Giants @ Rockies Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the San Francisco Giants Series Game 3 Game Today

Jung Hoo Lee is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

,The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

,Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Gordon throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Jung Hoo Lee has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.

,Luis Arraez is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

,The #1 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

,Batting from the opposite that Tanner Gordon throws from, Luis Arraez will have an advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,When assessing his home run ability, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the opposite that Tanner Gordon throws from, Bryce Eldridge will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Coors Field grades out as the #1 venue in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Out of every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

,Manny Gonzalez grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be umping today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in the game for batting average.

,In his previous GS, Tanner Gordon allowed a colossal 7 earned runs.

,Jake McCarthy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,Jake McCarthy will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Mahle in today’s matchup.

,T.J. Rumfield is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, T.J. Rumfield will have an edge today.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and T.J. Rumfield will hold that advantage today.

,Jake McCarthy will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Compared to his seasonal average of 23°, Willy Adames has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 32.1° angle in the last two weeks.

,Despite posting a .302 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Willy Adames has experienced some negative variance given the .028 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

,Cole Carrigg is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Ezequiel Tovar will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Ezequiel Tovar’s launch angle lately (20.5° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 17.2° seasonal figure.

,Ezequiel Tovar has been unlucky this year, compiling a .250 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .049 discrepancy.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Schmitt in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Casey Schmitt is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Casey Schmitt has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.9% seasonal rate to 20.6% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the league for LHB batting average.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

,When assessing his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,When it comes to his batting average skill, Luis Arraez is projected as the 5th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hunter Goodman projects as the 14th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Schmitt in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luis Arraez can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

,Kyle Karros will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Kyle Karros has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.4% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last 7 days.

,Kyle Karros has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 99.1-mph in the past 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,Batting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an edge today.

,The San Francisco Giants have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Willy Adames, Bryce Eldridge, Eric Haase).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 19th-best batter in MLB when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Edouard Julien will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Mahle in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Gordon today.

,Cole Carrigg will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Cole Carrigg has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.1-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 85.8-mph average.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Edouard Julien has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.5-mph to 94.5-mph over the last two weeks.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The Barrel% of Heliot Ramos has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.9% last year to 15.5% this year.

,The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Eldridge stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

,Bryce Eldridge’s BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage today.

,Tyler Freeman will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,In the last 7 days, Tyler Freeman’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.3-mph over the course of the season to 92.8-mph recently.

,Tyler Freeman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 12.1% on the season to 20% over the last week.

Negatives with the Colorado Rockies Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 4th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jung Hoo Lee today.

,Jung Hoo Lee’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 87.7-mph seasonal average has lowered to 77.9-mph over the last week.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.7°, Jung Hoo Lee has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.2°) over the last 14 days.

,Jung Hoo Lee has been cold recently, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) over the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 0th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez in today’s matchup.

,Despite posting a .350 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Luis Arraez has been lucky given the .044 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .306.

,In notching a .000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Luis Arraez has performed in the 0th percentile for power.

,Despite posting a .347 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jung Hoo Lee has been lucky given the .031 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.

,Posting a 4.900 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jung Hoo Lee is positioned in the 8th percentile for power.

,Bryce Eldridge is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryce Eldridge today.

,In the past two weeks, Bryce Eldridge’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.5% down to 4.5%.

,In the past two weeks, Bryce Eldridge’s 4.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.4%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bryce Eldridge’s true offensive skill to be a .327, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .030 difference between that figure and his actual .357 wOBA.

,Kyle Karros is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

,Tyler Mahle will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Karros in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kyle Karros’s true offensive skill to be a .310, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .023 gap between that mark and his actual .333 wOBA.

,Kyle Karros has notched a .247 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 17th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Given that flyball pitchers hold a significant edge over flyball bats, Tanner Gordon and his 38% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position in today’s outing going up against 2 opposing FB bats.

,Tanner Gordon will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his metrics across the board.

,It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Tanner Gordon has utilized his secondary pitches 12.8% more often this year (60%) than he did last year (47.2%).

,Given the 2.43 difference between Tanner Gordon’s 6.69 ERA and his 4.27 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the game this year and ought to see positive regression going forward.

,Tanner Gordon has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in the game on balls in play this year with a .373 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

,Kyle Karros has paced 0.5 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 5th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 13th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Jake McCarthy’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.

