MLB Player match stats positives for Chicago at St. Louis Saturday Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Willson Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.

Willson Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Lance Lynn is projected to throw 98 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the most of all pitchers on the slate today.

The 2nd-worst projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (CB Bucknor) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

Busch Stadium ranks as the #25 stadium in Major League Baseball for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Busch Stadium has the 2nd-deepest RF fences in the league.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Eloy Jimenez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Eloy Jimenez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

Whalloping 3 home runs over the past 14 days, Eloy Jimenez has been on fire lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Tommy Pham is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Andrew Vaughn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Andrew Vaughn’s quickness has gotten better this season. His 25.53 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.39 ft/sec now.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage over Lance Lynn today… and even more favorably, Lynn has a large platoon split.

Gavin Sheets hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Andrew Benintendi will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lance Lynn in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Lynn has a large platoon split.

Andrew Benintendi has been unlucky this year, compiling a .231 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .082 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as Major League Baseball’s 19th-best home run hitter.

Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Nolan Gorman will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Alec Burleson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (94% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Nicky Lopez is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Nicky Lopez will have the handedness advantage against Lance Lynn today… and the cherry on top, Lynn has a large platoon split.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) suggests that Nicky Lopez has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .224 actual batting average.

Nicky Lopez has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile with a 1.37 K/BB rate.

As it relates to his batting average, Tommy Pham has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .262 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .294.

Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Erick Fedde today.

Considering the 1.47 deviation between Erick Fedde’s 2.60 ERA and his 4.07 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and ought to see worse results the rest of the season.

Mike Siani will have the handedness advantage over Erick Fedde in today’s matchup.

Mike Siani will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Andrew Benintendi and his 19.8% rank in the 94th percentile since the start of last season.

Masyn Winn will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Because of Lance Lynn’s large platoon split, Braden Shewmake will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Since the start of last season, Eloy Jimenez has an average exit velocity of 90.8 mph, which ranks among the elite in the majors at the 79th percentile.

Sporting a .269 batting average since the start of last season, Eloy Jimenez has performed in the 79th percentile.

Recording 92.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Erick Fedde places in the 81st percentile.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Nolan Arenado has had some very good luck this year. His .303 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .288.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

Brendan Donovan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde today.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Paul DeJong ranks in the 84th percentile with a 16.9° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in baseball.

Since the start of last season, Mike Siani’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to study power) grades out in the 97th percentile at 98.7 mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Lance Lynn in the 82nd percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.

Lance Lynn will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his metrics across the board.

Lance Lynn’s cutter percentage has risen by 7.4% from last year to this one (23.2% to 30.6%) .

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Nolan Gorman is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Chicago (#1-worst of all teams on the slate).

Nolan Arenado’s 16.9° launch angle (an advanced stat to measure a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the league: 84th percentile.

When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Erick Fedde in the 81st percentile among all SPs in the game.

In his last GS, Erick Fedde performed well and compiled 9 strikeouts.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Erick Fedde must realize this, because he has gone to his secondary offerings a lot this year: 67.2% of the time, grading out in the 92nd percentile.

Current MLB player match stat slumps with White Sox vs Cardinals Matchup for Saturday

Erick Fedde will hold the platoon advantage over Willson Contreras today.

Willson Contreras and his 8.1° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 22nd percentile, among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season.

Willson Contreras, the Cardinals’s expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.

Lance Lynn’s 91.4-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 24th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Lance Lynn has experienced some positive variance in regards to his ERA this year; his 2.64 figure is considerably lower than his 4.80 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Busch Stadium ranks as the #24 venue in baseball for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Homers are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in MLB.

Because of Lance Lynn’s large platoon split, Eloy Jimenez will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Eloy Jimenez today.

Eloy Jimenez ranks in the 3rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (10.1% rate since the start of last season).

The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Because of Lance Lynn’s large platoon split, Tommy Pham will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.

Tommy Pham will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

This season, there has been a decline in Tommy Pham’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.75 ft/sec last year to 26.99 ft/sec currently.

