Cubs vs Braves match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, September 10th

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Cubs vs Braves match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, September 10th

CHC @ ATL

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Cubs @ Braves Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Chicago Cubs at Atlanta Braves
Series : Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 10th
Time : 10/09/25 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Chicago Cubs Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Alcantara in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP.

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°.

Kevin Alcantara will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Sale has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Drake Baldwin is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for lefty base hits.

Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nacho Alvarez Jr. in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Nacho Alvarez Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Nacho Alvarez Jr. will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Given Chris Sale’s large platoon split, Matt Shaw will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

Carson Kelly is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

Carson Kelly will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale today… and moreover, Sale has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 13th-best batter in MLB when assessing his batting average talent.

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Bashing 4 homers over the past 14 days, Ian Happ has been on fire of late.

As it relates to plate discipline, Ian Happ’s talent is quite strong, posting a 1.59 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 84th percentile.

Justin Turner is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Considering Chris Sale’s large platoon split, Justin Turner will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Given Chris Sale’s large platoon split, Dansby Swanson will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Ozzie Albies has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 6th-best hitter in MLB.

Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

When estimating his strikeout talent, Chris Sale projects as the 4th-best starter in the majors right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Compared to the average hurler, Chris Sale has been granted an above-average leash this year, throwing an additional 8.3 adjusted pitches each start.

Adam Beck profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

The #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

Chris Sale will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his metrics across the board.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 8th-best field in the majors for BABIP.

Considering the 0.97 disparity between Chris Sale’s 2.38 ERA and his 3.35 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year and ought to see negative regression going forward.

Ha-seong Kim is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage today.

It may be best to expect stronger performance for the Atlanta Braves offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

With 6 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Jameson Taillon will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Michael Harris II will have the upper hand in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 17th-best hitter in MLB.

Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Negatives with the Atlanta Braves Game Today

Kevin Alcantara is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.

In the league, Truist Park’s LF dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kevin Alcantara in today’s matchup.

The Chicago Cubs outfield defense grades out as the best out of all the teams playing today.

Drake Baldwin’s 6.1° launch angle (an advanced standard to study a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in the majors: 4th percentile.

Nacho Alvarez Jr. is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.

Batting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, Nacho Alvarez Jr. will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Nacho Alvarez Jr.’s 0.9% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 11th percentile since the start of last season.

Nacho Alvarez Jr.’s 83.9-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in MLB since the start of last season: 5th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nacho Alvarez Jr. in the 12th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Matt Shaw is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Matt Shaw will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Matt Shaw’s 84.5-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in the majors this year: 1st percentile.

Matt Shaw is in the 10th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (39.3% rate this year).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Carson Kelly will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Carson Kelly has not been good at making hard contact. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (106.4 mph) rate him as one of baseball’s worst: in the 23rd percentile this year.

Nico Hoerner will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Nico Hoerner’s 2.4% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) is in the 6th percentile this year.

Nico Hoerner’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) has been 104.7 mph this year, placing in the 2nd percentile.

In terms of power, Nico Hoerner has performed in the 6th percentile, having averaged 6.1 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

Ian Happ has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Ian Happ will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Chris Sale… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Sale’s large platoon split.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ian Happ today.

Ian Happ’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 20.1% to 15.8%.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Justin Turner in today’s game.

Justin Turner’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to assess power) has been 106.5 mph this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

Today, Matt Olson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.3% rate (80th percentile).

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Jurickson Profar will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Jameson Taillon today.

Jurickson Profar’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 91.1-mph EV last season has fallen off to 88.3-mph.

Jurickson Profar’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 45.9% to 36.2%.

The standard deviation of Jurickson Profar’s launch angle this year (30.5°) is in the 8th percentile. A high mark like this tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits.

Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Dansby Swanson today.

Dansby Swanson has displayed weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 19th percentile with a 3.79 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his bad side (0) today against Jameson Taillon,Chicago’s #1-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for Ozzie Albies, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

This year, Ozzie Albies’s 4.7% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 17th percentile among his peers.

Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Jameson Taillon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. in today’s game.

Given his large platoon split, Chris Sale will not have the upper hand being matched up with 8 bats in the projected batting order who bat from the other side in this game.

Chris Sale has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, notching an 11.65 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 11.53 — a 0.12 K/9 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chris Sale as the 10th-best pitcher in baseball right now.

Chris Sale has gone to his slider 7.7% more often this season (48%) than he did last year (40.3%).

Ha-seong Kim’s BABIP skill is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jameson Taillon will have the handedness advantage against Ha-seong Kim today.

Ha-seong Kim pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-deepest LF fences today.

From last season to this one, Ha-seong Kim’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 90.8 mph to 86.9 mph.

Ranking in the 83rd percentile, Jameson Taillon has recorded a 3.87 K/BB rate this year.

Collectively, Atlanta Braves batters have done poorly when it comes to hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to best-produce home runs (between 23° and 34°), placing 3rd-worst in the league.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jameson Taillon is projected to throw 83 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least of all pitchers on the slate.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jameson Taillon in today’s matchup.

Michael Harris II is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Michael Harris II is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35% rate (85th percentile).

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Michael Harris II ranks in just the 9th percentile with a 7.7° launch angle, which is one of the lowest angles in the league.

The standard deviation of Michael Harris II’s launch angle this year (30.1°) is in the 11th percentile. A high deviation like this tends to lead to a lower rate of hits on balls in play.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Seiya Suzuki in today’s game.

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