
STL @ COL






Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Thursday, September 26th
26/09/24 15:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Cardinals vs Rockies Series Game 3 Matchup Today
The #2 park in MLB for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense.
The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Thomas Saggese will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Thomas Saggese has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, striking balls between 23° and 34° 36.4% of the time over the past two weeks.
It may be smart to expect improved performance for the St. Louis Cardinals offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in the game for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Kyle Freeland’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 GS (2217 rpm) has been significantly lower than than his seasonal rate (2280 rpm).
Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.
Coors Field grades out as the #1 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Ivan Herrera’s BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ivan Herrera is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.
Coors Field projects as the #1 venue in baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Nolan Jones will have an edge in today’s game.
Michael Toglia is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.
The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Pedro Pages will have an advantage in today’s game.
In the past 14 days, Pedro Pages’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.7-mph over the course of the season to 93-mph lately.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Brendan Donovan is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
When estimating his home run ability, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Jordan Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland in today’s game.
Jordan Walker has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last season’s 91.4-mph EV.
As it relates to his home run talent, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ryan McMahon is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
Masyn Winn is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Masyn Winn will have an advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.
Charlie Blackmon is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Charlie Blackmon will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
When assessing his home run skill, Sam Hilliard ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Sam Hilliard will have an advantage in today’s game.
Michael Siani may have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.
Kyle Gibson has averaged 92.4 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, ranking in the 77th percentile.
The Colorado Rockies have 7 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ezequiel Tovar, Brenton Doyle, Ryan McMahon, Michael Toglia, Sam Hilliard, Nolan Jones, Aaron Schunk).
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Nolan Jones will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Sam Hilliard will hold that advantage in today’s game.
It may be best to expect better results for the Colorado Rockies offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
Negative Match Player Stats with Cardinals vs Rockies Series Game 3
Thomas Saggese is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Thomas Saggese will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Thomas Saggese has been cold recently, putting up a .194 wOBA in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Thomas Saggese has been cold of late, posting a 84.4-mph average exit velocity over the past 14 days.
The St. Louis Cardinals projected lineup profiles as the 5th-weakest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.
Among all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies.
Kyle Freeland will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats across the board.
Kyle Freeland’s fastball velocity has increased 2.7 mph this season (90.9 mph) over where it was last year (88.2 mph).
Kyle Freeland has been unlucky this year, posting a 4.95 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.58 — a 0.37 discrepancy.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nolan Arenado in today’s matchup.
Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 88.8-mph figure last season has decreased to 86.1-mph.
Nolan Arenado’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 89.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 81.5-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
Ivan Herrera has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 10% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher this year.
Ivan Herrera will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Nolan Jones is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.
Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals.
Nolan Jones has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past two weeks.
Nolan Jones has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph dropping to 85.7-mph over the last 14 days.
In the last two weeks, Nolan Jones’s 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 10th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
Michael Toglia has been lucky this year, notching a .325 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .297 — a .028 deviation.
Ranking in the 4th percentile, Michael Toglia has notched a .197 batting average this year.
Batting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Ezequiel Tovar faces a tough challenge today.
Ezequiel Tovar’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 88.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 78.1-mph over the past week.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.281) may lead us to conclude that Ezequiel Tovar has been very fortunate this year with his .320 actual wOBA.
When it comes to plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar’s talent is quite bad, sporting a 9.22 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 1st percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Pedro Pages is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.
Pedro Pages will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
In the last 14 days, Pedro Pages’s 11.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.2%.
Kyle Freeland will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brendan Donovan in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brendan Donovan in today’s matchup.
Over the last week, Brendan Donovan’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 90.9 mph to 84.8 mph.
Batting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Brenton Doyle will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
In the last two weeks, Brenton Doyle’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.7% down to 3.3%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brenton Doyle’s true offensive ability to be a .298, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .027 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .325 wOBA.
Brenton Doyle has displayed poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile with a 3.65 K/BB rate.
Jordan Walker is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
When starting against a lefty on the mound this year, Jordan Walker has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 11% of the time.
Jordan Walker will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.9°, Jordan Walker has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.4°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Ryan McMahon’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, going from 14.9% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.
Ryan McMahon has compiled a .227 batting average this year, ranking in the 20th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 19th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.8°, Masyn Winn has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.5°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Masyn Winn’s true offensive talent to be a .290, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .025 difference between that figure and his actual .315 wOBA.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Paul Goldschmidt today.
Paul Goldschmidt’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 81.2-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
Paul Goldschmidt’s launch angle lately (3° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 13.1° seasonal figure.
Paul Goldschmidt has displayed poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 21st percentile with a 3.66 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 20th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Charlie Blackmon has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .252 BA is significantly inflated relative to his .219 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Sam Hilliard is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Sam Hilliard’s launch angle lately (0.8° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit worse than his 17.2° seasonal figure.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (22.9) provides evidence that Sam Hilliard has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his 32.6 actual HR/600.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Michael Siani ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Michael Siani is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.
Hitting from the same side that Kyle Freeland throws from, Michael Siani will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.
Michael Siani will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Charlie Blackmon has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .318 rate is quite a bit higher than his .288 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the worst venue in baseball for strikeouts.
Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Gibson in today’s game.
In his previous start, Kyle Gibson wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to tally 2 Ks.
Brendan Donovan’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, going from 17% on the season to 11.8% in the past week’s worth of games.
Ranking in the 25th percentile for power, Brendan Donovan has paced 12.8 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.
Michael Siani’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 87.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 83.4-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Ivan Herrera has been lucky this year, putting up a .336 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .017 disparity.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Nolan Arenado has experienced some positive variance this year. His .309 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .288.
In notching a .187 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Nolan Arenado finds himself in the 22nd percentile.
As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Kyle Freeland in the 21st percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kyle Freeland is projected to throw 84 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 11th-most of all pitchers on the slate today.
Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the St. Louis Cardinals with a 21.7% underlying K%.
In the past two weeks, Pedro Pages has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
Nolan Jones has performed at a clip of 7.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 19th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sam Hilliard in the 9th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Sam Hilliard has been lucky this year, posting a .349 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .292 — a .057 difference.
Last season, Ryan McMahon had a launch angle of 15.2° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 10.5°.
Compared to their .336 overall projected rate, the .295 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Colorado Rockies projected batting order in this game suggests this version of the lineup considerably a bit watered down.
The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Colorado Rockies has been 114.7 mph this year, ranking them as the #25 squad in the majors by this metric.
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