Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Brewers vs Dodgers Matchup Today

Dodger Stadium grades out as the #1 field in MLB for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-shortest fences among all major league parks.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.

There has been a significant improvement in Joey Ortiz’s launch angle from last year’s 9.6° to 14.1° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joey Ortiz’s true offensive skill to be a .301, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .046 difference between that figure and his actual .255 wOBA.

The #8 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

Jackson Chourio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Caleb Durbin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Over the last 14 days, Caleb Durbin’s 55% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 34.2%.

Caleb Durbin has displayed good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 94th percentile with a 1.24 K/BB rate.

Compared to his seasonal average of 13.5°, Caleb Durbin has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 17.7° mark in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the game.

Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the best stadium in the majors for left-handed home runs.

The 9th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 8th-best park in MLB for lefty batting average.

Hitting from the opposite that Quinn Priester throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have an advantage in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Mookie Betts ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Mookie Betts tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Quinn Priester.

Will Smith projects as the 17th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Will Smith is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball batters like Will Smith tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Quinn Priester.

When it comes to his home run talent, Michael Conforto ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Conforto will have the handedness advantage over Quinn Priester in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Michael Conforto will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Michael Conforto has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .184 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .229 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Tommy Edman will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Tommy Edman’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 36.9% to 48.2%.

As it relates to his batting average, Tommy Edman has been unlucky this year. His .223 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .276.

Will Smith, the Dodgers’s expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for home runs.

Tyler Glasnow projects as the 11th-best starter in Major League Baseball right now when it comes to his strikeout skill, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tyler Glasnow was rolling in his previous start and put up 8 strikeouts.

Out of all SPs, Tyler Glasnow’s fastball spin rate of 2510 rpm ranks in the 93rd percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Teoscar Hernandez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 90-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Freddie Freeman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

When estimating his batting average ability, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 17th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman will have the handedness advantage over Quinn Priester in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

William Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Yelich is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Christian Yelich will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

When assessing his home run talent, Jake Bauers ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball bats like Jake Bauers usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tyler Glasnow.

Los Angeles’s 3rd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Jake Bauers, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Bats such as Andy Pages with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Quinn Priester who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Andy Pages will hold that advantage in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), William Contreras (the Brewers’s expected catcher today) is considered to be a good pitch framer.

Quinn Priester is an extreme groundball pitcher (52.9% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #2 HR venue in the league — in this game.

Quinn Priester performed well in his last outing and conceded 1 ER.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Quinn Priester must realize this, because he has relied on his off-speed and breaking balls a lot this year: 58.5% of the time, grading out in the 76th percentile.

Given that groundball batters hold a notable edge over flyball pitchers, Quinn Priester and his 52.9% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome position in this matchup going up against 3 opposing GB batters.

Brice Turang is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Brice Turang will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Brice Turang hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

When it comes to plate discipline, Isaac Collins’s ability is quite good, putting up a 1.75 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 78th percentile.

Checking in at the 86th percentile, Isaac Collins has put up a .334 BABIP this year.

Negative Match Player Stats with Brewers vs Dodgers

Joey Ortiz is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Joey Ortiz has been pulled from the game early 14% of the time.

Batting from the same side that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Joey Ortiz has a tough challenge today.

Today, Joey Ortiz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.5% rate (95th percentile).

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Joey Ortiz in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Jackson Chourio faces a tough challenge today.

Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Jackson Chourio has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 22.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly inflated relative to his 18.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

With a 4.51 K/BB rate this year, Jackson Chourio has demonstrated poor plate discipline, checking in at the 13th percentile.

Jackson Chourio’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 16% to 13%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 12th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Caleb Durbin will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Caleb Durbin will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Caleb Durbin’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 88.8-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 81.3-mph over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 10th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (37.1) implies that Shohei Ohtani has been very fortunate this year with his 43.8 actual HR/600.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.380) may lead us to conclude that Shohei Ohtani has been lucky this year with his .409 actual wOBA.

Batting from the same side that Quinn Priester throws from, Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Mookie Betts has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 5.6% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.

Placing in the 7th percentile, Mookie Betts sports a .247 BABIP this year.

Hitting from the same side that Quinn Priester throws from, Will Smith will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

In terms of his batting average, Will Smith has been very fortunate this year. His .323 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .284.