Because of Lance Lynn’s large platoon split, Andrew Vaughn will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andrew Vaughn today.

Andrew Vaughn has been cold of late, limping his way to a .228 wOBA in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Korey Lee ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Korey Lee is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Lance Lynn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Korey Lee today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Lynn’s large platoon split.

As it relates to plate discipline, Andrew Vaughn’s talent is quite poor, posting a 3.7 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 21st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gavin Sheets in today’s matchup.

Gavin Sheets has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .217 mark is a fair amount higher than his .188 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

In today’s matchup, Andrew Benintendi is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.5% rate (93rd percentile).

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andrew Benintendi today.

Nolan Gorman is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the 7th-worst field in baseball for LHB home runs.

Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 82nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Alec Burleson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 16% of the time.

Alec Burleson has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Alec Burleson does not make a lot of hard contact. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (105.6 mph) rank him as one of baseball’s worst: in the 22nd percentile since the start of last season.

When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Alec Burleson and his 13.2% rank in the 18th percentile since the start of last season.

Ranking in the 13th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.33 ft/sec this year, Alec Burleson is quite slow.

In notching a .275 BABIP since the start of last season, Alec Burleson is positioned in the 20th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nicky Lopez in the 12th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Nicky Lopez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

St. Louis’s #3-ranked outfield defense of all teams today poses a formidable challenge for Nicky Lopez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Nicky Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Tommy Pham’s 5.4° launch angle (an advanced metric to evaluate a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in the league: 7th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Erick Fedde in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent level.

In his previous game started, Erick Fedde performed well and conceded 2 ER.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Willson Contreras’s true offensive skill to be a .348, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .027 difference between that figure and his actual .375 wOBA.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Mike Siani ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mike Siani is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Mike Siani has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 45% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 14th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Masyn Winn is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Erick Fedde will have the handedness advantage over Masyn Winn today.

Masyn Winn has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

Masyn Winn’s quickness has decreased this year. His 29.13 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.52 ft/sec now.

Masyn Winn has been lucky this year, putting up a .329 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .042 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braden Shewmake in the 2nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Braden Shewmake is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.

This year, Braden Shewmake has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 43% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

This season, there has been a decline in Eloy Jimenez’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.52 ft/sec last year to 24.88 ft/sec currently.

Batting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Today, Nolan Arenado is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 43.2% rate (100th percentile).

Erick Fedde will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Goldschmidt today.

In today’s game, Paul Goldschmidt is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.9% rate (76th percentile).

Brendan Donovan has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Since the start of last season, Brendan Donovan’s 5.5% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 25th percentile among his peers.

Brendan Donovan’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to measure power) has been 109.1 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 19th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

When it comes to his batting average, Nolan Arenado has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .267 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .240.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul DeJong in the 2nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Paul DeJong is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Paul DeJong has been pinch hit for 10% of the time.

Because of Lance Lynn’s large platoon split, Paul DeJong will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

Since the start of last season, Mike Siani’s 0% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 0th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nicky Lopez in the 0th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

In notching a .227 batting average since the start of last season, Nolan Gorman has performed in the 22nd percentile.

Nicky Lopez has averaged 0.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 0th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul DeJong in the 8th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 18th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gavin Sheets’s true offensive skill to be a .304, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .048 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .352 wOBA.

Gavin Sheets has posted a .262 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 3rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Since the start of last season, Gavin Sheets’s 5.2% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 23rd percentile among his peers.

Andrew Benintendi’s 3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 7th percentile since the start of last season.

Brendan Donovan hits a lot of balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which generally leads to easy pop fly outs. His 13% “too-high” rate since the start of last season grades out in the 15th percentile.

The #5 field in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Nolan Gorman has compiled a .225 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nolan Arenado has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a core skill for batting average), checking in at the 11th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.

With a 0.93 gap between Erick Fedde’s 10.12 K/9 and his 9.20 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors this year in terms of strikeouts and should negatively regress going forward.

Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

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