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Positive Match Player Stats for Angels vs Blue Jays Series Game 3
Brandon Drury hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% , — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brandon Drury’s true offensive skill to be a .301, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .091 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .210 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Taylor Ward is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.
In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre’s CF fences are the 9th-shallowest.
Taylor Ward has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 93.4-mph over the last week.
Taylor Ward’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 17.8% to 22.6%.
Ernie Clement will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Ernie Clement has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 3.9% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past 7 days.
Compared to his seasonal average of 15.8°, Ernie Clement has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 21° angle in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O’Hoppe in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Logan O’Hoppe has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11.8% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 7 days.
In the past week, Logan O’Hoppe’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.4-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph of late.
Logan O’Hoppe’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (23.7° in the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 15.4° seasonal angle.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Zach Neto ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Zach Neto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.
In the past week’s worth of games, Zach Neto’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.3% up to 15.4%.
Zach Neto has notched a .335 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 75th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Jo Adell’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.6-mph over the course of the season to 97.1-mph of late.
Jo Adell has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .296 figure is quite a bit lower than his .323 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jo Adell has paced 27.2 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 86th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Rendon in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Anthony Rendon is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
Over the past week, Anthony Rendon’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.8-mph over the course of the season to 96.5-mph recently.
Anthony Rendon has been unlucky this year, notching a .267 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .056 difference.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
George Springer is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.
George Springer will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
George Springer has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.9% seasonal rate to 30.4% over the last 7 days.
Hitting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Niko Kavadas will have an advantage in today’s game.
Niko Kavadas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Niko Kavadas has been hot lately, compiling a a 33.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) in the last week’s worth of games.
Niko Kavadas has displayed some good exit velocity benchmarks lately, averaging 98.4-mph on his flyballs over the past 7 days.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Carson Fulmer’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 8th percentile among all starters in the game currently.
The Toronto Blue Jays have 6 bats in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Fulmer in this game.
Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Carson Fulmer in today’s matchup.
Carson Fulmer has been lucky this year, notching a 4.24 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 5.15 — a 0.91 deviation.
Kevin Pillar is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
Over the last 7 days, Kevin Pillar’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.9%.
Spencer Horwitz’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.
Batting from the opposite that Carson Fulmer throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an advantage today.
Spencer Horwitz will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Batting from the opposite that Carson Fulmer throws from, Joey Loperfido will have an advantage in today’s game.
Joey Loperfido hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Joey Loperfido will hold that advantage today.
Joey Loperfido’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (34.5° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 17° seasonal angle.
The Los Angeles Angels have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future, Bowden Francis’s high utilization rate of his fastball (52.9% this year) is likely weakening his results, consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Bowden Francis has recorded a .265 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.
Los Angeles has performed as the #5 group of hitters in MLB when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (16.3% rate this year).
Nolan Schanuel is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Nolan Schanuel will have an advantage today.
Hitters such as Nolan Schanuel with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bowden Francis who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Nolan Schanuel’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 17% on the season to 29.4% over the last 7 days.
With a .267 batting average this year, Kevin Pillar finds himself in the 77th percentile.
As it relates to his home run ability, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Daulton Varsho is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.
Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Fulmer in today’s game.
Daulton Varsho will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Daulton Varsho has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 91.1-mph.
The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
Because groundball batters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Bowden Francis (39.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 GB hitters in the opposition’s projected batting order.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (74% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage today.
Alejandro Kirk has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95-mph average to last season’s 90.6-mph EV.
This year, the hardest ball Jo Adell has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.6 mph (a reliable standard to evaluate power), ranking in the 94th percentile.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Alejandro Kirk ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Niko Kavadas in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
The Toronto Blue Jays have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Addison Barger, Steward Berroa, Joey Loperfido).
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Negative Match Player Stats with Angels vs Blue Jays Series Game 3
Brandon Drury is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Rogers Centre has the 8th-highest fence height (on average) in the majors.
Bowden Francis will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Drury in today’s game.
Brandon Drury will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Brandon Drury has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 11.1% rate last year has dropped to 3.4% this season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 5th-worst park in MLB for right-handed BABIP.