Will Smith’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (16.6°) is considerably lower than his 21.3° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Will Smith’s true offensive talent to be a .364, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .049 disparity between that figure and his actual .413 wOBA.

Michael Conforto is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Michael Conforto has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 19% of the time.

Michael Conforto’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 90.4-mph seasonal average has lowered to 86.1-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

In the past 14 days, Michael Conforto’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (6.7°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 14.7°.

Michael Conforto has compiled a .279 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 16th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Tommy Edman is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Tommy Edman will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Quinn Priester today.

Tommy Edman’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 89.6-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 79.8-mph over the last 14 days.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.8°, Tommy Edman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-4.1°) in the past 14 days.

Checking in at the 22nd percentile, Tommy Edman has posted a .287 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Tommy Edman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 17.1% to 13.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tyler Glasnow in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.

The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 8th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward,Tyler Glasnow is an extreme groundball pitcher (44.9% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #2 HR venue among all major league stadiums — in today’s game.

Considering that groundball pitchers hold a significant edge over groundball batters, Tyler Glasnow and his 44.9% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong position in today’s outing matching up with 3 opposing GB batters.

Tyler Glasnow will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his metrics in all categories.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 7th-worst ballpark in the majors for strikeouts.

Tyler Glasnow’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.6 mph this season (94.8 mph) below where it was last year (96.4 mph).

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Tyler Glasnow has used his off-speed and breaking pitches 5.8% less often this year (40.5%) than he did last season (46.3%).

Considering the 0.5 disparity between Tyler Glasnow’s 11.23 K/9 and his 10.73 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and ought to see worse results going forward.

Tallying 11.5 outs per game per started this year on average, Tyler Glasnow places in the 1st percentile.

Quinn Priester will hold the platoon advantage over Teoscar Hernandez in today’s game.

In today’s game, Teoscar Hernandez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.4% rate (81st percentile).

Teoscar Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 96.3-mph average last season has dropped off to 93.2-mph.

Teoscar Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 43% on the season to 33.3% in the past 7 days.

In terms of plate discipline, Teoscar Hernandez’s talent is quite bad, posting a 5.05 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 9th percentile.

Freddie Freeman’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 94.4-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 87-mph in the past 14 days.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.321) provides evidence that Freddie Freeman has experienced some positive variance this year with his .359 actual wOBA.

Tyler Glasnow will hold the platoon advantage over William Contreras in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball hitters like William Contreras tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Tyler Glasnow.

William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

William Contreras has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 10% rate last year has dropped off to 4.5% this year.

William Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, falling from 8.5% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

Extreme groundball hitters like Christian Yelich are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tyler Glasnow.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Yelich in today’s matchup.

Christian Yelich has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph dropping to 79-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Christian Yelich’s launch angle this season (1.4°) is quite a bit lower than his 5.1° figure last year.

When it comes to his home runs, Christian Yelich has had some very good luck this year. His 29.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.8.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Christian Yelich has experienced some positive variance this year. His .344 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .321.

Jake Bauers is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

25% of the time that Jake Bauers has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Jake Bauers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Jake Bauers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Jake Bauers’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (18.5°) is significantly worse than his 22.4° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 14th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Batting from the same side that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Andrew Vaughn encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Andrew Vaughn will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

This year, there has been a decline in Andrew Vaughn’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.35 ft/sec last year to 25.79 ft/sec currently.

With a .266 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Andrew Vaughn finds himself in the 10th percentile.

When it comes to plate discipline, Andrew Vaughn’s skill is quite poor, posting a 5.25 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 8th percentile.

Andy Pages is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the same side that Quinn Priester throws from, Andy Pages will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Over the last two weeks, Andy Pages’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.8% down to 0%.

Andy Pages’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 91.6-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 82.7-mph in the last two weeks.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 16.3°, Andy Pages has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-7.7°) over the last 14 days.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Quinn Priester is projected to throw 83 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of the day.

The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup grades out as the best of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Quinn Priester in the 19th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

Quinn Priester will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 8th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Extreme groundball hitters like Brice Turang usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Tyler Glasnow.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brice Turang today.

Brice Turang’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 90.6-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 85.4-mph in the past 14 days.

Using Statcast metrics, Brice Turang grades out in the 8th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 7.200.

Isaac Collins is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Isaac Collins will bat from his weak side against Tyler Glasnow in this game.

Isaac Collins pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Isaac Collins will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Over the past 14 days, Isaac Collins’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%.

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