Astros vs Braves match player stats | 2025 Friday, September 12th

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HOU @ ATL

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Astros @ Braves Matchup Details

Teams : Houston Astros at Atlanta Braves
Series :
Date : Todays Game is on Friday, September 12th
Time : 12/09/25 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Houston Astros Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

Hurston Waldrep will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his metrics across the board.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Hurston Waldrep must realize this, because he has gone to his off-speed and breaking balls a lot this year: 80.1% of the time, placing in the 99th percentile.

Hurston Waldrep has put up a 24.3% Strikeout% this year, placing in the 77th percentile.

Truist Park has the 2nd-deepest left field fences among all major league stadiums.

In his last outing, Hurston Waldrep was rolling and conceded 1 ER.

With a 3.30 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that is concerned with the things a pitcher has the most control over), Hurston Waldrep ranks in the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Truist Park projects as the #6 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Despite posting a .306 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Walker has had bad variance on his side given the .025 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Jose Altuve is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Carlos Correa is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 3rd-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Truist Park grades out as the #6 field in the league for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the opposite that Hurston Waldrep throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When it comes to his batting average ability, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 18th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz as the 20th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his batting average talent.

Yainer Diaz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Negatives with the Atlanta Braves Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hurston Waldrep to throw 85 pitches in today’s game (5th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The Houston Astros (20.1 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone set of batters of the day.

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Hurston Waldrep has a reverse platoon split and is stuck being matched up with 6 same-handed hitters in today’s game.

The 5th-best projected batting order of the day in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the the Houston Astros.

The Houston Astros have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward,Truist Park projects as the #8 ballpark in MLB for BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Christian Walker is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Hitting from the same side that Hurston Waldrep throws from, Christian Walker faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Christian Walker pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 78th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-deepest LF fences today.

Christian Walker will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Christian Walker’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 90.4-mph seasonal average has lowered to 86.7-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 13th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Hurston Waldrep will have the handedness advantage against Jose Altuve in today’s game.

Today, Jose Altuve is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 41.9% rate (99th percentile).

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Altuve today.

In the past 7 days, Jose Altuve’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Altuve has experienced some positive variance this year. His .330 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .295.

Hurston Waldrep will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Correa today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Carlos Correa today.

Carlos Correa’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (2.3° over the last 14 days) is considerably worse than his 8.3° seasonal mark.

Carlos Correa’s 7.7° launch angle (a reliable metric to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 9th percentile.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yordan Alvarez in today’s game.

Truist Park profiles as the #21 venue in the game for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

This year, Jesus Sanchez has been pinch hit for in 15% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Jesus Sanchez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Jesus Sanchez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Jesus Sanchez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 96.2-mph mark last year has fallen to 93.4-mph.

Over the past 7 days, Jesus Sanchez’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 93.4 mph to 87.4 mph.

Hurston Waldrep will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena today.

Jeremy Pena pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 76th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Jeremy Pena’s launch angle in recent games (1.9° in the past 14 days) is considerably worse than his 8.4° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jeremy Pena’s true offensive skill to be a .331, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .028 deviation between that mark and his actual .359 wOBA.

Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

Hurston Waldrep will have the handedness advantage against Yainer Diaz in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yainer Diaz in today’s game.

Yainer Diaz has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph dropping to 86.8-mph over the past two weeks.

Over the last week, Yainer Diaz’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.3%.

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