
MIL @ CHC






MLB Player match stats positives for Milwaukee at Chicago Saturday Matchup
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Wrigley Field ranks as the #5 venue in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense.
Rhys Hoskins pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Sal Frelick’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Sal Frelick is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 5th-best park in baseball for left-handed batting average.
Hitting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Sal Frelick will have an advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 6th-best park in MLB for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters.
Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Oliver Dunn will have an edge today.
Oliver Dunn is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs only has 1 same-handed RP.
Ranking in the 93rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.03 ft/sec this year, Oliver Dunn is notably athletic.
When estimating his home run skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Christopher Morel is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.
Wrigley Field profiles as the #6 stadium in baseball for overall right-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Pete Crow-Armstrong’s BABIP ability is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Batting from the opposite that Tobias Myers throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Pete Crow-Armstrong’s 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) is in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Jake Bauers is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage over Jameson Taillon in today’s game.
The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Bauers stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
Jake Bauers has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 24.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount lower than his 34.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Mike Tauchman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Mike Tauchman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tobias Myers today.
Mike Tauchman has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
In the majors, Wrigley Field’s LF fences are the 6th-shallowest.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Dansby Swanson’s 11.1% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, Dansby Swanson’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 88th percentile at 95 mph.
Hitting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Brice Turang will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Brice Turang is likely to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.
Brice Turang has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Blake Perkins has been hot recently, posting a .360 wOBA in the past 14 days.
Posting a 2.14 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Blake Perkins has shown good plate discipline, ranking in the 75th percentile.
As it relates to his batting average skill, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today’s game.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Sal Frelick stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
Rhys Hoskins has been hot of late, hitting 3 HRs over the past two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Willy Adames is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.
Willy Adames pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, William Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
William Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.
William Contreras has been hot of late, batting his way to a .410 wOBA over the last 14 days.
Sal Frelick has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
The Milwaukee Brewers have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Blake Perkins, Oliver Dunn, Jake Bauers).
Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Jameson Taillon will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Jameson Taillon has relied on his off-speed and breaking balls 7.1% more often this year (62.5%) than he did last year (55.4%).
With a .285 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nico Hoerner is ranked in the 87th percentile.
Nico Hoerner has displayed good plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile with a 1.64 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Ian Happ is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Tobias Myers today.
Tyler Black is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Tyler Black will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Tyler Black is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs only has 1 same-handed RP.
Mike Tauchman will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.
When estimating his home run ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ian Happ has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tobias Myers in the 14th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.
Wrigley Field projects as the #5 ballpark in the majors for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Tobias Myers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Collectively, Chicago Cubs batters have done well when it comes to hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to best-produce home runs (between 23° and 34°), ranking 7th-best in Major League Baseball.
The underlying talent of the Milwaukee Brewers projected offense today (.312 projected wOBA according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be considerably worse than their .332 wOBA this year.
Over his last 3 GS, Jameson Taillon has put up a terrific ERA of 1.50.
When it comes to his home run ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.
Michael Busch will hold the platoon advantage against Tobias Myers in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Since the start of last season, Michael Busch’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to evaluate power) is in the 80th percentile at 94.5 mph.
With a 26.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Willy Adames is ranked in the 78th percentile for power.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Christopher Morel will hold that advantage today.
Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (33.3% rate since the start of last season).
Since the start of last season, William Contreras has an average exit velocity of 91.3 mph, which is one of the best in the game at the 85th percentile.
Brice Turang has been hot recently, cruising to a .351 wOBA in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Brewers vs Cubs Matchup for Saturday
Rhys Hoskins has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (66% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, Rhys Hoskins will have a tough matchup today.
Rhys Hoskins will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Ranking in the 15th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.54 ft/sec this year, Rhys Hoskins is quite slow.
16% of the time that Sal Frelick has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
Sal Frelick will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
When it comes to his batting average, Sal Frelick has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .247 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .221.
Sal Frelick’s 2.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) is in the 20th percentile since the start of last season.
Sal Frelick’s 83.3-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in baseball since the start of last season: 5th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oliver Dunn in the 9th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Oliver Dunn has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (72% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.
