Dodgers @ Giants Matchup Details

Positives for the Los Angeles Dodgers Game Today

Oracle Park projects as the #3 stadium in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.

The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team playing today.

Casey Schmitt will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Casey Schmitt has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9.3% seasonal rate to 18.5% in the last 14 days.

Casey Schmitt has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph to 93-mph over the past week.

In the last 14 days, Casey Schmitt has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 21.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 17.3°.

Among all parks, Oracle Park’s RF dimensions are the shallowest.

Andrew Gilbert will hold the platoon advantage against Yoshinobu Yamamoto today.

Andrew Gilbert will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Andrew Gilbert has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph to 89.9-mph over the past week.

The #3 field in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

Jung Hoo Lee will hold the platoon advantage over Yoshinobu Yamamoto in today’s matchup.

Jung Hoo Lee will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jung Hoo Lee has displayed good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 90th percentile with a 1.48 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

When it comes to his strikeout talent, Yoshinobu Yamamoto projects as the 18th-best pitcher in the league currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has averaged 96.7 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 97th percentile.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has put up a 12.4% Swinging Strike rate this year, placing in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yoshinobu Yamamoto as the 4th-best pitcher in the league currently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the worst park in MLB for walks.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Shohei Ohtani will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand today.

Justin Verlander has averaged 92.2 adjusted pitches per start this year, placing in the 78th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants’s expected catcher in today’s game) projects as an elite pitch framer.

Because groundball pitchers hold a substantial edge over groundball hitters, Justin Verlander and his 41.5% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong spot today matching up with 4 opposing GB hitters.

The best projected batting order of the day in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.

It may be wise to expect better results for the Los Angeles Dodgers offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Max Muncy ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Max Muncy is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

Max Muncy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander today.

When estimating his home run talent, Max Muncy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Max Muncy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.5% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Mookie Betts ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mookie Betts has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph to 94.9-mph over the last 7 days.

Mookie Betts’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 20% on the season to 27.3% in the past 7 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Will Smith ranks as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

Will Smith is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

Will Smith’s 12.1% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) grades out in the 78th percentile this year.

This year, Will Smith has an average exit velocity of 91.1 mph, which ranks among the elite in the majors at the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 77th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Batting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Michael Conforto will have the upper hand today.

Over the past two weeks, Michael Conforto’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.7-mph over the course of the season to 99.6-mph in recent games.

Dominic Smith is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Dominic Smith will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as the game’s 18th-best home run batter.

Matt Chapman is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Extreme flyball bats like Matt Chapman generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Yoshinobu Yamamoto.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home run skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Willy Adames is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Extreme flyball hitters like Willy Adames usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Yoshinobu Yamamoto.

Willy Adames will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Teoscar Hernandez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Teoscar Hernandez has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

When assessing his home run ability, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Grading out in the 78th percentile for power, Teoscar Hernandez has averaged 25.8 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.

When estimating his batting average skill, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Freddie Freeman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Freddie Freeman will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Andy Pages’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Andy Pages ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Heliot Ramos’s BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Heliot Ramos has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Heliot Ramos will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Yoshinobu Yamamoto.

Patrick Bailey will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Despite posting a .262 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Patrick Bailey has had bad variance on his side given the .020 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .282.

Negatives with the San Francisco Giants Game Today

Casey Schmitt is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

Oracle Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Casey Schmitt encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the worst ballpark in the majors for righty home runs.

Oracle Park has the tallest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.

Andrew Gilbert is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.

The #1 stadium in the majors for suppressing home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.4°, Andrew Gilbert has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.2°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Gilbert in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

When assessing his home run talent, Jung Hoo Lee ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jung Hoo Lee is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Jung Hoo Lee’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 88.9-mph EV last year has fallen off to 86.9-mph.

In the past two weeks, Jung Hoo Lee’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 88.4 mph to 82.6 mph.

Projected catcher Will Smith grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Yoshinobu Yamamoto (49.5% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 FB hitters in San Francisco’s projected batting order.

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yoshinobu Yamamoto today.

It may be best to expect better numbers for the San Francisco Giants offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 7th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto was rolling in his last start and allowed 1 ER.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Shohei Ohtani in today’s game.

When it comes to his home runs, Shohei Ohtani has been lucky this year. His 44.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 38.4.

Shohei Ohtani has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .415 figure is inflated compared to his .394 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Rafael Devers has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 15.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 6.3% in the past week’s worth of games.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Rafael Devers has been lucky this year. His .371 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .350.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 11.8°, Rafael Devers has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.7°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Justin Verlander is an extreme flyball pitcher (41.5% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #26 HR venue among all stadiums in this matchup.

Extreme flyball bats like Max Muncy tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Justin Verlander.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Max Muncy in today’s matchup.

Last season, Max Muncy had a launch angle of 26.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 23.2°.

Batting from the same side that Justin Verlander throws from, Mookie Betts will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Typically, bats like Mookie Betts who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Justin Verlander.

Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Justin Verlander will have the handedness advantage over Will Smith in today’s game.

Extreme flyball hitters like Will Smith tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Justin Verlander.

Will Smith will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Michael Conforto is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Michael Conforto will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 17th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Dominic Smith has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .327 mark is a fair amount higher than his .296 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dominic Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 93.7-mph mark last season has dropped off to 90.8-mph.

Dominic Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 14.5% on the season to 9.1% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Batting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Matt Chapman will be at a disadvantage today.

In the past 14 days, Matt Chapman’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (0.1°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 7°.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.333) may lead us to conclude that Matt Chapman has been lucky this year with his .352 actual wOBA.

Batting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Willy Adames will have a tough challenge today.

Willy Adames’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 89.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 86.3-mph in the past 7 days.

Willy Adames has notched a .227 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Batting from the same side that Justin Verlander throws from, Teoscar Hernandez will have a tough matchup today.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Teoscar Hernandez today.

Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Freddie Freeman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 20% to 16.3%.

Freddie Freeman has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .369 mark is quite a bit higher than his .339 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Andy Pages is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

Justin Verlander will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andy Pages in today’s matchup.

Typically, batters like Andy Pages who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Justin Verlander.

Batting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Heliot Ramos will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 11.8°, Heliot Ramos has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.8°) over the past 14 days.

Heliot Ramos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 17.2% to 13.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 21st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Patrick Bailey is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

In the past 14 days, Patrick Bailey’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.2% down to 0%.

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