
COL @ NYY





Positive Match Player Stats for Rockies vs Yankees Series Game 2
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height in MLB.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 84°.
Jordan Beck has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
Out of all the teams today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
When assessing his home run skill, Michael Toglia ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Michael Toglia pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Michael Toglia has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.8-mph average to last season’s 91-mph figure.
When it comes to his home run skill, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
Ryan McMahon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman today.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Austin Wells ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Austin Wells has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (70% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.
Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage over Bradley Blalock in today’s game.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Michael Toglia’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.8-mph over the course of the season to 98.6-mph recently.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Gleyber Torres has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.
Gleyber Torres has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Brenton Doyle has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Bradley Blalock in today’s game.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Benjamin Rice ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Bradley Blalock throws from, Benjamin Rice will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Benjamin Rice will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.
Benjamin Rice will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Rice in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
The Colorado Rockies have 6 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jake Cave, Michael Toglia, Ryan McMahon, Brenton Doyle, Ezequiel Tovar, Jordan Beck).
It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (John Tumpane) in charge of the strike zone today.
Austin Wells, the Yankees’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and Will Warren will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Charlie Blackmon is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.
Charlie Blackmon will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Stroman today.
Charlie Blackmon’s launch angle lately (8° in the past week) is a considerable dropoff from his 16.5° seasonal mark.
Ryan McMahon’s BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Hitting from the opposite that Bradley Blalock throws from, Alex Verdugo will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Alex Verdugo is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Alex Verdugo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the game.
Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.
Aaron Judge will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 80th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Brendan Rodgers is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Brendan Rodgers has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 92.5-mph in the last 7 days.
In the past week, Brendan Rodgers’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11%.
Aaron Judge has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 27.8% seasonal rate to 37.5% in the last 7 days.
Drew Romo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Giancarlo Stanton has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94.3-mph to 96.8-mph in the last two weeks.
Brendan Rodgers’s BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Giancarlo Stanton has big-time power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (28.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bradley Blalock doesn’t generate many whiffs (19th percentile K%) — great news for Stanton.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Anthony Volpe has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Anthony Volpe will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Jordan Beck has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 27.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.8°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Beck’s true offensive skill to be a .288, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .053 gap between that figure and his actual .235 wOBA.
Gleyber Torres will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
It may be sensible to expect better results for the Colorado Rockies offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
Will Warren has recorded a colossal 8.59 ERA over his last 3 games started.
The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Austin Wells has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Ezequiel Tovar’s launch angle this year (18.5°) is a significant increase over his 12.3° angle last year.
The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Juan Soto has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Negative Match Player Stats with Rockies vs Yankees Series Game 2
Jordan Beck is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
Yankee Stadium grades out as the #25 park in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense.
Marcus Stroman will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Beck in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jordan Beck in today’s matchup.
Michael Toglia is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Toglia today.
Despite posting a .334 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Toglia has had some very good luck given the .035 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .299.
The #2 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.
Ryan McMahon has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ryan McMahon in today’s game.
Over the past 14 days, Ryan McMahon’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.4% down to 0%.
Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium’s centerfield dimensions are the 5th-deepest.
The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 11th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Bradley Blalock will hold the platoon advantage against Gleyber Torres today.
Gleyber Torres has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Marcus Stroman will have the handedness advantage against Brenton Doyle today.
Brenton Doyle will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Over the last week, Brenton Doyle’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11% down to 0%.
Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Colorado’s #2-ranked outfield defense on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Juan Soto, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Benjamin Rice is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.
Benjamin Rice hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Will Warren has utilized his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 56.7% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.
When assessing his home run skill, Charlie Blackmon ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Charlie Blackmon hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Charlie Blackmon today.
Charlie Blackmon’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 86.4-mph mark last year has fallen to 84-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 20th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Alex Verdugo has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.
Alex Verdugo has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Bradley Blalock will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Judge in today’s matchup.
Aaron Judge hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Aaron Judge has been lucky this year, posting a .484 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .428 — a .056 deviation.
Brenton Doyle has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph dropping to 85.7-mph in the last 7 days.
Hitting from the same side that Marcus Stroman throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have a tough challenge today.
Ezequiel Tovar will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
In the last two weeks, Ezequiel Tovar’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.1% down to 0%.
Hitting from the same side that Marcus Stroman throws from, Brendan Rodgers will not have the upper hand in today’s game.
Brendan Rodgers hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.
Brendan Rodgers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Brendan Rodgers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 19.7% to 11%.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Drew Romo ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Drew Romo is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Drew Romo in today’s matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Bradley Blalock throws from, Giancarlo Stanton has a tough challenge today.
Giancarlo Stanton pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Juan Soto’s true offensive skill to be a .411, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .024 difference between that figure and his actual .435 wOBA.
Anthony Volpe is penciled in 7th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
Hitting from the same side that Bradley Blalock throws from, Anthony Volpe will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 25th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Anthony Volpe has struggled with his Barrel%; his 9.1% rate last year has lowered to 4.1% this year.
Over the past week, Jordan Beck’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%.
In the last 7 days, Alex Verdugo’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.
Alex Verdugo has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 90.1-mph.
The 2nd-weakest projected batting order of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability is that of the Colorado Rockies.
The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.
Gleyber Torres’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 92.9-mph mark last season has dropped to 90.3-mph.
Gleyber Torres’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 90.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 83.5-mph in the past 14 days.
Ezequiel Tovar’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 16.3% on the season to 7.7% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bradley Blalock in the 14th percentile among all starters in MLB.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bradley Blalock to throw 78 pitches today (3rd-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Bradley Blalock will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Bradley Blalock struggled when it came to striking hitters out in his previous game started and notched 2 Ks.
Over the past 14 days, Ryan McMahon’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 95.8 mph to 86.1 mph.
Giancarlo Stanton’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, decreasing from 14% on the season to 0% in the past week.
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