Hitting from the same side that Bowden Francis throws from, Taylor Ward encounters a tough challenge today.
Extreme flyball batters like Taylor Ward usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Bowden Francis.
Out of all the teams today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 15th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Ernie Clement is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.
Carson Fulmer will hold the platoon advantage against Ernie Clement in today’s matchup.
Ernie Clement’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 85.5-mph seasonal average has dropped to 83.2-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Logan O’Hoppe is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Bowden Francis throws from, Logan O’Hoppe will be in a tough position in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Bowden Francis throws from, Zach Neto meets a tough challenge today.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Zach Neto in today’s game.
Jo Adell is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Bowden Francis throws from, Jo Adell will have a tough matchup today.
Hitting from the same side that Bowden Francis throws from, Anthony Rendon will be at a disadvantage today.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Anthony Rendon in today’s game.
Batting from the same side that Carson Fulmer throws from, George Springer will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, George Springer’s 29.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.2%.
Grading out in the 9th percentile, George Springer has put up a .248 BABIP this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Niko Kavadas in the 2nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Niko Kavadas has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.
The #5 venue in the league for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
Typically, batters like Niko Kavadas who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Bowden Francis.
Anthony Rendon’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 90.1-mph mark last year has dropped to 87.7-mph.
Doug Eddings grades out as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be behind the plate in today’s game.
Rogers Centre ranks as the #21 stadium in MLB for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Carson Fulmer was rolling in his last outing and gave up 2 ER.
Bowden Francis will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Pillar today.
Typically, batters like Kevin Pillar who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Bowden Francis.
Kevin Pillar will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Kevin Pillar’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 85.6-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 82-mph over the last two weeks.
Zach Neto has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph dropping to 82.5-mph in the past week.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.1°, Zach Neto has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.5°) over the past 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Fulmer to throw 75 pitches in today’s game (least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Spencer Horwitz has been lucky this year, posting a .341 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .021 gap.
Over the last 7 days, Anthony Rendon’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.2%.
Joey Loperfido is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
This year, Joey Loperfido has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 19% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.
Joey Loperfido’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 88.3-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 85.2-mph in the past two weeks.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Alejandro Kirk (the Blue Jays’s expected catcher in today’s game) projects as a good pitch framer.
Bowden Francis will hold the platoon advantage against 7 opposing batters in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Nolan Schanuel will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Pillar in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Daulton Varsho’s launch angle in recent games (-2.7° over the past 7 days) is considerably lower than his 24.9° seasonal figure.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.276) implies that Daulton Varsho has been lucky this year with his .304 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 3rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Tallying 81.4 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Bowden Francis ranks in the 17th percentile.
Carson Fulmer will have the handedness advantage over Alejandro Kirk in today’s matchup.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.9°, Alejandro Kirk has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.8°) in the past two weeks.
Alejandro Kirk has averaged 8.2 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 11th percentile for power.
With a .266 BABIP this year, Alejandro Kirk is ranked in the 20th percentile.
Taylor Ward will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Taylor Ward’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, going from 22.6% on the season to 0% in the past week.
George Springer’s launch angle this season (8.8°) is significantly worse than his 11.8° mark last season.
Over the past two weeks, Joey Loperfido has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jo Adell in today’s game.
Over the past 7 days, Jo Adell’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.9%.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Niko Kavadas in today’s matchup.
Nolan Schanuel has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.4-mph dropping to 82.5-mph in the past two weeks.
In terms of his home runs, Nolan Schanuel has been very fortunate this year. His 14.5 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 10.7.
Given the 0.86 gap between Carson Fulmer’s 8.60 K/9 and his 7.74 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to perform worse going forward.
Logan O’Hoppe will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
In notching a .214 batting average this year, Daulton Varsho is ranked in the 13th percentile.
Logan O’Hoppe has shown weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 16th percentile with a 4.2 K/BB rate.
Grading out in the 0th percentile, the hardest ball Nolan Schanuel has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 103.9 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power ability.
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