This year, Oliver Dunn has been pinch hit for in 30% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.
The 5th-deepest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field.
Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest average fence height in Major League Baseball.
This year, Christopher Morel has been pinch hit for in 11% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
Tobias Myers will hold the platoon advantage over Christopher Morel in today’s game.
Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers.
Christopher Morel grades out in the 7th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (37.2% rate since the start of last season).
Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
Pete Crow-Armstrong’s 84.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 5th percentile since the start of last season.
Jake Bauers has been pinch hit for 20% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Bauers today.
Jake Bauers has compiled a .290 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 18th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mike Tauchman’s true offensive talent to be a .311, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .093 disparity between that mark and his actual .404 wOBA.
Mike Tauchman has performed at a clip of 11.6 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 17th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Since the start of last season, Mike Tauchman’s 5.5% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 25th percentile among his peers.
Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
Hitting from the same side that Tobias Myers throws from, Dansby Swanson has a tough challenge in today’s game.
Brice Turang is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
When starting against a righty hurler this year, Brice Turang has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 11% of the time.
Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Brice Turang has been lucky this year, notching a .351 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .295 — a .056 disparity.
By putting up a .276 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Brice Turang finds himself in the 9th percentile for offensive ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Perkins in the 19th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Blake Perkins is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.
The switch-hitting Blake Perkins will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Jameson Taillon, Hitting from the same side that Tobias Myers throws from, Nico Hoerner will not have the upper hand in today’s game.
Nico Hoerner has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will be challenged by the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Since the start of last season, Nico Hoerner’s 1.7% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 3rd percentile among his peers.
Nico Hoerner’s 87.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) ranks in the 5th percentile since the start of last season.
When estimating his home run ability, Sal Frelick ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Blake Perkins in today’s game.
Batting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, Willy Adames will not have the upper hand today.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Willy Adames in today’s game.
Willy Adames has been lucky this year, compiling a .374 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .334 — a .040 deviation.
Ranked in the 19th percentile, Willy Adames’s average exit velocity of 87.4 mph ranks among the lowest in the league since the start of last season.
Willy Adames has recorded a .268 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 15th percentile.
Jameson Taillon will have the handedness advantage over William Contreras in today’s matchup.
Today, William Contreras is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.5% rate (90th percentile).
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for William Contreras today.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.252) provides evidence that William Contreras has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .299 actual batting average.
William Contreras’s 4.6° launch angle (a reliable metric to measure a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in MLB: 5th percentile.
Sal Frelick has paced 4.5 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 15th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Checking in at the 23rd percentile, the hardest ball Mike Tauchman has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power skill.
Mike Tauchman’s 7.9° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in the majors: 16th percentile.
Jameson Taillon has averaged 77.2 adjusted pitches per start this year, grading out in the 6th percentile.
With 6 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Jameson Taillon will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.
Jameson Taillon struggled when it came to striking hitters out in his previous game started and notched 1 Ks.
Jameson Taillon has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, compiling a 7.78 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.18 — a 0.60 K/9 deviation.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 19th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 9th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Nico Hoerner has averaged 4.7 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 4th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ian Happ’s quickness has declined this year. His 27.75 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.81 ft/sec now.
Tyler Black will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Chicago Cubs has been 114.6 mph since the start of last season, ranking them as the #23 offense in MLB by this stat.
Jameson Taillon has put up a .220 BABIP this year, making him one of the luckiest mound aces in the league on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.
As it relates to his home runs, Michael Busch has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His 24.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 11.2.
Based on Statcast metrics, Michael Busch grades out in the 8th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .235.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Oliver Dunn in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates William Contreras’s true offensive ability to be a .341, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .069 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .410 wOBA.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.179) provides evidence that Michael Busch has been lucky since the start of last season with his .218 actual batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oliver Dunn in the 20th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Brewers vs Cubs Match Player Stats Saturday May 4th Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs Game Predictions, Players odds, Saturday lines and Betting Trends
Brewers vs Cubs match player stats Saturday, May 4th pre matchup. Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs player predictions
