Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Cubs vs Brewers Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Sal Frelick is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

American Family Field has the 5th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Sal Frelick will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Joey Ortiz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Joey Ortiz’s launch angle this year (17.4°) is significantly better than his 9.6° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joey Ortiz’s true offensive ability to be a .305, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .078 deviation between that figure and his actual .227 wOBA.

As it relates to plate discipline, Joey Ortiz’s ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.75 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Jackson Chourio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jackson Chourio will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Caleb Durbin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Caleb Durbin will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Carson Kelly will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today’s matchup.

Carson Kelly hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Carson Kelly has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.6% rate last season to 19.6% this season.

Jose Quintana has averaged 97.7 adjusted pitches per GS this year, grading out in the 94th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the best field in the game for strikeouts.

Jose Quintana will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his metrics in all categories.

Nico Hoerner will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana today.

Nico Hoerner has displayed good plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 94th percentile with a 1.41 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Nico Hoerner has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .275 BA is quite a bit lower than his .286 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Ian Happ is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

Ian Happ has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 93.3-mph in the past two weeks.

Ian Happ’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 51.7% on the season to 61.1% in the past 14 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 10th-best hitter in the league.

Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Hitters such as Kyle Tucker with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jose Quintana who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Using Statcast metrics, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 98th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .395.

The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field.

Rhys Hoskins will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Over the past week, Rhys Hoskins’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.5% up to 18.2%.

Rhys Hoskins has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 94.6-mph over the past week.

As it relates to his home run talent, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Dansby Swanson will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Quintana in today’s matchup.

Dansby Swanson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Dansby Swanson has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 10.5% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past 7 days.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

William Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Extreme groundball bats like William Contreras generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jameson Taillon.

Christian Yelich’s BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Yelich is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Christian Yelich will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Michael Busch is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

Over the last 14 days, Michael Busch has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 27.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.6°.

Michael Busch’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 18.1% to 23.4%.

When assessing his home run skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pete Crow-Armstrong has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 12.1% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks.

Pete Crow-Armstrong’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (24.3°) is considerably higher than his 20.6° figure last year.

In the last two weeks, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s 28.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16%.

Brice Turang is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

Seiya Suzuki will have the handedness advantage against Jose Quintana today.

Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (42.6% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Negative Match Player Stats with Cubs vs Brewers Series Game 2

When it comes to his home run ability, Sal Frelick ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Sal Frelick’s launch angle this year (2.2°) is a significant dropoff from his 9.7° mark last season.

Sal Frelick’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (-0.1° over the past two weeks) is significantly worse than his 3.9° seasonal angle.

Sal Frelick has been lucky this year, posting a .353 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .059 disparity.

Utilizing Statcast data, Sal Frelick is in the 2nd percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 1.400.

The #6 field in MLB for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs.

Chicago’s #3-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Sal Frelick, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

The #5 venue in the majors for suppressing batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

As it relates to his home run ability, Joey Ortiz ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Joey Ortiz is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Jameson Taillon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Ortiz today.

In today’s game, Joey Ortiz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.2% rate (95th percentile).

Joey Ortiz’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 87.8-mph EV last season has lowered to 82.9-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 5th-worst ballpark in the majors for righty batting average.

Batting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, Jackson Chourio will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Jackson Chourio’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 16% to 10%.

Jackson Chourio’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, falling from 10% on the season to 6.3% in the last two weeks.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.5) provides evidence that Jackson Chourio has been lucky since the start of last season with his 22.7 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Jameson Taillon will hold the platoon advantage against Caleb Durbin in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 11th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

In the past week, Caleb Durbin’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 88.2 mph to 85.6 mph.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.3°, Caleb Durbin has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-4°) over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Carson Kelly in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.8) provides evidence that Carson Kelly has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his 25.3 actual HR/600.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Carson Kelly has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .346 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .315.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jose Quintana in the 20th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Ben May) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

Jose Quintana struggled when it came to striking batters out in his previous outing and compiled 2 Ks.

Jose Quintana’s fastball velocity has dropped 1 mph this year (89.7 mph) below where it was last year (90.7 mph).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 2nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Nico Hoerner is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.3% rate (90th percentile).

Nico Hoerner will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Ian Happ will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Jose Quintana,Ian Happ has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ian Happ today.

Ian Happ has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 7.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.

Ian Happ has averaged 6.8 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile for power.

Batting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Kyle Tucker will be at a disadvantage today.

Kyle Tucker pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.

Kyle Tucker will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

In the past 14 days, Kyle Tucker’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 17.1% down to 12.1%.

Over the last 7 days, Kyle Tucker’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 94 mph to 91.2 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 4th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Rhys Hoskins has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 21% of the time.

Jameson Taillon will hold the platoon advantage against Rhys Hoskins in today’s game.

Typically, hitters like Rhys Hoskins who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jameson Taillon.

Rhys Hoskins’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, going from 14.9% on the season to 0% in the last week.

Dansby Swanson has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.

Dansby Swanson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Over the past week, Dansby Swanson’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 94.5 mph to 85.1 mph.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 17.9°, Dansby Swanson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.9°) over the last two weeks.

Hitting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, William Contreras will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

William Contreras has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 10% rate last year has fallen off to 3.3% this season.

William Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 10.5% to 4.4%.

William Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, going from 4.4% on the season to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

In the past week’s worth of games, Christian Yelich’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 92 mph to 69.1 mph.

Christian Yelich’s launch angle this year (-0.5°) is significantly lower than his 5.1° angle last season.

Over the past 7 days, Christian Yelich’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.3%.

In terms of his home runs, Christian Yelich has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His 21.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.9.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Milwaukee Brewers with a 20% underlying K%.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Jameson Taillon (37.2% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 3 GB hitters in Milwaukee’s projected lineup.

Jameson Taillon will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Jose Quintana will have the handedness advantage against Michael Busch today.

Today, Michael Busch is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.4% rate (76th percentile).

Michael Busch will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jose Quintana will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pete Crow-Armstrong today.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 9th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

When it comes to his home runs, Brice Turang has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His 7.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 3.7.

Ranking in the 7th percentile, Brice Turang sports a .150 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season.

Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.360) suggests that Seiya Suzuki has been very fortunate this year with his .414 actual wOBA.

As it relates to his batting average, Seiya Suzuki has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .285 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .245.

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