Cardinals @ Astros Matchup Details

Positives for the St. Louis Cardinals Game Today

JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

,Minute Maid Park profiles as the #6 venue in the game for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

,JJ Wetherholt will hold the platoon advantage over Peter Lambert in today’s game.

,In the last 7 days, JJ Wetherholt’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.1-mph over the course of the season to 101.4-mph lately.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,The #6 field in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Cam Smith will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Cam Smith has made notable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 7.1% rate last season to 17.4% this year.

,In the last 7 days, Pedro Pages has posted a 23.7° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

,Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert in today’s matchup.

,Nolan Gorman has big-time HR ability (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (32.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Peter Lambert struggles to strike batters out (4th percentile K%) — great news for Gorman.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Christian Walker is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The 2nd-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Minute Maid Park.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.

,Over the past week, Ivan Herrera’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.9-mph over the course of the season to 104.1-mph in recent games.

,Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

,Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (48% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Isaac Paredes will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Peter Lambert’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 14th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball right now.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yainer Diaz (the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

,The maximum exit velocity of any player on the St. Louis Cardinals has been 117.9 mph since the start of last season, putting them as the #7 team in baseball by this stat.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kyle Leahy in the 11th percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.

,Kyle Leahy will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Kyle Leahy has recorded a 1.54 K/BB rate since the start of last season, grading out in the 9th percentile.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jose Altuve ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jose Altuve is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.8% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Yainer Diaz will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Yainer Diaz has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .293 figure is a fair amount lower than his .313 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for dingers.

,Batting from the opposite that Peter Lambert throws from, Victor Scott II will have the upper hand today.

,Victor Scott II has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Victor Scott II’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 84.4-mph over the course of the season to 93.3-mph lately.

,Batting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Taylor Trammell will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Taylor Trammell will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

,Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert in today’s matchup.

,Joey Loperfido will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Leahy in today’s game.

,Joey Loperfido has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Joey Loperfido will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Carlos Correa ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Carlos Correa is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage today.

,When assessing his home run ability, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Masyn Winn has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 88.3-mph.

,Masyn Winn has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 9.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit lower than his 13.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Nathan Church will have the handedness advantage over Peter Lambert today.

,Nathan Church has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.262) suggests that Nathan Church has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .234 actual wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,Jordan Walker is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

,Jordan Walker has strong power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (28.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Peter Lambert struggles to strike batters out (19th percentile K%) — great news for Walker.

,Yainer Diaz’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Yainer Diaz has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .251 rate is deflated compared to his .272 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Houston Astros Game Today

The league’s 3rd-highest average fence height can be found at Minute Maid Park.

,Minute Maid Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

,JJ Wetherholt hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for JJ Wetherholt in today’s game.

,Cam Smith is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Cam Smith will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

,Cam Smith has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and will be challenged by the game’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 11th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Pedro Pages is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

,When starting against a northpaw this year, Pedro Pages has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 14% of the time.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,12% of the time that Nolan Gorman has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

,Nolan Gorman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

,Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Christian Walker meets a tough challenge today.

,Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals.

,Christian Walker’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, going from 35.8% on the season to 30% over the past week.

,Christian Walker has been lucky this year, putting up a .400 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .325 — a .075 deviation.

,Peter Lambert will have the handedness advantage against Ivan Herrera today.

,Ivan Herrera has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ivan Herrera today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Kyle Leahy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Isaac Paredes in today’s game.

,The #1 ballpark in the game for suppressing walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Peter Lambert will hold that advantage today.

,The St. Louis Cardinals have done a bad job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-hit balls. Their 12.5° figure is among the lowest in the league since the start of last season (#26 overall).

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the Houston Astros in this game owns an estimated true talent wOBA of .325, which is quite a bit lower than their actual wOBA of .346 this year.

,It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the Houston Astros offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in the league this year.

,Projected catcher Pedro Pages projects as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Jose Altuve will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

,Jose Altuve’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 84.7-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 80.4-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,Jose Altuve’s launch angle this year (5.9°) is a considerable dropoff from his 18° mark last year.

,Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Kyle Leahy will have the handedness advantage against Yainer Diaz in today’s matchup.

,Yainer Diaz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Yordan Alvarez has been lucky this year, putting up a .500 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .404 — a .096 gap.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott II in the 8th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Victor Scott II is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

,When starting against a northpaw this year, Victor Scott II has been pinch hit for 21% of the time.

,Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Peter Lambert is projected to throw 81 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least of all pitchers today.

,Taylor Trammell is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,When starting against a northpaw since the start of last season, Taylor Trammell has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 23% of the time.

,Compiling a 1° launch angle in the past week’s worth of games suggests that Taylor Trammell has been finding it challenging to lift the ball in recent games, which is a key component of hitting for power.

,Today, Alec Burleson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.4% rate (95th percentile).

,Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.261) may lead us to conclude that Alec Burleson has been lucky since the start of last season with his .288 actual batting average.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Joey Loperfido ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Joey Loperfido is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 7.7°, Joey Loperfido has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4°) in the last two weeks.

,Kyle Leahy will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Correa in today’s matchup.

,In today’s game, Carlos Correa is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.6% rate (78th percentile).

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.7°, Carlos Correa has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.2°) in the last 14 days.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nolan Gorman today.

,Masyn Winn is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

,Batting from the same side that Peter Lambert throws from, Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Masyn Winn in today’s game.

,Masyn Winn’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.8% to 9.1%.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Nathan Church ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nathan Church is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,15% of the time that Nathan Church has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

,Peter Lambert will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Walker in today’s game.

,Today, Jordan Walker is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 41.1% rate (100th percentile).

,Jordan Walker will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Trammell in the 3rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Christian Walker has displayed weak plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 19th percentile with a 3.87 K/BB rate.

,In the past week, Joey Loperfido has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power).

,Isaac Paredes has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 5.8% rate last year has fallen to 0% this season.

,Isaac Paredes has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) in the past two weeks.

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