
ATH @ KC


Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, June 15th
15/06/25 14:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Athletics vs Royals Series Game 3 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Denzel Clarke as the 8th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 9th-best stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP.
Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 85°.
Denzel Clarke will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Cameron in today’s game.
Denzel Clarke has displayed some good exit velocity metrics in recent games, averaging 100.7-mph on his flyballs in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Max Muncy is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
Max Muncy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Cameron today.
Max Muncy has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.2% seasonal rate to 21.1% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Wilson as the 8th-best batter in MLB when assessing his batting average talent.
Jacob Wilson is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Jacob Wilson will have an edge in today’s game.
Jacob Wilson has posted a .392 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 96th percentile.
Jac Caglianone will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Over the past week, Jac Caglianone has displayed impressive power, recording a a 17.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power).
Jac Caglianone has exhibited some good exit velocity indicators recently, averaging 104.7-mph on his flyballs in the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 9th-best park in the majors for left-handed BABIP.
The Athletics have 6 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Denzel Clarke, Tyler Soderstrom, Max Muncy, Nicholas Kurtz, Lawrence Butler, Willie MacIver).
Noah Cameron has a reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 6 opposite-handed bats in this matchup.
Noah Cameron will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats across the board.
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Noah Cameron must realize this, because he has gone to his secondary offerings a lot this year: 71.4% of the time, checking in at the 95th percentile.
Given the 1.92 gap between Noah Cameron’s 6.03 K/9 and his 7.95 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to positively regress going forward.
Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #1 stadium in the game for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Generating 18.7 outs per start this year on average, Noah Cameron ranks in the 95th percentile.
When assessing his home run skill, Nicholas Kurtz ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jeffrey Springs has averaged 95 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 90th percentile.
Jeffrey Springs is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.7% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #30 HR venue among all major league parks in this game.
Because flyball pitchers hold a big edge over flyball hitters, Jeffrey Springs and his 36.7% underlying FB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong position in today’s game going up against 2 opposing FB hitters.
In his last game started, Jeffrey Springs was in good form and allowed 0 ER.
In his last start, Jeffrey Springs turned in a great performance and compiled 9 strikeouts.
It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Jeffrey Springs must realize this, because he has gone to his off-speed and breaking balls a lot this year: 58.6% of the time, checking in at the 76th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
Salvador Perez will hold the platoon advantage over Jeffrey Springs in today’s game.
Mark Canha is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.
Batting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Mark Canha will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Mark Canha will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball.
Brent Rooker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Brent Rooker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Cameron in today’s matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Luis Urias will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Sporting a 1.27 K/BB rate this year, Luis Urias has displayed strong plate discipline, ranking in the 92nd percentile.
Hitting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Willie MacIver will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Freddy Fermin will hold the platoon advantage against Jeffrey Springs today.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage today.
Ranking in the 76th percentile, Freddy Fermin sits with a .262 batting average since the start of last season.
When it comes to his batting average ability, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.
Bobby Witt Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Jeffrey Springs in today’s matchup.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 89th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
Utilizing Statcast data, Tyler Soderstrom is in the 80th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .344.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Drew Waters will hold that advantage today.
In the last 14 days, Drew Waters’s 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.8%.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (10.1) provides evidence that Drew Waters has had some very poor luck this year with his 3.4 actual HR/600.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
Maikel Garcia will hold the platoon advantage over Jeffrey Springs today.
Extreme groundball bats like Maikel Garcia are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jeffrey Springs.
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Vinnie Pasquantino will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Posting a .280 batting average this year, Vinnie Pasquantino is positioned in the 81st percentile.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Lawrence Butler is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Lawrence Butler’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 44.6% on the season to 60.6% over the past 14 days.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
This year, Lawrence Butler has an average exit velocity of 92.2 mph, which ranks among the elite in the game at the 89th percentile.
Negative Match Player Stats with Athletics vs Royals Series Game 3
Denzel Clarke is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.
Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest fences in the league — generally bad for homers.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Denzel Clarke today.
With a .222 wOBA over the past two weeks, Denzel Clarke has been struggling at the plate.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Denzel Clarke’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 10% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Denzel Clarke in the 20th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the worst stadium in the majors for right-handed home runs.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Max Muncy ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Max Muncy will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Wilson today.
