Marlins @ Athletics Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Miami Marlins Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best field in the majors for run-scoring.

,Among all major league stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.

,A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 97°.

,The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 14.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.

,Batting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Owen Caissie in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.

,The Athletics infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among every team playing today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Heriberto Hernandez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

,The #2 venue in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Shea Langeliers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

,Liam Hicks is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

,The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Eury Perez’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 81st percentile among all SPs in the league right now.

,Today’s version of the Athletics projected batting order is weaker than usual, as their .320 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .336 overall projected rate.

,It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Junior Valentine) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

,In the league, Sutter Health Park’s left field fences are the 6th-deepest.

,Out of all starters, Eury Perez’s fastball velocity of 97.5 mph ranks in the 98th percentile this year.

,Esteury Ruiz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,As it relates to his BABIP skill, Henry Bolte is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Nick Kurtz ranks as the 8th-best batter in baseball.

,Nick Kurtz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Javier Sanoja is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,When estimating his home run skill, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Alika Williams will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

,When estimating his home run talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 84th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,Zack Gelof has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Carlos Cortes is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

,Extreme flyball batters like Joshua Kuroda-Grauer usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Eury Perez.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 9th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average skill.

,Otto Lopez is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

,Carlos Cortes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez today.

,Alika Williams’s launch angle recently (24.8° over the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 19.2° seasonal figure.

,Batters such as Henry Bolte with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Eury Perez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs.

,Lawrence Butler is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,Lawrence Butler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Eury Perez in the 93rd percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.

,The Athletics have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Zack Gelof, Henry Bolte, Nick Kurtz).

,Eury Perez was firing on all cylinders in his previous start and accumulated 8 strikeouts.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Owen Caissie in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Zack Gelof will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Otto Lopez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Projected catcher Shea Langeliers profiles as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Gage Jump in the 85th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

,The Miami Marlins have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Stowers, Joe Mack, Owen Caissie, Heriberto Hernandez).

,Among all starters, Gage Jump’s fastball velocity of 95.6 mph grades out in the 84th percentile this year.

,Leo Jimenez will hold the platoon advantage against Gage Jump in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joshua Kuroda-Grauer in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Tallying 17.1 outs per GS this year on average, Gage Jump ranks in the 77th percentile.

,Batting from the opposite that Gage Jump throws from, Esteury Ruiz will have an edge today.

Negatives with the Athletics Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 15th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Jeff McNeil is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.

,Home runs are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and Sutter Health Park has the 9th-deepest in Major League Baseball.

,From last season to this one, Jeff McNeil’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 89.6 mph to 86.5 mph.

,Jeff McNeil’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 17.6% to 14.4%.

,Owen Caissie is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

,Gage Jump will have the handedness advantage over Owen Caissie in today’s matchup.

,Owen Caissie hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Owen Caissie will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Owen Caissie has notched a .240 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 15th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Heriberto Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

,Heriberto Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Over the last 7 days, Heriberto Hernandez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.6% down to 0%.

,In the last 7 days, Heriberto Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 95.3 mph to 90.1 mph.

,Heriberto Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 40.6% on the season to 25% in the past two weeks.

,Eury Perez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shea Langeliers in today’s game.

,In today’s game, Shea Langeliers is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.9% rate (82nd percentile).

,Typically, bats like Shea Langeliers who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Eury Perez.

,Gage Jump will hold the platoon advantage against Liam Hicks in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Liam Hicks in today’s matchup.

,Liam Hicks’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 88.9-mph seasonal average has decreased to 78.7-mph over the last 7 days.

,Liam Hicks’s launch angle recently (-9° over the last 7 days) is considerably lower than his 14° seasonal angle.

,The #1 stadium in baseball for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.

,Eury Perez is an extreme flyball pitcher (42.2% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #2 HR venue among all stadiums in this matchup.

,Esteury Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

,Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Esteury Ruiz today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Esteury Ruiz’s true offensive skill to be a .304, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .051 disparity between that figure and his actual .355 wOBA.

,Esteury Ruiz has recorded a .167 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 1st percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Henry Bolte is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Hitting from the same side that Eury Perez throws from, Henry Bolte will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Henry Bolte hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Henry Bolte has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph dropping to 83.8-mph in the past 7 days.

,Henry Bolte has been lucky this year, compiling a .334 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .030 deviation.

,Nick Kurtz has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Nick Kurtz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 16.7% on the season to 0% over the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Kurtz’s true offensive talent to be a .382, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .018 deviation between that mark and his actual .400 wOBA.

,Javier Sanoja pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Javier Sanoja in today’s game.

,Despite posting a .321 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Javier Sanoja has been lucky given the .018 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303.

,Using Statcast data, Javier Sanoja ranks in the 4th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 1.900.

,Javier Sanoja’s 86.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 3rd percentile this year.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Alika Williams ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Alika Williams is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that Eury Perez throws from, Alika Williams encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Alika Williams’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 85.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 79.2-mph over the past 14 days.

,Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

,Hitting from the same side that Gage Jump throws from, Kyle Stowers will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,Kyle Stowers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Batting from the same side that Eury Perez throws from, Zack Gelof meets a tough challenge today.

,Zack Gelof has been lucky this year, posting a .358 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .314 — a .044 deviation.

,With a .145 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Zack Gelof finds himself in the 4th percentile.

,Placing in the 18th percentile, the hardest ball Zack Gelof has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.1 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

,40% of the time that Carlos Cortes has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,Carlos Cortes has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Despite posting a .343 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carlos Cortes has been very fortunate given the .031 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

,In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Carlos Cortes ranks in just the 10th percentile with a 7.5° launch angle, which is one of the lowest angles in MLB.

,When estimating his home run talent, Joshua Kuroda-Grauer ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Joshua Kuroda-Grauer is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Eury Perez throws from, Joshua Kuroda-Grauer will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Otto Lopez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 91.6-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 88.3-mph over the past 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Otto Lopez’s true offensive skill to be a .332, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .037 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .369 wOBA.

,In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Otto Lopez ranks in just the 10th percentile with a 7.3° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in the majors.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Cortes in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,This season, there has been a decline in Carlos Cortes’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.61 ft/sec last year to 25.93 ft/sec currently.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alika Williams ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,In today’s matchup, Lawrence Butler is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.9% rate (97th percentile).

,In the last week, Lawrence Butler’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.

,Lawrence Butler’s launch angle this year (3.8°) is a considerable dropoff from his 9.2° figure last year.

,Lawrence Butler’s launch angle lately (-0.4° in the past 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 3.8° seasonal angle.

,Ranking in the 4th percentile, Lawrence Butler sits with a .253 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

,Leo Jimenez is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,In today’s matchup, Leo Jimenez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.1% rate (98th percentile).

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Leo Jimenez in today’s game.

,Leo Jimenez has been cold in recent games, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) in the past week’s worth of games.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Leo Jimenez grades out in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .198.

,Sutter Health Park ranks as the #23 venue in the league for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Eury Perez (42.2% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 2 FB hitters in Sacramento’s projected lineup.

,Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Eury Perez in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liam Hicks in the 15th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Over the past two weeks, Henry Bolte’s 6.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.9%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Gage Jump in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent.

,It may be sensible to expect weaker performance for the Miami Marlins offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 4th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

,Gage Jump will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats in all categories.

,By putting up a .220 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Zack Gelof finds himself in the 8th percentile for offensive skills.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 16th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,When estimating his home run ability, Leo Jimenez ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 8th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Javier Sanoja’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, falling from 11.8% on the season to 8.3% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 13.1°, Heriberto Hernandez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9.8°) over the past 14 days.

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