TOR @ ARI






Blue Jays @ D-Backs Matchup Details
Date : Todays Game is on Friday, April 17th
Time : 17/04/26 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Toronto Blue Jays Game Today
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Michael Soroka’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 83rd percentile out of all starters in baseball currently.
,The #2 venue in baseball for suppressing home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
,Among all stadiums, Chase Field’s centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest.
,In MLB, the 10th-tallest average fence height are at Chase Field.
,Among all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.
,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
,Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in the game for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.
,Jose Fernandez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.
,Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Batting from the opposite that Eric Lauer throws from, Jose Fernandez will have the upper hand today.
,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Checking in at the 84th percentile, Tyler Heineman has put up a .341 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.
,Posting a .295 batting average since the start of last season, Tyler Heineman grades out in the 95th percentile.
,When it comes to his home run talent, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,In the last week, Kazuma Okamoto’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.2-mph over the course of the season to 103.8-mph in recent games.
,Batting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have the upper hand in today’s game.
,Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage over Mike Soroka in today’s game.
,The Arizona Diamondbacks don’t have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Andres Gimenez is assured to never face a bullpen mismatch all game.
,Andres Gimenez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal average of 91.2-mph.
,Lenyn Sosa is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.
,Lenyn Sosa’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 46.6% to 55.6%.
,Sporting a .312 BABIP since the start of last season, Lenyn Sosa grades out in the 75th percentile.
,Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.
,Nolan Arenado will have the handedness advantage against Eric Lauer in today’s game.
,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jorge Barrosa will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,In the past week’s worth of games, Jorge Barrosa’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 30% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
,Davis Schneider is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
,Davis Schneider has been hot recently, posting a a 50% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) over the last 7 days.
,Kazuma Okamoto has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well of late, notching a 25.3° angle on such balls in the past 14 days.
,Ildemaro Vargas has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
,As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Ildemaro Vargas will get to bat from his strong side against Eric Lauer in this game.
,As it relates to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.
,Daulton Varsho has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.
,Batting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage today.
,Davis Schneider has paced 30.8 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Over the past 7 days, Ernie Clement’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87-mph over the course of the season to 96.6-mph lately.
,Over the last week, Ernie Clement’s 47.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 35.5%.
,Placing in the 91st percentile, Ernie Clement has notched a .285 batting average since the start of last season.
,Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,Despite posting a .268 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Geraldo Perdomo has had bad variance on his side given the .050 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.
,James McCann will have the handedness advantage over Eric Lauer in today’s game.
,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and James McCann will hold that advantage today.
,Based on Statcast data, Geraldo Perdomo grades out in the 85th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .354.
,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
,Jesus Sanchez is certain to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game since none of the available options for the Arizona Diamondbacks share his handedness.
,In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Tyler Heineman ranks in the 78th percentile with a 17.7° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the league.
,Tim Tawa will hold the platoon advantage over Eric Lauer in today’s game.
,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Tim Tawa will hold that advantage today.
,Compared to last season, Andres Gimenez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.3% to 22.4% this season.
,As it relates to his home run skill, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Extreme flyball hitters like Ildemaro Vargas usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Eric Lauer.
,James McCann has been hot lately, compiling a 98.5-mph average exit velocity over the past 7 days.
,Jorge Barrosa has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 16.3° figure is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (79th percentile).
,Lenyn Sosa’s launch angle this year (21.4°) is a considerable increase over his 18.4° angle last year.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Eric Lauer in the 15th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent.
,It may be best to expect improved performance for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.
,Tim Tawa has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .256 figure is quite a bit lower than his .289 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Andres Gimenez’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Fernandez will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 5th-best batter in the game.
,Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 92.7-mph average.
,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,Nolan Arenado’s launch angle this year (23.7°) is significantly better than his 19.1° angle last year.
,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage today.
Negatives with the Arizona Diamondbacks Game Today
This game is expected to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
,Placing 4th-steepest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season, Toronto Blue Jays bats as a group have compiled a 15.6° launch angle on their hardest-contacted balls (a reliable standard to evaluate power ability).
,The Toronto Blue Jays as a group rank 2nd- overall in MLB since the start of last season when it comes to the maximum exit velocity of all of the baseballs their [HITTER}s have hit.
,When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Jesus Sanchez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time.
