
STL @ COL






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 24th
24/09/24 20:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Cardinals vs Rockies Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Alec Burleson is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.
Coors Field grades out as the #1 venue in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.
Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Feltner in today’s matchup.
Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.
Posting a .267 batting average this year, Nolan Arenado finds himself in the 78th percentile.
Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jacob Stallings will hold that advantage today.
Last year, Jacob Stallings had an average launch angle of 11.1° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 16.5°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Nolan Jones will have an advantage today.
Charlie Blackmon is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
Charlie Blackmon will hold the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
When estimating his home run skill, Sam Hilliard ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Coors Field ranks as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Sam Hilliard will hold the platoon advantage over Michael McGreevy in today’s game.
Sam Hilliard has big-time HR ability (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (33.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael McGreevy doesn’t generate many whiffs (6th percentile K%) — great news for Hilliard.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Paul Goldschmidt has been unlucky this year, putting up a .307 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .334 — a .027 discrepancy.
The #1 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
Pedro Pages has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 90.7-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the 2nd-best field in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.
When it comes to plate discipline, Nolan Arenado’s skill is quite good, putting up a 2.08 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 75th percentile.
Today’s version of the Cardinals projected offense is weaker than usual, as their .310 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .321 overall projected rate.
Ryan Feltner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing bats in this game.
Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Ryan Feltner will hold that advantage today.
Jacob Stallings has put up a .328 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 79th percentile.
When it comes to his home run skill, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy today.
Brendan Donovan’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
Brendan Donovan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Feltner in today’s game.
Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Brendan Rodgers is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Jordan Walker has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last year’s 91.4-mph average.
Over the past 14 days, Jordan Walker’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.6-mph over the course of the season to 99.6-mph of late.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Feltner in today’s game.
The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
Michael Toglia has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Michael Toglia will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Michael McGreevy today.
When it comes to his home run talent, Michael Toglia ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.
Masyn Winn has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 3.5% seasonal rate to 8.7% in the past week’s worth of games.
Masyn Winn has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.7-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 87-mph average.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Brendan Rodgers will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Thomas Saggese’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 33.3% on the season to 42.9% in the last 7 days.
Jordan Walker has been unlucky this year, posting a .263 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .049 gap.
Alec Burleson may have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Sam Hilliard will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Nolan Jones will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
The Colorado Rockies have 6 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ezequiel Tovar, Jake Cave, Ryan McMahon, Nolan Jones, Sam Hilliard, Michael Toglia).
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Charlie Blackmon will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Ezequiel Tovar will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Ezequiel Tovar has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.4% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past two weeks.
Negative Match Player Stats with Cardinals vs Rockies
10% of the time that Alec Burleson has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-lowest humidity on the slate at 27%.
The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today.
Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Over the last week, Alec Burleson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Ryan Feltner will have the handedness advantage over Nolan Arenado in today’s game.
Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Jacob Stallings’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jacob Stallings is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Michael McGreevy throws from, Jacob Stallings will have a tough matchup in today’s game.
In the last 7 days, Jacob Stallings’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.8% up to 14.3%.
Nolan Jones is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
Nolan Jones has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 5.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week.
Nolan Jones’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 88.4-mph seasonal average has fallen to 83-mph over the past week.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Nolan Jones’s 7.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.2%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.220) provides evidence that Charlie Blackmon has experienced some positive variance this year with his .249 actual batting average.
Sporting a .275 BABIP this year, Charlie Blackmon is positioned in the 25th percentile.
Michael McGreevy will hold the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar in today’s game.
As it relates to his batting average, Ezequiel Tovar has been very fortunate this year. His .267 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .230.
Ezequiel Tovar has shown weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 1st percentile with a 9.13 K/BB rate.
Sam Hilliard is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 17.7°, Sam Hilliard has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1°) over the past 14 days.
In terms of his home runs, Sam Hilliard has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His 33.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.5.
Ryan Feltner will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Goldschmidt today.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Paul Goldschmidt today.
Paul Goldschmidt’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has dropped to 82.1-mph over the last 7 days.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Pedro Pages ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Pedro Pages is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.
This year, Pedro Pages has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 13% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
Ryan Feltner will have the handedness advantage over Pedro Pages in today’s matchup.
Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 88.8-mph figure last year has dropped to 86-mph.
Nolan Arenado’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 89.3-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 84.2-mph over the past 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Feltner to throw 82 pitches in this matchup (10th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season, The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in the game for batting average.
Collectively, St. Louis Cardinals bats have shined as it relates to hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (between -4° and 26°), rating 3rd-best in the game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Stallings in the 21st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
By putting up a .229 batting average this year, Ryan McMahon finds himself in the 23rd percentile.
Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
In the last week’s worth of games, Brendan Donovan’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 90.9 mph to 87.6 mph.
Michael McGreevy will hold the platoon advantage over Brendan Rodgers in today’s game.
Extreme groundball hitters like Brendan Rodgers tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael McGreevy.
Brendan Rodgers has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 5.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 4.7°, Brendan Rodgers has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.5°) in the past two weeks.
Jordan Walker is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.
20% of the time that Jordan Walker has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
Ryan Feltner will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Walker in today’s game.
Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Lars Nootbaar today.
In the past 7 days, Lars Nootbaar’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.8% down to 0%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 10th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Michael Toglia’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 91.9-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 82.2-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
Despite posting a .326 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Toglia has had some very good luck given the .029 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.
By putting up a .197 batting average this year, Michael Toglia is ranked in the 4th percentile.
When assessing his home run skill, Masyn Winn ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ryan Feltner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Masyn Winn today.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Masyn Winn in today’s matchup.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 13.1°, Masyn Winn has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.4°) over the past two weeks.
Thomas Saggese is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.
Batting from the same side that Ryan Feltner throws from, Thomas Saggese will have a tough challenge today.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Thomas Saggese in today’s matchup.
Ryan McMahon’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (10.2°) is considerably lower than his 15.2° angle last year.
Jordan Walker will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Alec Burleson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 14.1% on the season to 0% over the past week.
The St. Louis Cardinals (20.8 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 5th-least strikeout-heavy set of hitters of all teams today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the worst stadium in the majors for strikeouts.
In his previous start, Ryan Feltner wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 13.2°, Paul Goldschmidt has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.9°) in the past 14 days.
Lars Nootbaar’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 94.5-mph seasonal average has lowered to 83.9-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
Thomas Saggese has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) over the past week.
Brendan Donovan’s launch angle in recent games (7.3° in the last week) is a significant dropoff from his 13.2° seasonal figure.
Checking in at the 25th percentile for power, Brendan Donovan has paced 12.9 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sam Hilliard in the 10th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Despite posting a .350 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Sam Hilliard has had some very good luck given the .057 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .293.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Michael McGreevy in the 12th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Michael McGreevy to be on a pitch count in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 78 pitches.
With 6 batters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Michael McGreevy encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.289) implies that Charlie Blackmon has been lucky this year with his .313 actual wOBA.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.281) implies that Ezequiel Tovar has been very fortunate this year with his .321 actual wOBA.
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