
TOR @ BOS






Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, August 27th
27/08/24 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Blue Jays vs Red Sox Series Game 2 Series Game 2 Matchup Today
Tyler O’Neill projects as the 11th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Tyler O’Neill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Fenway Park ranks as the #4 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Tyler O’Neill pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Tyler O’Neill will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.
Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in the majors.
George Springer has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.7% seasonal rate to 24.2% in the past 14 days.
As it relates to his home run talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.
Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage today.
Wilyer Abreu hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.
Wilyer Abreu will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Masataka Yoshida’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage over Yariel Rodriguez today.
Masataka Yoshida has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences today.
Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
The Toronto Blue Jays have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Steward Berroa, Davis Schneider, Joey Loperfido).
Brennan Miller profiles as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.
As a result of his large platoon split, Cooper Criswell will hold the advantage squaring off against 6 batters in the projected offense who share the same handedness today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
The #6 park in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.
Alejandro Kirk has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.
Over the last week, Alejandro Kirk’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.5% up to 14.3%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Fenway Park ranks as the #6 venue in the majors for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Addison Barger has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.
Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage against Cooper Criswell today… and even better, Criswell has a large platoon split.
In the past 7 days, Addison Barger’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.3-mph over the course of the season to 101.8-mph recently.
As it relates to his BABIP ability, Jarren Duran is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.
Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Yariel Rodriguez today.
Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
When it comes to his home run skill, Triston Casas ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Triston Casas is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Triston Casas will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Triston Casas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in the game when estimating his batting average talent.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.
Over the last 7 days, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.7% up to 25%.
Ernie Clement pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Ernie Clement has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 3.8% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past 7 days.
In the last 7 days, Ernie Clement’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.3-mph over the course of the season to 95.9-mph of late.
Ernie Clement’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, going from 19.4% on the season to 28.6% in the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, David Hamilton will have an advantage in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Over the past week, David Hamilton’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 14.3%.
David Hamilton’s launch angle lately (25.8° in the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 15.1° seasonal mark.
The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.
The Boston Red Sox have 7 bats in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage over Yariel Rodriguez in this matchup.
Yariel Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
In his previous GS, Yariel Rodriguez conceded a staggering 5 earned runs.
Connor Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Posting a .347 BABIP this year, Connor Wong grades out in the 96th percentile.
Tyler O’Neill has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 16.2% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best batter in the game.
Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge in today’s game.
Rafael Devers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.
Addison Barger has been hot lately, posting a a 12.5% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Leo Jimenez has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.1% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past 14 days.
Over the past week, Leo Jimenez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.2-mph over the course of the season to 101.4-mph in recent games.
George Springer has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph to 92.6-mph over the past 14 days.
In the last two weeks, Leo Jimenez’s 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.8%.
As a team, Toronto Blue Jays bats have excelled when it comes to hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (between 23° and 34°), placing 10th-best in MLB.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
In the past week’s worth of games, Masataka Yoshida’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.4%.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 5th-best batter in the majors.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 14.4% on the season to 31.3% over the past 7 days.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Tyler O’Neill ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Yariel Rodriguez in the 77th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.
The Boston Red Sox have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler O’Neill, Connor Wong, Wilyer Abreu).
Connor Wong has notched a .332 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 75th percentile.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Alejandro Kirk ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
As it relates to his home runs, Alejandro Kirk has experienced some negative variance this year. His 10.5 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 17.2.
Rafael Devers will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.
Triston Casas will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jarren Duran ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Negative Match Player Stats with Blue Jays vs Red Sox Series Game 2
In the league, the 2nd-highest fences are at Fenway Park.
Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense.
The weather forecast expects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Batting from the same side that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Tyler O’Neill will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.
Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Toronto Blue Jays.
Given Cooper Criswell’s large platoon split, George Springer will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for George Springer in today’s game.
George Springer’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased lately, going from 40.8% on the season to 17.6% over the last week.
Wilyer Abreu has been pulled from the game early 32% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.
Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Cooper Criswell in the 14th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Cooper Criswell is projected to throw 82 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least on the slate today.
Projected catcher Connor Wong grades out as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Among all starting pitchers, Cooper Criswell’s fastball velocity of 88.5 mph grades out in the 2nd percentile this year.
Ranking in the 5th percentile, Cooper Criswell compiled a 7.5% Swinging Strike% this year.
Because of Cooper Criswell’s large platoon split, Alejandro Kirk will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today.
Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Alejandro Kirk’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 94.2-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 83.9-mph in the last week.
Wilyer Abreu is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Toronto (#3-best of all teams on the slate).
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Addison Barger in today’s game.
Addison Barger’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, falling from 15.9% on the season to 5.9% in the last 7 days.
Addison Barger has recorded a .191 batting average this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile.
Over the last 14 days, Jarren Duran’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 93.7 mph to 90.8 mph.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.272) implies that Triston Casas has been lucky this year with his .374 actual wOBA.
Given Cooper Criswell’s large platoon split, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
There has been a significant decline in Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s launch angle from last year’s 10.2° to 6.9° this year.
When assessing his home run ability, Ernie Clement ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ernie Clement is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.
Cooper Criswell will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ernie Clement today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Criswell’s large platoon split.
David Hamilton is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.
This year, David Hamilton has been pinch hit for in 23% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.
David Hamilton’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 87-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 77.1-mph in the past 7 days.
It may be smart to expect worse results for the Boston Red Sox offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 3rd-luckiest offense in MLB this year.
Projected catcher Alejandro Kirk grades out as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Connor Wong is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
Hitting from the same side that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Connor Wong will be at a disadvantage today.
Tyler O’Neill has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .369 rate is inflated compared to his .322 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Rafael Devers has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 14.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 8.3% over the last week.
Leo Jimenez is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.
Cooper Criswell will hold the platoon advantage over Leo Jimenez today… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Criswell’s large platoon split.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Leo Jimenez today.
Over the last week, Masataka Yoshida’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.
Cooper Criswell will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his metrics across the board.
In the past 7 days, Tyler O’Neill’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39.4%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yariel Rodriguez to throw 79 pitches in this matchup (4th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Yariel Rodriguez’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 games started (2328 rpm) has been significantly worse than than his seasonal rate (2384 rpm).
Connor Wong has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ernie Clement in today’s game.
Jarren Duran has been lucky this year, compiling a .365 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .336 — a .029 gap.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Rafael Devers has had some very good luck this year. His .391 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .352.
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