Rangers @ Mariners Matchup Details

Positives for the Texas Rangers Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 80th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers.

,Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Dominic Canzone will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Dominic Canzone’s launch angle this season (27.6°) is a significant increase over his 10.5° figure last year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Carter in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Evan Carter has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Evan Carter will have the upper hand today.

,Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

,Cole Young will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob deGrom today.

,Cole Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Cole Young will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Cole Young has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .279 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .320.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Josh Jung has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Josh Jung’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 48.7% to 64.9%.

,Josh Jung has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .295 mark is a good deal lower than his .311 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage today.

,In terms of plate discipline, Josh Smith’s talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.75 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 80th percentile.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 7th-best hitter in baseball.

,Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Corey Seager will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today’s matchup.

,Cal Raleigh projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Jacob deGrom in today’s game.

,Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.7% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Cal Raleigh will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,T-Mobile Park profiles as the #9 park in the majors for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.8% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

,As it relates to plate discipline, Cole Young’s talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.68 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 83rd percentile.

,Joc Pederson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

,Joc Pederson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today’s game.

,Joc Pederson pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.5% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Joc Pederson has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .273 mark is a fair amount lower than his .311 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Since the start of last season, Randy Arozarena has an average exit velocity of 91.4 mph, which is one of the best in baseball at the 85th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand today.

,Brandon Nimmo has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Wyatt Langford is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,The #9 venue in the league for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

,Wyatt Langford pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

,As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Wyatt Langford has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .327 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .357.

,Over the past 14 days, Wyatt Langford’s 61.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.9%.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Danny Jansen ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Josh Naylor will have an advantage today.

,Josh Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Josh Naylor will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 12.8°, Josh Naylor has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 20° mark over the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jacob deGrom as the 16th-best starter in the majors right now.

,Tallying 17.1 outs per start since the start of last season on average, Jacob deGrom checks in at the 83rd percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst stadium in Major League Baseball for batting average.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Luke Raley will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage today.

,Luke Raley has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last season to 19.4% this season.

,Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,J.P. Crawford has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal average of 97.1-mph.

,As it relates to his batting average, J.P. Crawford has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .261 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .293.

,When estimating his batting average talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 12th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Julio Rodriguez’s true offensive ability to be a .348, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .090 gap between that mark and his actual .258 wOBA.

,Brendan Donovan’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an edge in today’s game.

,Brendan Donovan has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage today.

,Despite posting a .233 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cal Raleigh has experienced some negative variance given the .107 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .340.

,When it comes to his strikeout skill, Jacob deGrom projects as the 8th-best pitcher in Major League Baseball currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The #2 park in the majors for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

,Jacob deGrom’s 96.4-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 91st percentile out of all starting pitchers.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Dominic Canzone has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .356 mark is quite a bit lower than his .372 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Logan Gilbert in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.

,Cal Raleigh, the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,When estimating his strikeout ability, Logan Gilbert projects as the 18th-best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball right now, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Luke Raley’s BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,When assessing his home run skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Julio Rodriguez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Seattle Mariners Game Today

Dominic Canzone is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,This year, Dominic Canzone has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 22% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

,T-Mobile Park projects as the #28 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

,The weather forecast expects the 2nd-most suitable pitching weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

,Evan Carter will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Young in the 25th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Cole Young is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Josh Jung is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Josh Jung faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Josh Smith ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Josh Smith is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Corey Seager has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph dropping to 85.7-mph in the last 7 days.

,The Texas Rangers outfield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest among every team playing today.

,Cal Raleigh has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 19% rate last season has dropped off to 9.1% this season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 1st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Danny Jansen is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

,T-Mobile Park profiles as the #30 stadium in the game for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Smith in today’s game.

,T-Mobile Park projects as the #30 ballpark in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 5th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Joc Pederson in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Jacob deGrom throws from, Randy Arozarena will have a tough challenge today.

,Dominic Canzone’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 95.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 92.7-mph in the past week.

,Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Brandon Nimmo’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, falling from 45.3% on the season to 31.3% over the last 7 days.

,Hitting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Wyatt Langford meets a tough challenge today.

,Wyatt Langford will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Wyatt Langford has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 13.8% rate last year has fallen to 7.1% this season.

,Logan Gilbert will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Danny Jansen in today’s game.

,Danny Jansen will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,It may be smart to expect positive regression for the Seattle Mariners offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 8th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

,T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in the league.

,With 7 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Jacob deGrom will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

,Jacob deGrom will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Jacob deGrom has recorded a .234 BABIP since the start of last season, making him one of the luckiest mound aces in MLB on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

,Luke Raley is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

,As it relates to his home run talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Hitting from the same side that Jacob deGrom throws from, Julio Rodriguez encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Over the past 7 days, Brendan Donovan’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.1% down to 0%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Josh Jung will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Randy Arozarena’s launch angle this year (6.6°) is considerably lower than his 13.4° mark last season.

,In the last week’s worth of games, J.P. Crawford has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power).

,It may be wise to expect better numbers for the Texas Rangers offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brandon Nimmo’s true offensive ability to be a .339, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .051 gap between that figure and his actual .390 wOBA.

,Joc Pederson has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 9.8% rate last year has lowered to 0% this season.

,Over the past 7 days, Joc Pederson’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 90 mph to 73.4 mph.

,Brendan Donovan’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 84.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 81.8-mph over the past week.

,Julio Rodriguez has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 10.1% rate last season has fallen to 4.2% this season.

,Julio Rodriguez’s launch angle this year (4.7°) is quite a bit lower than his 9.3° figure last season.

,Cole Young has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last week.

,Cole Young’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 87.6-mph EV last year has fallen to 84.9-mph.

,Cal Raleigh’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 90.8-mph EV last season has decreased to 83.8-mph.

,There has been a decrease in Josh Naylor’s average exit velocity this year, from 89.3 mph last year to 87.2 mph now

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