Over the past two weeks, Jacob Wilson’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 86.8 mph to 82.9 mph.
Jacob Wilson’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (-3.3° in the last 14 days) is significantly worse than his 1.4° seasonal angle.
Jacob Wilson has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) over the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Wilson in the 4th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Jac Caglianone is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #30 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Hitting from the same side that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Jac Caglianone will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Jac Caglianone hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Jac Caglianone has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, angling balls between 23° and 34° just 0% of the time in the last 7 days.
Ramon De Jesus grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.
The #7 venue in the game for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
Noah Cameron’s 91.4-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 23rd percentile among all starters.
The 5th-worst projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the Athletics.
It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the Athletics offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 3rd-luckiest offense in baseball this year.
Among all major league parks, Kauffman Stadium’s right field dimensions are the deepest.
Nicholas Kurtz is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.
Batting from the same side that Noah Cameron throws from, Nicholas Kurtz encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
Nicholas Kurtz has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nicholas Kurtz today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nicholas Kurtz in the 23rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
The Kansas City Royals have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games,The Kansas City Royals (20.4 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 5th-least strikeout-prone set of hitters on the slate today.
Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Typically, bats like Salvador Perez who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Jeffrey Springs.
Salvador Perez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 94.6-mph figure last year has lowered to 91.7-mph.
Salvador Perez has compiled a .278 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 17th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Mark Canha has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .243 mark is a fair amount higher than his .223 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Mark Canha’s 3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) is in the 8th percentile since the start of last season.
Grading out in the 5th percentile, the hardest ball Mark Canha has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 107 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 20th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Mark Canha has paced 7.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 9th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Brent Rooker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brent Rooker in today’s game.
In terms of his home runs, Brent Rooker has been very fortunate this year. His 29.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 24.7.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Urias in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Luis Urias is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
In today’s game, Luis Urias is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.6% rate (96th percentile).
Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Urias in today’s matchup.
Luis Urias has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph dropping to 82.2-mph over the last week.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Willie MacIver ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Willie MacIver is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
In today’s game, Willie MacIver is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.2% rate (80th percentile).
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Willie MacIver in today’s matchup.
In the past 7 days, Willie MacIver’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 79.2 mph to 74.2 mph.
Freddy Fermin is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.
Freddy Fermin’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 12.3% to 9.1%.
Freddy Fermin has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .268 rate is considerably higher than his .235 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.262) implies that Freddy Fermin has been lucky this year with his .279 actual wOBA.
Freddy Fermin’s 3.4% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.
Bobby Witt Jr. has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Typically, bats like Bobby Witt Jr. who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Jeffrey Springs.
Bobby Witt Jr.’s launch angle of late (3° over the last 7 days) is considerably worse than his 14.3° seasonal angle.
Noah Cameron will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Soderstrom in today’s game.
In today’s game, Tyler Soderstrom is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.3% rate (92nd percentile).
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tyler Soderstrom today.
Tyler Soderstrom has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 14.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last week.
Over the past week, Tyler Soderstrom’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 94.6 mph to 83.9 mph.
Drew Waters is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.
As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Drew Waters will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Jeffrey Springs today.
Drew Waters’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 86.3-mph seasonal average has dropped to 72.7-mph in the last 7 days.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Drew Waters ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Drew Waters has been cold lately, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) in the last 7 days.
In today’s game, Maikel Garcia is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.4% rate (93rd percentile).
Maikel Garcia’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 90.9-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 87.4-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
Maikel Garcia’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 13.9% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.
Despite posting a .362 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Maikel Garcia has had positive variance on his side given the .046 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.
Maikel Garcia and his 5.7° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 9th percentile, among the lowest in the majors this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 19th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Jeffrey Springs will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Vinnie Pasquantino today.
Vinnie Pasquantino pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s deepest RF fences today.
In the last 14 days, Vinnie Pasquantino’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.1% down to 2.8%.
In the last 14 days, Vinnie Pasquantino’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (1.2°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 7.9°.
Hitting from the same side that Noah Cameron throws from, Lawrence Butler will be in a tough position in today’s game.
Lawrence Butler has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Lawrence Butler today.
Lawrence Butler’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 93.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 91.4-mph over the past 14 days.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Lawrence Butler has had some very good luck this year. His .336 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .297.
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