MLB Player match stats positives for Los Angeles at Cincinnati Friday Matchup

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Will Smith ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Will Smith is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 stadium in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 81°.

Extreme groundball batters like Will Smith usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Graham Ashcraft.

The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Hitting from the opposite that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Jason Heyward will have an advantage in today’s game.

Jason Heyward pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Jason Heyward’s 15.7° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the majors: 76th percentile.

In the majors, Great American Ball Park’s left field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.

Extreme flyball hitters like Andy Pages usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Graham Ashcraft.

Ranking in the 81st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.37 ft/sec this year, Andy Pages is notably athletic.

Mookie Betts projects as the 7th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mookie Betts is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

Mookie Betts pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.319) may lead us to conclude that Kike Hernandez has experienced some negative variance this year with his .264 actual wOBA.

The Cincinnati Reds have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Will Benson, Stuart Fairchild, Elly De La Cruz, Mike Ford).

As a result of his large reverse platoon split, James Paxton will be at an advantage squaring off against 7 hitters in the projected batting order of opposing handedness in this game.

James Paxton has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, posting a 4.87 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.71 — a 2.84 K/9 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 13th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, James Paxton’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 18th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the game right now.

The Cincinnati Reds have been the unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games, Great American Ball Park ranks as the #1 stadium in the game for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 6th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks are found in Great American Ball Park.

Hitting from the opposite that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Gavin Lux will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.247) provides evidence that Gavin Lux has been unlucky this year with his .212 actual batting average.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.

Freddie Freeman will have the handedness advantage against Graham Ashcraft in today’s game.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Graham Ashcraft has averaged 96.4 adjusted pitches per start this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Graham Ashcraft will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The #5 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 3rd-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for lefty home runs.

Gavin Lux has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .248 rate is deflated compared to his .287 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Freddie Freeman projects as the 12th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Dodgers vs Reds Matchup for Friday

Batting from the same side that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Will Smith will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Will Smith will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Since the start of last season, Will Smith’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 24th percentile at 90.5 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jason Heyward in the 3rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Jason Heyward is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Jason Heyward has been pulled from the game early 23% of the time.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jason Heyward in today’s game.

Jason Heyward’s speed has dropped off this season. His 27.11 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 22.74 ft/sec now.

Andy Pages is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Graham Ashcraft will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andy Pages today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andy Pages today.

Batting from the same side that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Mookie Betts will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mookie Betts in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kike Hernandez in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Kike Hernandez is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

Graham Ashcraft will have the handedness advantage against Kike Hernandez in today’s matchup.

Kike Hernandez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kike Hernandez today.

The #9 ballpark in the league for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

James Paxton will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

In his last game started, James Paxton didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to tally 2 Ks.

James Paxton’s 92.9-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a big 1.7-mph decrease from last season’s 94.6-mph figure.

Graham Ashcraft will hold the platoon advantage over Teoscar Hernandez in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Teoscar Hernandez today.

The 5th-worst projected offense of the day in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Gavin Lux is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gavin Lux in today’s game.

Gavin Lux has been cold lately, posting a .248 wOBA in the past two weeks.

Sporting a .128 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Gavin Lux has performed in the 14th percentile.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Freddie Freeman in today’s game.

Freddie Freeman’s quickness has decreased this season. His 26.69 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.23 ft/sec now.

Because groundball batters hold a significant edge over flyball pitchers, Graham Ashcraft and his 50% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a difficult spot in this matchup squaring off against 0 opposing GB batters.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Graham Ashcraft has gone to his non-fastballs 11.3% less often this season (79.1%) than he did last year (90.4%).

Gavin Lux has compiled a .212 batting average this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Shohei Ohtani today.

Shohei Ohtani has been lucky this year, putting up a .447 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .401 — a .046 disparity.

With a .209 wOBA over the past 7 days, Jason Heyward has been struggling at the plate.

Jason Heyward’s 87.5-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in baseball since the start of last season: 20th percentile.

Utilizing Statcast data, Kike Hernandez ranks in the 20th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 12.900.

Mookie Betts has been lucky this year, posting a .417 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .379 — a .038 difference.

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Dodgers vs Reds Match Player Stats Friday May 24th Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds Game Predictions, Players odds, Friday lines and Betting Trends
Dodgers vs Reds match player stats Friday, May 24th pre matchup. Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds player predictions