
ATL @ ARI


Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, April 26th
26/04/25 20:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Braves vs D-Backs Series Game 2 Matchup Today
Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the game for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense.
This game is predicted to have the 16th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Tim Tawa will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Tony Randazzo) in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.
Chase Field grades out as the #30 venue in the league for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Merrill Kelly is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.1% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #30 HR venue in the majors today.
Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Merrill Kelly will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Merrill Kelly has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts since the start of last season, putting up a 7.54 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.06 — a 0.52 K/9 disparity.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Pavin Smith ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Pavin Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.
The #2 venue in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
Hitting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Pavin Smith will have an advantage today.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Pavin Smith will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Alex Verdugo is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.
Alex Verdugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today’s game.
Alex Verdugo is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.
Alex Verdugo’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When estimating his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Eugenio Suarez will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Josh Naylor ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Josh Naylor will have an edge in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as baseball’s 18th-best home run batter.
Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.
Matt Olson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Matt Olson will probably have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Sean Murphy is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Sean Murphy ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ozzie Albies ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Austin Riley projects as the 16th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Austin Riley is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Grant Holmes has averaged 99.4 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 94th percentile.
The underlying talent of the Arizona Diamondbacks projected batting order today (.321 projected wOBA according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a good deal worse than their .336 wOBA this year.
Grant Holmes’s high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (60.9% since the start of last season) should work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
Grant Holmes has recorded a 12.5% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season, grading out in the 84th percentile.
Grant Holmes has put up a 24.7% K% since the start of last season, placing in the 76th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Extreme flyball batters like Gabriel Moreno tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Grant Holmes.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Hitters such as Nick Allen with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Merrill Kelly who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Michael Harris II’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage over Merrill Kelly in today’s game.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Michael Harris II ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Harris II stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Alek Thomas will have the handedness advantage against Grant Holmes in today’s game.
Hitters such as Alek Thomas with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Grant Holmes who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage today.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.
Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage against Grant Holmes in today’s game.
Corbin Carroll will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Negative Match Player Stats with Braves vs D-Backs Series Game 2
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Tawa in the 17th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Tim Tawa is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield fences among all major league parks.
Grant Holmes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tim Tawa in today’s matchup.
The Atlanta Braves outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of all the teams playing today.
The league’s 10th-highest average fence height can be found at Chase Field.
The #4 ballpark in the game for suppressing home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
The 5th-best projected batting order on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Atlanta Braves.
Merrill Kelly’s 91-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1-mph decrease from last year’s 92-mph figure.
Merrill Kelly’s cutter usage has dropped by 10.7% from last season to this one (25.2% to 14.5%) .
Merrill Kelly has put up a .227 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the luckiest hurlers in Major League Baseball on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.
Chase Field projects as the #28 park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Merrill Kelly struggled when it came to striking hitters out in his last game started and posted 1 Ks.
Chase Field projects as the #27 venue in MLB for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Grant Holmes will hold the platoon advantage against Eugenio Suarez today.
Extreme groundball bats like Eugenio Suarez are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Grant Holmes.
Josh Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Merrill Kelly will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Murphy in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Sean Murphy in today’s game.
Batting from the same side that Grant Holmes throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
Merrill Kelly will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna today.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcell Ozuna in today’s matchup.
Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Merrill Kelly,Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (39.4% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Typically, batters like Ozzie Albies who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Merrill Kelly.
Merrill Kelly will have the handedness advantage against Austin Riley today.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Austin Riley in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 17th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Grant Holmes (34.5% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today’s game with 2 FB hitters in Arizona’s projected lineup.
Grant Holmes will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Given the 1 difference between Grant Holmes’s 3.48 ERA and his 4.48 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors since the start of last season and ought to negatively regress the rest of the season.
Grant Holmes has been one of the luckiest mound aces in the majors on balls in play this year with a .196 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.
Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 5th-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 20.6% underlying K%.
Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Grant Holmes throws from, Gabriel Moreno meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
Today, Gabriel Moreno is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 41.6% rate (99th percentile).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Allen in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Nick Allen is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.
Hitting from the same side that Merrill Kelly throws from, Nick Allen will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
Nick Allen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Allen in the 9th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Michael Harris II is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
Michael Harris II hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Harris II today.
Alek Thomas is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
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