,Jake McCarthy’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 90.9-mph figure last season has fallen to 88.3-mph.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.6°, Jake McCarthy has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-5.7°) over the last 14 days.

,Despite posting a .353 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake McCarthy has had positive variance on his side given the .051 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .302.

,Over the past 14 days, T.J. Rumfield’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 89.3 mph to 84.4 mph.

,T.J. Rumfield has been lucky this year, putting up a .372 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .305 — a .067 difference.

,T.J. Rumfield’s 84.5-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in the league this year: 3rd percentile.

,Tyler Freeman is penciled in 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

,Tyler Mahle will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Freeman in today’s matchup.

,Tyler Freeman’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 90.2-mph average last year has dropped off to 87.6-mph.

,Tyler Freeman has performed at a clip of 2.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 4th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Posting a .124 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Tyler Freeman grades out in the 6th percentile.

,Willy Adames has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

,Batting from the same side that Tanner Gordon throws from, Willy Adames will have a tough matchup today.

,Extreme groundball batters like Willy Adames tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Gordon.

,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Willy Adames in today’s matchup.

,Willy Adames’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 88.4-mph seasonal average has lowered to 82.2-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tanner Gordon to throw 81 pitches in this matchup (2nd-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,Cole Carrigg has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last 14 days.

,Cole Carrigg’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, going from 10.4% on the season to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Cole Carrigg has been lucky this year, compiling a .355 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .298 — a .057 deviation.

,Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Tyler Mahle will hold the platoon advantage over Ezequiel Tovar in today’s matchup.

,In the last 14 days, Ezequiel Tovar’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.

,Ezequiel Tovar’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 87.6-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 85.4-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,Ezequiel Tovar has put up a .235 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 2nd percentile.

,Batting from the same side that Tanner Gordon throws from, Casey Schmitt will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

,Extreme groundball batters like Casey Schmitt tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Gordon.

,Casey Schmitt will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Casey Schmitt has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 1st percentile with an 8.55 K/BB rate.

,Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Rafael Devers has shown poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 24th percentile with a 3.31 K/BB rate.

,Hitting from the same side that Tanner Gordon throws from, Heliot Ramos will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Heliot Ramos today.

,Heliot Ramos has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 10th percentile with a 4.26 K/BB rate.

,Mickey Moniak has been lucky this year, putting up a .397 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .069 gap.

,As it relates to plate discipline, Jake McCarthy’s talent is quite bad, sporting a 3.31 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 24th percentile.

,T.J. Rumfield’s BABIP skill is projected in the 18th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the same side that Tyler Mahle throws from, Hunter Goodman meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Despite posting a .358 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Hunter Goodman has been very fortunate given the .027 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

,Using Statcast data, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .217.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Hunter Goodman’s skill is quite bad, putting up a 4.71 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 8th percentile.

,Luis Arraez has averaged 6.3 homers per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 10th percentile for power.

,Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Tyler Mahle is projected to throw 85 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least of the day.

,Coors Field projects as the #30 venue in the league for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,In the past two weeks, Ezequiel Tovar’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.7%.

,Edouard Julien is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

,Edouard Julien has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week.

,Edouard Julien has put up a .286 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 19th percentile.

,In notching a .220 batting average this year, Edouard Julien is ranked in the 19th percentile.

,Hunter Goodman has recorded a .258 BABIP this year, checking in at the 15th percentile.

,Checking in at the 4th percentile, Edouard Julien sports a .117 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Colorado Rockies today carries an estimated true talent wOBA of .312, which is a fair amount lower than their actual wOBA of .325 this year.

,The Colorado Rockies have been the 10th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward,Tyler Mahle was rolling in his previous GS and gave up 2 ER.

,With a 1.31 gap between Tyler Mahle’s 5.67 ERA and his 4.36 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the game this year and figures to see positive regression the rest of the season.

,Colorado’s 87.9-mph average exit velocity this year is among the worst in MLB: #29 overall.

,By putting up a 3.36 K/BB rate this year, Tyler Freeman has demonstrated bad plate discipline, placing in the 23rd percentile.

,Mickey Moniak has shown poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 7th percentile with a 4.76 K/BB rate.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Tyler Freeman ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

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