Rockies vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Friday, April 11th

|
Rockies vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Friday, April 11th

COL @ SD

Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres Rockies vs PadresRockies vs PadresRockies vs PadresRockies vs PadresRockies vs PadresRockies vs Padres

World Matchup Details

Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres

Todays Game is on Friday, April 11th
11/04/25 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Rockies vs Padres Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Brenton Doyle hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Brenton Doyle has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season’s 89.1-mph figure.

Among all major league parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 80th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for right-handed home runs.

The Colorado Rockies have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward,Petco Park has the shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.

Nick Pivetta is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #10 HR venue in MLB today.

Nick Pivetta’s higher utilization percentage of his fastball this season (54.4 vs. 48.2% last year) is not ideal considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Nick Pivetta in the 92nd percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.

The Colorado Rockies (26.6% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the most strikeout-prone set of hitters on the slate today.

The #3 venue in the game for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Jason Heyward will have the handedness advantage over German Marquez in today’s matchup.

Jason Heyward will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jason Heyward’s quickness has increased this season. His 26.83 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.31 ft/sec now.

Jason Heyward has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .207 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .231 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Petco Park profiles as the #9 stadium in baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kyle Farmer is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Kyle Farmer has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 5.4% rate last season to 11.1% this year.

Kyle Farmer’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 20.8% to 25.9%.

German Marquez will have the handedness advantage over 6 opposing hitters in today’s game.

Because groundball pitchers hold a significant edge over groundball batters, German Marquez and his 47.1% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong spot in today’s matchup squaring off against 3 opposing GB batters.

The 4th-worst projected batting order on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the the San Diego Padres.

It may be smart to expect weaker performance for the San Diego Padres offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

German Marquez is an extreme groundball pitcher (47.1% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Petco Park — the #10 HR venue in Major League Baseball — in this matchup.

As a team, San Diego Padres bats have shined when assessing hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to optimize base hits (between -4° and 26°), rating best in the league.

When it comes to his home run talent, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Pivetta in today’s matchup.

Ryan McMahon’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 15.1% to 18.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today’s game.

With a .336 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Manny Machado is positioned in the 76th percentile for hitting ability.

Luis Arraez is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

Luis Arraez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against German Marquez in today’s game.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Luis Arraez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Arraez will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 84th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Mickey Moniak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today’s game.

Mickey Moniak has been unlucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 20.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly deflated relative to his 24.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mickey Moniak’s 19.3° launch angle (a reliable standard to measure a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 91st percentile.

In the past week, Mickey Moniak has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .377.

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Batting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Gavin Sheets will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Gavin Sheets will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Since the start of last season, Michael Toglia has an average exit velocity of 92.2 mph, which ranks among the elite in the league at the 93rd percentile.

Placing in the 89th percentile for power, Michael Toglia has paced 27.7 homers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.224) may lead us to conclude that Michael Toglia has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .210 actual batting average.

Brandon Lockridge will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Ranking in the 98th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.39 ft/sec this year, Brandon Lockridge is quite fast.

Negative Match Player Stats with Rockies vs Padres

The #6 ballpark in baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense.

Batting from the same side that Nick Pivetta throws from, Brenton Doyle will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Among every team in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.

Brenton Doyle will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Brenton Doyle’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 17.5% to 14%.

Sporting a 3.61 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Brenton Doyle has shown weak plate discipline, checking in at the 22nd percentile.

The 2nd-weakest projected offense of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the Colorado Rockies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in baseball for batting average.

Nick Pivetta will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats in all categories.

Nick Pivetta turned in a great performance in his last outing and allowed 0 ER.

Nick Pivetta has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, notching a 10.41 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.89 — a 0.52 K/9 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jason Heyward in the 5th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Jason Heyward is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.

Petco Park profiles as the #25 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jason Heyward pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Jason Heyward has been cold of late, struggling to the tune of a .199 wOBA in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Jason Heyward’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) has been 108.4 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 15th percentile.

Nick Pivetta will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Farmer in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Farmer in today’s game.

From last season to this one, Kyle Farmer’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 90.3 mph to 84.6 mph.

German Marquez has averaged 69.1 adjusted pitches per game per started since the start of last season, checking in at the 2nd percentile.

The San Diego Padres (18.8 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy team of hitters of the day.

German Marquez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. German Marquez has utilized his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 61.6% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ryan McMahon today.

Ryan McMahon’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 95.6-mph average last year has dropped off to 89.5-mph.

Ryan McMahon’s quickness has fallen off this season. His 25.91 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.95 ft/sec now.

Hitting from the same side that German Marquez throws from, Manny Machado meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Manny Machado’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 92.5-mph EV last year has lowered to 90.2-mph.

Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 12.3% to 9.3%.

When estimating his home run talent, Luis Arraez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

There has been a significant decline in Luis Arraez’s launch angle from last season’s 13.5° to 8.9° this year.

Utilizing Statcast data, Luis Arraez grades out in the 2nd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 2.000.

Since the start of last season, Luis Arraez’s 1.5% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 1st percentile among his peers.

Since the start of last season, Luis Arraez’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to measure power) is in the 6th percentile at 87.9 mph.

Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Mickey Moniak pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Typically, bats like Mickey Moniak who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Nick Pivetta.

Mickey Moniak will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 20th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Gavin Sheets pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Gavin Sheets’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 17.5% to 11.5%.

Gavin Sheets has hit 23.5% of his balls in the air 100+ mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 25th percentile.

Placing in the 19th percentile for power, Gavin Sheets has paced 11.3 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 4th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Michael Toglia is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Toglia in today’s game.

Michael Toglia has struggled with his Barrel%; his 17.3% rate last season has dropped to 3.6% this season.

There has been a significant decline in Michael Toglia’s launch angle from last season’s 15.1° to 8.3° this season.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (26.7) suggests that Michael Toglia has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his 29.8 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lockridge in the 8th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Brandon Lockridge is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that German Marquez throws from, Brandon Lockridge faces a tough challenge today.

Typically, bats like Brandon Lockridge who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as German Marquez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lockridge in the 11th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Latest San Diego Padres Match Player Stats

Latest Colorado Rockies Match Player Stats