Pirates vs Dodgers match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Saturday, April 26th

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Pirates vs Dodgers match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Saturday, April 26th

PIT @ LAD

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Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, April 26th
26/04/25 21:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Pirates vs Dodgers Series Game 2 Matchup Today

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Roki Sasaki in the 86th percentile among all SPs in the league.

Given that flyball hitters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, Roki Sasaki (42.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in the opposing team’s projected lineup.

Roki Sasaki will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

Out of all starting pitchers, Roki Sasaki’s fastball velocity of 95.8 mph grades out in the 89th percentile this year.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 3rd-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

Dodger Stadium grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the league, Dodger Stadium’s centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest.

On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.

Max Muncy will have the handedness advantage against Mitch Keller today.

When it comes to his home run ability, Max Muncy ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Max Muncy is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Pittsburgh (#3-worst of all teams on the slate).

Mookie Betts projects as the 17th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mookie Betts is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 5th-best stadium in the majors for RHB home runs.

Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Will Smith ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 79th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Michael Conforto will hold the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today’s game.

Adam Frazier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Roki Sasaki today.

The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Mitch Keller has been granted an above-average leash this year, throwing 6.8 more adjusted pitches-per-game than league average.

Because groundball batters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Mitch Keller (31.3% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 4 GB hitters in the opposing club’s projected batting order.

Mitch Keller’s slider rate has increased by 9.3% from last year to this one (25.1% to 34.4%) .

Among all starting pitchers, Mitch Keller’s fastball spin rate of 2423 rpm ranks in the 84th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When estimating his home run skill, Joey Bart ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Tommy Edman’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tommy Edman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 49.2% on the season to 70% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 18th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

As it relates to his home run skill, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Andrew McCutchen hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

When assessing his batting average talent, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 14th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 20th-best batter in MLB.

Oneil Cruz projects as the 12th-best home run batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 82nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Andy Pages ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with Pirates vs Dodgers Series Game 2

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Roki Sasaki is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of the day.

James Hoye projects as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.

This game is projected to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.8-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for batters.

Roki Sasaki’s 2074-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 2nd percentile out of all starters.

Over the past week, Shohei Ohtani’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 17.5% down to 0%.

Shohei Ohtani has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 94.2-mph dropping to 78.7-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Max Muncy is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

In today’s matchup, Max Muncy is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 39.5% rate (98th percentile).

Extreme groundball hitters like Max Muncy generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitch Keller.

Max Muncy has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph dropping to 86.2-mph in the past week.

Mitch Keller will have the handedness advantage over Mookie Betts in today’s game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Mookie Betts generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitch Keller.

Mookie Betts’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 89.9-mph average last year has decreased to 87.9-mph.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.3) suggests that Mookie Betts has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his 22.5 actual HR/600.

Will Smith is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Mitch Keller will hold the platoon advantage against Will Smith in today’s matchup.

Typically, hitters like Will Smith who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Mitch Keller.

Will Smith has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .433 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .363 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Michael Conforto is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Michael Conforto has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Michael Conforto’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 94.4-mph average last year has fallen off to 88.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Michael Conforto has recorded a .275 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 25th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 4th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Adam Frazier is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adam Frazier in today’s game.

Adam Frazier’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 86.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 83.4-mph in the past week.

From last year to this one, Adam Frazier’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 18.4% to 11.9%.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Adam Frazier ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mitch Keller will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Mitch Keller’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.6 mph this season (92.9 mph) below where it was last season (94.5 mph).

Hitting from the same side that Roki Sasaki throws from, Ke’Bryan Hayes will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ke’Bryan Hayes today.

Ke’Bryan Hayes’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, going from 9.2% on the season to 0% in the past 14 days.

Checking in at the 3rd percentile, Ke’Bryan Hayes has notched a .254 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has paced 6.7 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 7th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryan Reynolds in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant decline in Bryan Reynolds’s launch angle from last year’s 9.1° to 5.8° this year.

Bryan Reynolds’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 18.5% on the season to 11.1% in the last 7 days.

Joey Bart is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Roki Sasaki will have the handedness advantage against Joey Bart in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Joey Bart in today’s game.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Joey Bart has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His .350 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .310.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Tommy Edman will bat from his weak side against Mitch Keller in this game.

In the past week, Tommy Edman’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 91.3 mph to 88.4 mph.

Tommy Edman has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 32.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 16.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ranking in the 20th percentile, Tommy Edman has posted a .242 BABIP since the start of last season.

When it comes to his home run ability, Isiah Kiner-Falefa ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

Roki Sasaki will have the handedness advantage against Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today’s matchup.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball batters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Roki Sasaki.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today’s matchup.

Mitch Keller will hold the platoon advantage against Teoscar Hernandez in today’s matchup.

In today’s game, Teoscar Hernandez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.3% rate (82nd percentile).

Teoscar Hernandez’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 90.6-mph figure last year has fallen off to 85.2-mph.

Teoscar Hernandez’s launch angle in recent games (1.5° over the last week) is a significant dropoff from his 10.5° seasonal angle.

When it comes to his home runs, Teoscar Hernandez has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His 31.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 28.6.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.311) suggests that Teoscar Hernandez has had some very good luck this year with his .345 actual wOBA.

Hitting from the same side that Roki Sasaki throws from, Andrew McCutchen will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andrew McCutchen in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant decline in Andrew McCutchen’s launch angle from last year’s 14.3° to 7° this year.

Sporting a .223 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Andrew McCutchen finds himself in the 22nd percentile.

When it comes to his home runs, Freddie Freeman has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His 22.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 19.8.

Oneil Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Andy Pages is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Andy Pages will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Typically, batters like Andy Pages who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Mitch Keller.

In the past 7 days, Andy Pages’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.8%.

Andy Pages’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 46.2% to 29.2%.

Andy Pages has been cold of late, putting up a 87-mph average exit velocity over the last two weeks.

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