Brewers @ D-Backs Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Milwaukee Brewers Series Game 3 Game Today

William Contreras’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

,The #3 park in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

,Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

,William Contreras will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s game.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Gary Sanchez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Gary Sanchez will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Gary Sanchez’s launch angle recently (28° in the past 7 days) is significantly better than his 15.6° seasonal mark.

,Gary Sanchez has paced 25.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 82nd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Jake Bauers is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Bauers has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 10.1°, Jake Bauers has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 31.8° mark in the last week’s worth of games.

,Jake Bauers has compiled a .338 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 84th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Jackson Chourio is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Jackson Chourio will hold the platoon advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in the game for left-handed base hits.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage today.

,Ildemaro Vargas’s launch angle this season (10.8°) is quite a bit higher than his 3.2° figure last season.

,Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Cooper Pratt will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 0.3°, Cooper Pratt has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 3.5° angle over the last 7 days.

,Batting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Max Kepler will have an edge in today’s game.

,Max Kepler will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

,Max Kepler has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .296 figure is considerably lower than his .332 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Andrew Vaughn’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Andrew Vaughn will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Nolan Arenado’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.3-mph over the course of the season to 90.7-mph of late.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for BABIP.

,Eduardo Rodriguez’s 91.4-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 10th percentile among all starters.

,Eduardo Rodriguez has been lucky this year, posting a 2.21 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.71 — a 2.5 gap.

,Eduardo Rodriguez has been one of the luckiest hurlers in Major League Baseball on balls in play this year with a .242 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.

,Eduardo Rodriguez has compiled a 1.81 K/BB rate this year, placing in the 9th percentile.

,Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

,As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Geraldo Perdomo will get to bat from his better side against Brandon Sproat in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage today.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 13.2°, Geraldo Perdomo has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 38.4° angle over the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Nolan Arenado’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 38.1% to 43.3%.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Garrett Mitchell stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

,Garrett Mitchell has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.8-mph to 98.7-mph in the last week.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Garrett Mitchell ranks in the 75th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .328.

,Garrett Mitchell has recorded a .346 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 76th percentile.

,It may be smart to expect stronger performance for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

,With 6 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Brandon Sproat meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

,Brandon Sproat will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,In his last outing, Brandon Sproat allowed a staggering 7 earned runs.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell as the 5th-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Garrett Mitchell has compiled a .273 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Ketel Marte projects as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Tommy Troy will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Tommy Troy has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 87-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 84.7-mph EV.

,Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Joey Ortiz will have an advantage today.

,Joey Ortiz has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.5-mph average to last season’s 86.2-mph average.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joey Ortiz’s true offensive skill to be a .296, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .049 difference between that mark and his actual .247 wOBA.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,William Contreras has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.3-mph EV.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brice Turang ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Brice Turang is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Brice Turang is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

,In the past 7 days, Brice Turang’s 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.4%.

,Brandon Sproat’s 95.4-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 83rd percentile out of all starting pitchers.

,Grading out in the 75th percentile, Brandon Sproat has recorded a 25.6% K% this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Troy in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jackson Chourio ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jackson Chourio has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last season’s 89.3-mph figure.

,Throwing 94.3 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Eduardo Rodriguez places in the 89th percentile.

,Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Eduardo Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Eduardo Rodriguez has gone to his change-up 7% more often this year (27.4%) than he did last season (20.4%).

,Gary Sanchez has compiled a .358 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 84th percentile.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Andrew Vaughn has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.6-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90-mph EV.

,Ketel Marte has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.5% seasonal rate to 17.9% over the past 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Gabriel Moreno has compiled a .343 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 79th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Geraldo Perdomo has recorded a .354 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 85th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Max Kepler’s 12% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) is in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jake Bauers ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Arizona Diamondbacks Series Game 3 Game Today

In the majors, the 10th-tallest average fence height are at Chase Field.

,The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.

,William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams in action today.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for William Contreras in today’s game.

,Gary Sanchez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.

,The #2 stadium in the game for suppressing home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

,Gary Sanchez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

,Chase Field projects as the #25 stadium in the game for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,In the league, Chase Field’s CF fences are the 3rd-deepest.

,Hitting from the same side that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Jake Bauers will be in a tough position today.

,Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Ildemaro Vargas is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

,As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Ildemaro Vargas will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Brandon Sproat in today’s matchup.

,Gary Sanchez’s BABIP skill is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cooper Pratt in the 12th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Cooper Pratt is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 9th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Max Kepler is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

,Max Kepler pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

,Out of every team in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

,In today’s matchup, Andrew Vaughn is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.2% rate (81st percentile).

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andrew Vaughn today.

,Hitting from the same side that Brandon Sproat throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

,In today’s game, Gabriel Moreno is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40% rate (99th percentile).

,Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

,The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 6th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games,Nestor Ceja projects as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be umping in today’s game.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Corbin Carroll pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Corbin Carroll has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 12.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 5th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Garrett Mitchell is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Eduardo Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Mitchell in today’s game.

,As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Brandon Sproat today.

,Today, Ketel Marte is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.9% rate (94th percentile).

,Tommy Troy is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

,Brandon Sproat will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tommy Troy in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 24th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Joey Ortiz is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Joey Ortiz has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

,Jackson Chourio’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 95.3-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 89.6-mph in the past 14 days.

,Ildemaro Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Batting from the same side that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Brice Turang faces a tough challenge today.

,Brice Turang hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Sproat to throw 83 pitches in today’s game (4th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 19.4% underlying K%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-worst park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

,Tommy Troy hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded a 7.9% Swinging Strike rate this year, placing in the 8th percentile.

,Checking in at the 18th percentile, Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded a 17.3% strikeout rate this year.

,Joey Ortiz’s BABIP talent is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,When estimating his home run skill, Ildemaro Vargas ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Geraldo Perdomo has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph dropping to 84.2-mph in the past two weeks.

,From last year to this one, Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 20.2% to 14.3%.

,Corbin Carroll’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 95.2-mph seasonal average has lowered to 88.5-mph over the last two weeks.

,William Contreras has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.5% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Cooper Pratt in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brice Turang in today’s game.

,Gabriel Moreno has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Andrew Vaughn has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 11.9% rate last season has dropped off to 3.5% this year.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Bauers in today’s matchup.

,Brandon Sproat will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado today.

,By putting up a .258 BABIP this year, Ketel Marte is ranked in the 15th percentile.

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