’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 94.1 mph to 88.2 mph.

,In the past 7 days, Brandon Nimmo’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.7%.

,Evan Carter is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Evan Carter has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 11% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

,Evan Carter hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 6th-deepest CF fences today.

,The Chicago Cubs infield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of every team playing today.

,Hitting from the same side that Ben Brown throws from, Josh Jung will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,In the past 7 days, Josh Jung’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5% down to 0%.

,Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

,The #1 stadium in the game for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.

,Batting from the same side that Kumar Rocker throws from, Dansby Swanson encounters a tough challenge today.

,Dansby Swanson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences today.

,Dansby Swanson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Jake Burger is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the 4th-worst field in the league for RHB home runs.

,Batting from the same side that Ben Brown throws from, Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 10.7°, Jake Burger has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.3°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Danny Jansen is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

,Ben Brown will hold the platoon advantage over Danny Jansen in today’s matchup.

,Danny Jansen’s launch angle this year (20.9°) is significantly worse than his 24.2° figure last season.

,Carson Kelly is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

,Kumar Rocker will hold the platoon advantage over Carson Kelly in today’s matchup.

,Carson Kelly will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pete Crow-Armstrong today.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 24th percentile with a 3.68 K/BB rate.

,Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kumar Rocker is projected to throw 83 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate.

,The Chicago Cubs (20.1 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the least strikeout-heavy team of batters on the slate today.

,Over his last 3 starts, Kumar Rocker has seen a significant fall off in his fastball spin rate: from 2116 rpm over the whole season to 2065 rpm of late.

,Kumar Rocker’s 2173.3-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season grades out in the 23rd percentile among all SPs.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ian Happ today.

,Despite posting a .380 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ian Happ has had some very good luck given the .033 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .347.

,Joc Pederson’s BABIP ability is projected in the 6th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,This year, Joc Pederson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 52% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

,Kumar Rocker will have the handedness advantage over Nico Hoerner today.

,Nico Hoerner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 83rd percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest CF fences today.

,Nico Hoerner will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Nico Hoerner’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 88-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 73.8-mph over the last week.

,Kumar Rocker will have the handedness advantage against Alex Bregman in today’s matchup.

,Alex Bregman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alex Bregman today.

,Alex Bregman has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 6.7% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Ezequiel Duran has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 13% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

,Hitting from the same side that Ben Brown throws from, Ezequiel Duran encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Today, Ezequiel Duran is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 37.9% rate (76th percentile).

,Joc Pederson has recorded a .277 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 13th percentile.

,Placing in the 8th percentile, Joc Pederson has put up a .324 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The 3rd-best projected lineup of the day in terms of overall batting skill is that of the Chicago Cubs.

,In the past 7 days, Evan Carter’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.1% down to 0%.

,Corey Seager’s launch angle of late (4.9° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 12.1° seasonal mark.

,In the last week, Ezequiel Duran’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 89.5 mph to 85 mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Ben Brown to be on a pitch count in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 81 pitches.

,Ben Brown will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Ben Brown has utilized his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 58.1% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.

,Ben Brown has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, notching a 9.89 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.09 — a 0.80 K/9 gap.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Josh Jung’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 90.1 mph to 77.2 mph.

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