
SF @ NYM






MLB Player match stats positives for San Francisco at New York Friday Matchup
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) projects as an elite pitch framer.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the 6th-best park in the game for strikeouts.
Citi Field’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.
Dry weather has a small but significant link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-least humid conditions on the slate today at 39%.
When estimating his home run talent, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Among all stadiums, Citi Field’s CF fences are the shallowest.
Mike Yastrzemski will hold the platoon advantage over Christian Scott in today’s matchup… and even better, Scott has a large platoon split.
The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams in action today.
Mike Yastrzemski’s 19.7° launch angle (a reliable stat to assess a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the majors: 94th percentile.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.
Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Brandon Nimmo will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Using Statcast data, Brandon Nimmo grades out in the 89th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .358.
Batting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Starling Marte will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage today.
When it comes to his home runs, Starling Marte has had some very poor luck this year. His 15.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 58.1.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
J.D. Martinez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, J.D. Martinez will have the upper hand today.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and J.D. Martinez will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
As it relates to his home run ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Mark Vientos will have an advantage in today’s game.
Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Heliot Ramos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s shallowest CF fences today.
Heliot Ramos has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .276 rate is deflated compared to his .299 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Heliot Ramos’s 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) is in the 91st percentile since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.
The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Kyle Harrison.
Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Francisco Lindor will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jorge Soler is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.
Jorge Soler pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his batting average, Jorge Soler has been unlucky this year. His .213 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .239.
Luis Matos has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.
Luis Matos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s shallowest CF fences today.
Luis Matos has shown strong plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 90th percentile with a 1.6 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the game’s 12th-best home run hitter.
Pete Alonso is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Pete Alonso will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage today.
Thairo Estrada has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Thairo Estrada pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Thairo Estrada has been hot of late, bashing 2 home runs over the last 7 days.
Thairo Estrada has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .299 rate is quite a bit higher than his .285 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Thairo Estrada has hit 26.2 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile for power.
Pete Alonso projects as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Patrick Bailey ranks in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47% rate since the start of last season).
Placing in the 78th percentile, Patrick Bailey has notched a .318 BABIP since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Jorge Soler as the game’s 20th-best home run batter.
Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Harrison Bader will have an edge today.
Harrison Bader hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s shallowest CF fences today.
Harrison Bader will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.4) may lead us to conclude that Harrison Bader has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his 11.0 actual HR/600.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.
Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Matt Chapman has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .245 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .248 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as MLB’s 16th-best home run hitter.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (24.8) provides evidence that Matt Chapman has had bad variance on his side this year with his 20.4 actual HR/600.
When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Harrison Bader and his 18.5% rank in the 87th percentile since the start of last season.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.
Because of Christian Scott’s large platoon split, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.251) provides evidence that Thairo Estrada has had some very poor luck this year with his .243 actual batting average.
Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today.
When it comes to plate discipline, Jeff McNeil’s skill is quite impressive, sporting a 1.35 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 91st percentile.
When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Christian Scott in the 83rd percentile among all SPs in MLB.
The San Francisco Giants have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Heliot Ramos, Mike Yastrzemski, Matt Chapman).
Starling Marte has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .303 figure is deflated compared to his .433 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Citi Field grades out as the #30 ballpark in baseball for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Mike Yastrzemski has notched a .306 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, LaMonte Wade Jr. has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .409.
The 8.6% Barrel% of the San Francisco Giants grades them out as the #9 club in MLB since the start of last season by this stat.
Over the last two weeks, Brandon Nimmo has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .342.
Heliot Ramos’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) has been 112.7 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 83rd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Matt Chapman’s 17.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 99th percentile since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, Mark Vientos’s 10.7% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 77th percentile among his peers.
Jorge Soler has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .295 rate is a fair amount lower than his .305 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jorge Soler’s 14.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) ranks in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season.
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Giants vs Mets Matchup for Friday
The New York Mets have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in this game.
Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Harrison today.
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Kyle Harrison has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 65% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.
Mike Yastrzemski is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.
This year, Mike Yastrzemski has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 14% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.
Citi Field ranks as the #30 park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Batting from the same side that Kyle Harrison throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
Brandon Nimmo’s speed has declined this season. His 28 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.53 ft/sec now.
Starling Marte is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
Citi Field projects as the #21 park in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Starling Marte grades out in the 5th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (11.4% rate since the start of last season).
Citi Field grades out as the #30 ballpark in the league for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Starling Marte’s quickness has decreased this season. His 27.13 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.15 ft/sec now.
Since the start of last season, Mark Vientos has been pinch hit for in 22% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound.
Mark Vientos has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 25.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 20.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.
Considering Christian Scott’s large platoon split, Heliot Ramos will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today.
This year, there has been a decline in Francisco Lindor’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.16 ft/sec last year to 27.55 ft/sec currently.
With a .213 BABIP this year, Francisco Lindor grades out in the 5th percentile.
Considering Christian Scott’s large platoon split, Jorge Soler will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today’s matchup.
Jorge Soler will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 11th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Considering Christian Scott’s large platoon split, Luis Matos will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.
Pete Alonso is in the 8th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (37.7% rate since the start of last season).
Pete Alonso has notched a .252 BABIP this year, placing in the 20th percentile.
Christian Scott will have the handedness advantage over Thairo Estrada in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Scott’s large platoon split.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Thairo Estrada in today’s game.
Based on Statcast metrics, Pete Alonso grades out in the 25th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .230.
Patrick Bailey is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Patrick Bailey will face a mismatch against Christian Scott and his large platoon split today.
Harrison Bader is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.
Harrison Bader’s speed has declined this season. His 28.75 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.15 ft/sec now.
Given Christian Scott’s large platoon split, Matt Chapman will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.
Matt Chapman will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
The #1 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.
Utilizing Statcast metrics, Harrison Bader grades out in the 21st percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .297.
When starting against a right-handed starter this year, LaMonte Wade Jr. has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 36% of the time.
LaMonte Wade Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 4th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
The #10 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.
Christian Scott has been given a below-average leash this year, throwing 6.2 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than average.
New York Mets hitters jointly have been one of the best in MLB since the start of last season (5th-) as it relates to their 89.4-mph average exit velocity.
J.D. Martinez has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 36.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 34.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Kyle Harrison will hold the platoon advantage against Jeff McNeil in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Christian Scott in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.
The San Francisco Giants have been the 7th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward, Brandon Nimmo and his 8.2° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 23rd percentile, among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Matos in today’s game.
Mark Vientos grades out in the 14th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (10.7% rate since the start of last season).
With a .278 wOBA in the last 14 days, Francisco Lindor has been struggling at the plate.
Giants vs Mets Match Player Stats Friday May 24th San Francisco Giants at New York Mets Game Predictions, Players odds, Friday lines and Betting Trends
Giants vs Mets match player stats Friday, May 24th pre matchup. San Francisco Giants at New York Mets player predictions
