Athletics @ Phillies Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Athletics Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 5th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,This contest is forecasted to have the 7th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

,Given J.T. Ginn’s large platoon split, Brandon Marsh will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

,The Athletics have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.

,The Athletics outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today.

,J.T. Realmuto will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 86th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Adolis Garcia will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Considering J.T. Ginn’s large platoon split, Bryson Stott will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.

,The Athletics have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

,Bryson Stott has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Jacob Wilson is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,By putting up a 1.66 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jacob Wilson has demonstrated strong plate discipline, checking in at the 84th percentile.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Nick Kurtz ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the majors.

,Nick Kurtz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Painter throws from, Nick Kurtz will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Nick Kurtz has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

,When estimating his batting average ability, Jacob Wilson is projected as the 11th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jacob Wilson has notched a .297 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 9th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

,When it comes to his BABIP skill, Justin Crawford is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Justin Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.T. Ginn in today’s matchup… and moreover, Ginn has a large platoon split.

,Justin Crawford has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Athletics only has 1 same-handed RP.

,Alec Bohm’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Alec Bohm will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.T. Ginn today… and even better, Ginn has a large platoon split.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,When it comes to his home runs, J.T. Realmuto has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His 12.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 16.5.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Zack Gelof ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Zack Gelof has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year’s 28.04 ft/sec to 28.54 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

,In the past two weeks, Zack Gelof has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, notching a 20° angle.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Trea Turner ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Tyler Soderstrom is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Painter throws from, Tyler Soderstrom will have an advantage today.

,Tyler Soderstrom has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 80th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Painter throws from, Lawrence Butler will have an edge today.

,Lawrence Butler has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,In the past week, Lawrence Butler’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.4% up to 25%.

,Nick Kurtz projects as the 10th-best home run batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Painter throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage today.

,Sporting a 1.08 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jeff McNeil has displayed impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 98th percentile.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Brent Rooker ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brent Rooker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Brent Rooker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Brent Rooker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 17.8% on the season to 26.3% in the past 14 days.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, J.T. Ginn’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 80th percentile among all SPs in the game right now.

,Placing in the 75th percentile, J.T. Ginn compiled an 11.8% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season.

,Philadelphia Phillies hitters as a group place 27th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when judging by their 6.7% Barrel%.

,Bryce Harper projects as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage over J.T. Ginn today… and even more favorably, Ginn has a large platoon split.

,Bryce Harper is likely to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Athletics has just 1 same-handed RP.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Justin Crawford will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Zack Gelof has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 22.8° figure is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (96th percentile).

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Brent Rooker ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Andrew Painter will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Andrew Painter’s 95.9-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 83rd percentile among all starting pitchers.

,Andrew Painter has notched a .368 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.

,Carlos Cortes is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Carlos Cortes will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Painter in today’s matchup.

,Carlos Cortes has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.2-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.6-mph.

,Alec Bohm’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 14.6% to 18.6%.

,In the past week, Alec Bohm’s 29.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.6%.

,Kyle Schwarber projects as the 13th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The #7 stadium in baseball for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 6.8°, Lawrence Butler has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 40° mark in the last week’s worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Negatives with the Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 3 Game Today

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense.

,Brandon Marsh’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 93-mph figure last year has lowered to 90.5-mph.

,Over the last 7 days, Brandon Marsh’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 90.5 mph to 84.1 mph.

,In the past week, Brandon Marsh’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17%.

,Despite posting a .358 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brandon Marsh has been lucky given the .038 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .320.

,J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.

,Because of J.T. Ginn’s large platoon split, J.T. Realmuto will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

,This year, J.T. Realmuto’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 8.6% last year to just 2% this year.

,J.T. Realmuto’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 13.8% to 8.2%.

,Jonah Heim’s BABIP talent is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jonah Heim is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

,The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Andrew Painter,Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jonah Heim in today’s matchup.

,J.T. Ginn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adolis Garcia today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Ginn’s large platoon split.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 14.2°, Adolis Garcia has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9.5°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Adolis Garcia has notched a .289 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 16th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,In terms of plate discipline, Adolis Garcia’s talent is quite weak, posting a 4.25 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 15th percentile.

