Guardians @ D-Backs Matchup Details

Positives for the Cleveland Guardians Game Today

Daniel Schneemann has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average.

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.

Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Daniel Schneemann will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Daniel Schneemann has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.6-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 88.3-mph average.

Daniel Schneemann has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 4.8% rate last year to 12% this season.

When assessing his home run talent, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an advantage today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Kyle Manzardo’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12% up to 20%.

In the last two weeks, Kyle Manzardo’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.4-mph over the course of the season to 100.8-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Locklear in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Tyler Locklear will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Tyler Locklear’s quickness has gotten better this year. His 26.52 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.16 ft/sec now.

When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Gavin Williams in the 81st percentile among all SPs in the game.

Compared to league average, Gavin Williams has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an extra 6.1 adjusted pitches each start.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (James McCann, Tyler Locklear, Blaze Alexander, Connor Kaiser).

Gavin Williams’s 96-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 88th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Gavin Williams’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 76th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball right now.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Arizona Diamondbacks in today’s game holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .314, which is considerably lower than their actual wOBA of .330 this year.

It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in the league this year.

Collin Kayfus will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Collin Kayfus in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Ketel Marte projects as the 8th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Ketel Marte will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Ketel Marte’s launch angle this season (14.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 9.3° angle last season.

Zac Gallen has averaged 95 adjusted pitches per GS this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile.

Due to his reverse platoon split, Zac Gallen will hold the advantage squaring off against 8 batters in the projected batting order of the opposite hand in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Zac Gallen will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The Cleveland Guardians projected offense ranks as the 4th-weakest on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability.

Jose Ramirez’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 38.6% to 44.4%.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, going from 18.5% on the season to 27.8% in the past week’s worth of games.

Bashing 2 homers in the last week’s worth of games, Jose Ramirez has been on fire recently.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage today.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s launch angle of late (21.4° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably higher than his 16° seasonal angle.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

James McCann has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and James McCann will hold that advantage in today’s game.

James McCann has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year’s 86.9-mph EV.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Geraldo Perdomo will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Gavin Williams in this game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal average of 15.6°, Geraldo Perdomo has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21.9° mark in the past two weeks.

Compared to last year, Geraldo Perdomo has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13% to 20.1% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Gabriel Arias has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (76% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

Over the last week, Gabriel Arias’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.8% up to 25%.

Gabriel Arias has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 105.6-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 97.5-mph.

Compared to his seasonal average of 6.1°, Gabriel Arias has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 18.7° mark in the last week’s worth of games.

When it comes to his home run talent, Bo Naylor ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Bo Naylor will have an advantage today.

Bo Naylor has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.1-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.8-mph EV.

Bo Naylor’s launch angle this year (22.9°) is significantly higher than his 19.5° angle last season.

Over the past week, Brayan Rocchio’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.9% up to 18.2%.

Brayan Rocchio has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.6-mph average to last season’s 84.5-mph mark.

Brayan Rocchio’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, increasing from 47.7% on the season to 56% over the last two weeks.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.259) suggests that Brayan Rocchio has had bad variance on his side this year with his .235 actual batting average.

Brayan Rocchio has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal EV of 88.3-mph.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.292) implies that Brayan Rocchio has experienced some negative variance this year with his .274 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Blaze Alexander will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Blaze Alexander has made notable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 3.4% rate last year to 13.9% this season.

Blaze Alexander has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year’s 88.5-mph figure.

Compared to his seasonal average of 8.3°, Blaze Alexander has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 19° angle in the last 14 days.

Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Alek Thomas will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Alek Thomas will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Compared to his seasonal average of 3.9°, Alek Thomas has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 7° figure in the last 14 days.

Alek Thomas has hit one of the hardest balls in the game in the past week — 108.9-mph — which is a favorable proxy for recent form and raw power.

Steven Kwan’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

Steven Kwan will have the handedness advantage against Zac Gallen in today’s matchup.

Posting a .290 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Steven Kwan grades out in the 95th percentile.

As it relates to plate discipline, Steven Kwan’s skill is quite impressive, putting up a 1.05 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 99th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Corbin Carroll will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Negatives with the Arizona Diamondbacks Game Today

This year, Daniel Schneemann has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 14% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

In Major League Baseball, the 10th-highest average fence height are at Chase Field.

Dry weather has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-lowest humidity on the schedule today at 28%.

Daniel Schneemann hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Out of all the teams in action today, the best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Daniel Schneemann in today’s matchup.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF dimensions among all parks.

Kyle Manzardo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 6th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Tyler Locklear is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Gavin Williams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Locklear in today’s matchup.

Among every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians.

The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

The #9 stadium in the game for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Gavin Williams will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

In his previous game started, Gavin Williams wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.

Gavin Williams has relied on his change-up 5.3% less often this year (0.1%) than he did last year (5.4%).

The #3 park in MLB for boosting batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Given the 1.29 gap between Gavin Williams’s 3.37 ERA and his 4.66 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year and should see negative regression in the future.

Gavin Williams has put up a .254 BABIP this year, making him one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Collin Kayfus is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Collin Kayfus will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Gavin Williams,Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

Ketel Marte’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 96.8-mph EV last year has decreased to 94.7-mph.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Cleveland Guardians with a 21.4% underlying K%.

Zac Gallen’s 92.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1-mph decrease from last season’s 93.8-mph figure.

Zac Gallen has compiled a 4.71 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that deals with the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher’s control) this year, ranking in the 25th percentile.

Placing steepest in the league this year, Cleveland Guardians batters as a group have compiled a 16.5° launch angle (an advanced stat to study the ability to lift the ball for power).

Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (42% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

Arizona’s #1-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for Jose Ramirez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Gavin Williams will have the handedness advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. today.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 87.9-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 80.6-mph in the past 14 days.

Gavin Williams will have the handedness advantage over James McCann in today’s game.

James McCann hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

James McCann’s launch angle this year (3.7°) is significantly lower than his 13.7° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 19th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Over the past 14 days, Geraldo Perdomo’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 90.1 mph to 85.1 mph.

When it comes to his home run skill, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Zac Gallen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gabriel Arias in today’s matchup.

Today, Gabriel Arias is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39% rate (88th percentile).

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gabriel Arias in today’s game.

Bo Naylor is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

Bo Naylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Bo Naylor’s BABIP talent is projected in the 3rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his home run skill, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brayan Rocchio in today’s matchup.

Blaze Alexander is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Blaze Alexander will have a disadvantage today.

Blaze Alexander has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

Alek Thomas is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.

This year, Alek Thomas has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 12% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Steven Kwan in today’s matchup.

Over the last 14 days, Steven Kwan’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 88.1 mph to 85.2 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 2nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Today, Corbin Carroll is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.3% rate (78th percentile).

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