Orioles @ Marlins Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Baltimore Orioles Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,The #10 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

,In MLB, LoanDepot Park’s centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.

,The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

,Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Javier Sanoja will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,LoanDepot Park projects as the #10 field in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Adley Rutschman’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 45% to 50.8%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 16th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average ability.

,Otto Lopez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

,Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Otto Lopez will have the upper hand today.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Samuel Basallo ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Samuel Basallo is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Samuel Basallo will have an edge in today’s game.

,Samuel Basallo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Taylor Ward is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

,Compared to last season, Taylor Ward has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.6% to 49% this season.

,Taylor Ward has paced 26.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 78th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Max Meyer.

,Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Esteury Ruiz will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Esteury Ruiz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Esteury Ruiz will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Esteury Ruiz has been hot in recent games, compiling a a 28.6% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) over the last week.

,The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today.

,Posting a 0.8 K/BB rate this year, Taylor Ward has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 99th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the majors’s 14th-best home run batter.

,Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

,Pete Alonso has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.8% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the last 14 days.

,Pete Alonso has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 95.1-mph to 97.7-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Max Meyer in today’s matchup.

,Leo Jimenez will have the handedness advantage over Cade Povich in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Leo Jimenez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Despite posting a .305 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has been unlucky given the .048 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .353.

,Xavier Edwards is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage today.

,Xavier Edwards’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 45.5% to 50.9%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Beavers in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Dylan Beavers will have the handedness advantage over Max Meyer today.

,Dylan Beavers has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.1-mph average to last year’s 90.5-mph EV.

,Dylan Beavers has been unlucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 15.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal lower than his 22.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Over the past 7 days, Adley Rutschman’s maximum exit velocity (a good proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 110.3-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the majors.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The Baltimore Orioles projected offense ranks as the 4th-strongest on the slate in terms of overall batting ability.

,It may be sensible to expect positive regression for the Baltimore Orioles offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

,Max Meyer has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league on balls in play this year with a .243 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

,Baltimore Orioles bats jointly rank among the best in MLB this year (6th-) as it relates to their 89.8-mph average exit velocity.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,When estimating his home run skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Stowers will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Grading out in the 86th percentile, Jeremiah Jackson has put up a .331 BABIP since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Max Meyer in the 79th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

,Placing in the 93rd percentile, Max Meyer put up a 13.7% Swinging Strike rate this year.

,Ranking in the 75th percentile, Max Meyer has compiled a 26% K% this year.

,Javier Sanoja will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

,Jeremiah Jackson has paced 22.4 homers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile for power.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,The Miami Marlins projected offense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.

,The Miami Marlins have been the 6th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Connor Norby is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 6.5°, Kyle Stowers has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 22.5° figure in the last week’s worth of games.

,Connor Norby will have the handedness advantage against Cade Povich in today’s matchup.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 20th-best batter in the majors.

,When estimating his batting average talent, Xavier Edwards is projected as the 14th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Connor Norby will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

,Adley Rutschman’s launch angle this year (16.7°) is significantly higher than his 13.3° angle last year.

,Xavier Edwards has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 0.9% rate last season to 6.1% this year.

,Xavier Edwards’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 15.8% on the season to 20% over the past 7 days.

,Javier Sanoja’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 11.6% to 15.3%.

Negatives with the Miami Marlins Series Game 3 Game Today

Javier Sanoja is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,LoanDepot Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

,Javier Sanoja’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 45.7% to 37.3%.

,Javier Sanoja has recorded a .291 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 19th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Javier Sanoja’s 1.8% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) is in the 2nd percentile since the start of last season.

,Among all parks, LoanDepot Park’s RF dimensions are the 4th-deepest.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Max Meyer in today’s matchup.

,Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Adley Rutschman’s 16.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 20%.

,Otto Lopez has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Otto Lopez’s launch angle this year (5.2°) is quite a bit lower than his 8.4° mark last year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Otto Lopez’s true offensive talent to be a .327, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .047 difference between that mark and his actual .374 wOBA.

,This year, Samuel Basallo has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 10% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

,The #1 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Samuel Basallo in today’s matchup.

,Over the past week, Samuel Basallo’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.2% down to 0%.

,LoanDepot Park ranks as the #28 park in baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Max Meyer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taylor Ward in today’s game.

,Today, Taylor Ward is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35% rate (87th percentile).

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Taylor Ward in today’s matchup.

,Leody Taveras is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Leody Taveras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Leody Taveras will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Leody Taveras has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last 14 days.

,Esteury Ruiz is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Using Statcast data, Esteury Ruiz is in the 1st percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .167.

,Hitting from the same side that Max Meyer throws from, Pete Alonso meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Pete Alonso has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pete Alonso in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gunnar Henderson today.

,In the last 7 days, Gunnar Henderson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.4% down to 0%.

,Gunnar Henderson has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph dropping to 84.9-mph in the last week.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Leo Jimenez ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Leo Jimenez is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,In today’s game, Leo Jimenez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.2% rate (88th percentile).

,When assessing his home run talent, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Cade Povich,Xavier Edwards has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.

,Dylan Beavers is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

,28% of the time that Dylan Beavers has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,Otto Lopez has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph dropping to 85-mph over the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Max Meyer in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching skills.

,The #2 stadium in the league for suppressing home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

,Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Max Meyer will hold that advantage today.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Esteury Ruiz ranks in the 1st percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .103.

,Cade Povich will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Stowers today.

,Kyle Stowers has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 19.5% rate last year has fallen off to 2.7% this year.

,Kyle Stowers’s launch angle this year (6.5°) is a considerable dropoff from his 14.2° figure last season.

,Taylor Ward’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 89.3-mph seasonal average has fallen to 85.3-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,Jeremiah Jackson is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Max Meyer will have the handedness advantage over Jeremiah Jackson today.

,In today’s matchup, Jeremiah Jackson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.4% rate (77th percentile).

,Compared to league average, Max Meyer has been granted less leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying an -7.2 fewer adjusted pitches each outing.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Javier Sanoja ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Over the past two weeks, Samuel Basallo’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 94 mph to 90.4 mph.

,Dylan Beavers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeremiah Jackson today.

,By putting up a .198 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Leo Jimenez finds himself in the 20th percentile.

,Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Cade Povich today.

,Out of all starters, Cade Povich’s fastball velocity of 91.5 mph is in the 19th percentile since the start of last season.

,Cade Povich’s 21st percentile Walk% (9.2% since the start of last season) displays his bad control skills.

,Connor Norby has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 85.1-mph over the last 7 days.

,Connor Norby has displayed bad plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 14th percentile with a 4.29 K/BB rate.

,Xavier Edwards has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph dropping to 84.2-mph over the last week.

,Despite posting a .390 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Xavier Edwards has been lucky given the .075 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .315.

,Javier Sanoja has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 8.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is inflated compared to his 1.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Since the start of last season, Leo Jimenez’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 6th percentile at 84.8 mph.

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