,Bryson Stott has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Bryson Stott’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 43.3% to 37%.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Bryson Stott’s 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37%.

,When assessing his home run ability, Jacob Wilson ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the same side that Andrew Painter throws from, Jacob Wilson will have a tough matchup today.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jacob Wilson today.

,Jacob Wilson’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 84.5-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 79.6-mph over the last 7 days.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nick Kurtz in today’s game.

,Over the past two weeks, Nick Kurtz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 18.8% down to 12.5%.

,Nick Kurtz’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 99.5-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 97.3-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Nick Kurtz has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .280 rate is inflated compared to his .248 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Jacob Wilson’s launch angle of late (0.7° over the past week) is quite a bit worse than his 7.4° seasonal figure.

,Considering J.T. Ginn’s large platoon split, Trea Turner will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.

,Trea Turner’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 91.8-mph average last season has fallen off to 89.6-mph.

,Trea Turner’s launch angle in recent games (7.2° in the last 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 13.8° seasonal figure.

,Justin Crawford is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Extreme groundball hitters like Justin Crawford tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like J.T. Ginn.

,Justin Crawford has been cold in recent games, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) over the past two weeks.

,Alec Bohm is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,J.T. Ginn will have the handedness advantage over Alec Bohm in today’s game… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Ginn’s large platoon split.

,Alec Bohm has struggled with his Barrel%; his 6.1% rate last year has fallen to 1% this season.

,Sporting a .166 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, Alec Bohm finds himself in the 11th percentile.

,Kyle Schwarber has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 19.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 13.8% in the past 14 days.

,Kyle Schwarber’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 41.7% to 32.1%.

,Ranking in the 6th percentile, Kyle Schwarber sports a .249 BABIP since the start of last season.

,Bryson Stott has averaged 12.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 21st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Zack Gelof is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that Andrew Painter throws from, Zack Gelof will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Zack Gelof will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,In terms of his batting average, Zack Gelof has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .200 BA has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .145.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tyler Soderstrom today.

,Lawrence Butler is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Lawrence Butler in today’s game.

,Lawrence Butler’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.2% to 8.7%.

,In notching a .226 batting average since the start of last season, Lawrence Butler is positioned in the 20th percentile.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Jeff McNeil ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jeff McNeil is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

,Jeff McNeil will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Jeff McNeil’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 89.6-mph average last season has fallen to 83-mph.

,Batting from the same side that Andrew Painter throws from, Brent Rooker has a tough challenge today.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brent Rooker in today’s matchup.

,Brent Rooker has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 13.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 5.3% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Brent Rooker’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 90.7-mph figure last year has lowered to 88.1-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Ginn to throw 85 pitches in today’s game (6th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,The 3rd-best projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

,The Philadelphia Phillies have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward,It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Alfonso Marquez) in charge of the strike zone today.

,The 10th-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Citizens Bank Park.

,There has been a decrease in Bryce Harper’s average exit velocity this season, from 91.4 mph last year to 88.7 mph now,Bryce Harper’s launch angle lately (9.3° over the past week) is considerably worse than his 13.6° seasonal figure.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jonah Heim ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.220) suggests that Zack Gelof has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .253 actual wOBA.

,Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Andrew Painter is projected to throw 85 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least of the day.

,The Athletics have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward,Projected catcher J.T. Realmuto grades out as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Cortes in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,This year, Carlos Cortes has been pinch hit for in 36% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

,Carlos Cortes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,In the past week, Carlos Cortes’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.6% down to 0%.

,With a .227 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Kyle Schwarber is positioned in the 22nd percentile.

,With 6 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Andrew Painter will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.

,Kyle Schwarber’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 20.5% on the season to 10.3% over the past 14 days.

,Jeff McNeil’s launch angle this season (12°) is quite a bit lower than his 15.9° figure last year.

,Carlos Cortes has been lucky this year, compiling a .464 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .153 gap.

,With a .228 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Adolis Garcia finds himself in the 22nd percentile.

,Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for J.T. Ginn in today’s game.

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