,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jesus Sanchez today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fernandez in the 18th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
,Jose Fernandez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
,In the past 14 days, Jose Fernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 90.7 mph to 85.8 mph.
,Batting from the same side that Eric Lauer throws from, Corbin Carroll will not have the upper hand today.
,Today, Corbin Carroll is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.7% rate (81st percentile).
,In the last week’s worth of games, Corbin Carroll’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.2% down to 0%.
,Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 13.7% to 7.3%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Heineman in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
,Tyler Heineman is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.
,When starting against a righty hurler since the start of last season, Tyler Heineman has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 14% of the time.
,The switch-hitting Tyler Heineman will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Mike Soroka,Tyler Heineman pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
,Kazuma Okamoto has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Hitting from the same side that Mike Soroka throws from, Kazuma Okamoto will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
,Kazuma Okamoto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
,Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, decreasing from 7.3% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 11th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
,Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
,Batting from the same side that Mike Soroka throws from, Lenyn Sosa meets a tough challenge today.
,Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Lenyn Sosa in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
,Nolan Arenado’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 89.5-mph figure last year has decreased to 84.7-mph.
,When it comes to his batting average, Nolan Arenado has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .233 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .212.
,Nolan Arenado has posted a .282 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 14th percentile.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Barrosa in the 5th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
,Jorge Barrosa is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.
,When starting against a southpaw since the start of last season, Jorge Barrosa has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 14% of the time.
,Jorge Barrosa’s quickness has dropped off this year. His 28.88 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.39 ft/sec now.
,Since the start of last season, Davis Schneider has been pulled from the game early in 30% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.
,Mike Soroka will have the handedness advantage against Davis Schneider in today’s matchup.
,Chase Field ranks as the #26 park in the game for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 8th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
,There has been a decrease in Ildemaro Vargas’s average exit velocity this season, from 89.2 mph last year to 86.4 mph now,Ildemaro Vargas has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .338 mark is inflated compared to his .228 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,By putting up a 5.6 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Ildemaro Vargas has shown poor plate discipline, grading out in the 15th percentile.
,Mike Soroka will have the handedness advantage over Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today.
,In today’s matchup, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.8% rate (91st percentile).
,Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
,Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
,Arizona’s #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Daulton Varsho, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 10th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
,Ernie Clement is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.
,Batting from the same side that Mike Soroka throws from, Ernie Clement will have a disadvantage today.
,When estimating his home run ability, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Eric Lauer,Over the last 7 days, Geraldo Perdomo’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 87.1 mph to 71.9 mph.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 8th-worst venue in the game for strikeouts.
,The Arizona Diamondbacks have 8 batters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Eric Lauer in today’s game.
,Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Eric Lauer today.
,When assessing his overall offensive ability, James McCann ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,James McCann is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
,13% of the time that James McCann has started against a lefty on the mound since the start of last season, he has been pinch hit for.
,In today’s game, James McCann is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.6% rate (96th percentile).
,James McCann has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, lifting balls between 23° and 34° just 0% of the time over the last 7 days.
,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Daulton Varsho in today’s game.
,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ernie Clement in today’s matchup.
,Chase Field grades out as the #26 stadium in baseball for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 15th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Heineman in the 5th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Tawa in the 14th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
,Tim Tawa is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.
,Tim Tawa hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
,Tim Tawa has struggled with his Barrel%; his 9.6% rate last season has fallen to 4% this year.
,Tim Tawa’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 89.2-mph mark last year has fallen off to 87-mph.
,Daulton Varsho has struggled with his Barrel%; his 16.4% rate last year has decreased to 6.1% this year.
,Davis Schneider’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 6th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 18th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
,Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 20.2% to 5.8%.
,The Arizona Diamondbacks projected offense grades out as the weakest of the day in terms of overall batting ability.
,Eric Lauer is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.2% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #27 HR venue in Major League Baseball in this matchup.
,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andres Gimenez today.
,Andres Gimenez has put up a .285 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 14th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s launch angle this year (2.4°) is significantly worse than his 8.2° angle last season.
,Generating 14.3 outs per start since the start of last season on average, Eric Lauer ranks in the 14th percentile.
,In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Nolan Arenado has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .278 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .258.
,Lenyn Sosa has struggled with his Barrel%; his 10.1% rate last season has fallen off to 0% this season.
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