
MIL @ CHC

Brewers @ Cubs Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series : Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Monday, August 18th
Time : 18/08/25 20:05:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Milwaukee Brewers Game Today
Joey Ortiz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
Joey Ortiz has been unlucky this year, putting up a .273 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .029 discrepancy.
Caleb Durbin pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Caleb Durbin has displayed strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 93rd percentile with a 1.34 K/BB rate.
Matt Shaw will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Matt Shaw has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 6.2% seasonal rate to 15.8% over the past 14 days.
Matt Shaw’s launch angle of late (34.3° in the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 11.7° seasonal mark.
As it relates to his batting average, Matt Shaw has had bad variance on his side this year. His .229 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .257.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 15th-best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average ability.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Nico Hoerner’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 49.2% on the season to 73.7% over the last 7 days.
Using Statcast metrics, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 97th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .294.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Wrigley Field has the 9th-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs.
The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Chad Patrick.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Ian Happ’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 48.5% on the season to 59.3% in the past 14 days.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the majors.
Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an advantage today.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage today.
Danny Jansen pulls many of his flyballs (43% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Danny Jansen has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last season’s 90.5-mph average.
There has been a significant improvement in Danny Jansen’s launch angle from last year’s 21.6° to 24.9° this season.
Dansby Swanson will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Over the last week, Dansby Swanson’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 102.7-mph recently.
Dansby Swanson’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 43.8% to 49.2%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
William Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
William Contreras has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.7% seasonal rate to 12.1% over the past two weeks.
William Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 42.9% on the season to 61.1% over the past 7 days.
When estimating his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Christian Yelich is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.
Christian Yelich will hold the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today’s game.
Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
In the past week’s worth of games, Andrew Vaughn’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.4% up to 21.4%.
Andrew Vaughn has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last year’s 92.1-mph EV.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Michael Busch is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage against Chad Patrick in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage today.
As it relates to his home run ability, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an advantage today.
Pete Crow-Armstrong will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Blake Perkins has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.4-mph EV.
Blake Perkins’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, rising from 47.9% on the season to 75% over the last week.
Sporting a .319 BABIP since the start of last season, Blake Perkins is positioned in the 86th percentile.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 16th-best batter in the game.
Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Seiya Suzuki has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 11.5% rate last year to 19.1% this season.
Negatives with the Chicago Cubs Game Today
Hitting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, Joey Ortiz meets a tough challenge today.
Joey Ortiz has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 4th-best among every team in action today.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Joey Ortiz today.
Joey Ortiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 90.8-mph EV last season has fallen off to 85.9-mph.
Wrigley Field ranks as the #22 venue in baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The league’s 7th-tallest fences can be found at Wrigley Field.
Caleb Durbin’s BABIP ability is projected in the 11th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Caleb Durbin is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
Jameson Taillon will hold the platoon advantage over Caleb Durbin today.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Caleb Durbin in today’s matchup.
Matt Shaw is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.
Hitting from the same side that Chad Patrick throws from, Matt Shaw faces a tough challenge today.
Matt Shaw has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.
Matt Shaw’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 83.9-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 80.6-mph over the past 7 days.
Matt Shaw has posted a .255 BABIP this year, ranking in the 10th percentile.
Nico Hoerner is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.
Chad Patrick will have the handedness advantage against Nico Hoerner in today’s matchup.
Nico Hoerner has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.
Nico Hoerner’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 86.3-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 84-mph in the past two weeks.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Nico Hoerner has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
Ian Happ is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Ian Happ’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 92.8 mph to 90.5 mph.
Ian Happ’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 20.1% to 14.7%.
Ranking in the 15th percentile, Ian Happ has put up a .264 BABIP this year.
Kyle Tucker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.
Extreme groundball bats like Kyle Tucker usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Chad Patrick.
Kyle Tucker’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 92.5-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 88.5-mph over the last 14 days.
Kyle Tucker’s launch angle this year (18.2°) is significantly lower than his 21.2° angle last season.
Danny Jansen’s BABIP talent is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Danny Jansen is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.
Batting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, Danny Jansen meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Danny Jansen will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Dansby Swanson is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Chad Patrick will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dansby Swanson today.
Dansby Swanson’s launch angle lately (0.4° over the past 14 days) is significantly lower than his 11.8° seasonal angle.
Dansby Swanson has shown bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 14th percentile with a 4.24 K/BB rate.
Jameson Taillon will have the handedness advantage over William Contreras in today’s matchup.
William Contreras has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.
William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
William Contreras’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 92.8-mph mark last year has fallen off to 90.8-mph.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Yelich today.
Christian Yelich’s launch angle this season (1.5°) is quite a bit lower than his 5.1° angle last year.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Christian Yelich has experienced some positive variance this year. His .353 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .324.
Jameson Taillon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Vaughn today.
Andrew Vaughn will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Andrew Vaughn has posted a .262 BABIP this year, grading out in the 14th percentile.
In today’s game, Michael Busch is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.3% rate (78th percentile).
Despite posting a .365 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Busch has had positive variance on his side given the .023 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .342.
Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
In the last 14 days, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.6% down to 0%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pete Crow-Armstrong’s true offensive skill to be a .323, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .024 disparity between that figure and his actual .347 wOBA.
Blake Perkins is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.
As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Blake Perkins will bat from his worse side against Jameson Taillon in this game.
Blake Perkins will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Over the past week, Blake Perkins’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.
Chad Patrick will have the handedness advantage against Seiya Suzuki today.
Typically, hitters like Seiya Suzuki who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Chad Patrick.
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