Yankees @ White Sox Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the New York Yankees Game Today

Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #7 park in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Curtis Mead will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Rodon in today’s matchup.

Curtis Mead has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Out of every team playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Curtis Mead will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #8 park in the game for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Curtis Mead’s 18.1° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in Major League Baseball: 79th percentile.

Anthony Volpe has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Anthony Volpe has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 7 days.

Despite posting a .286 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Anthony Volpe has suffered from bad luck given the .025 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.

This season, Anthony Volpe has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.9 mph compared to last year’s 90.6 mph mark.

Anthony Volpe’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (23° in the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 13.3° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Edgar Quero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Edgar Quero will get to bat from his strong side against Carlos Rodon in today’s matchup.

Edgar Quero has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Edgar Quero will hold that advantage today.

Chase Meidroth is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Chase Meidroth will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon today.

Chase Meidroth has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Chase Meidroth will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for long-balls.

Brooks Baldwin will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Brooks Baldwin has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.9% seasonal rate to 19% in the last 14 days.

Over the last 14 days, Brooks Baldwin’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 96.3-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Ryan McMahon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yoendrys Gomez today.

Ryan McMahon has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best field in the game for LHB home runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Yoendrys Gomez throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an advantage in today’s game.

Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Compared to his seasonal average of 18.4°, Cody Bellinger has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23.2° angle over the past 14 days.

Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Michael A. Taylor will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Michael A. Taylor will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal average of 19.3°, Michael A. Taylor has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 35.5° angle in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Yoendrys Gomez throws from, Trent Grisham will have an edge today.

Trent Grisham pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Trent Grisham has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal mark of 95.5-mph.

When it comes to his home run talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Paul Goldschmidt’s launch angle this year (16.6°) is significantly higher than his 12.8° figure last year.

As it relates to his home runs, Paul Goldschmidt has had some very poor luck this year. His 12.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.1.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Paul Goldschmidt has compiled a .344 BABIP this year, ranking in the 95th percentile.

Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #5 ballpark in baseball for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league parks, Guaranteed Rate Field’s LF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.

With 7 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Carlos Rodon will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.

Carlos Rodon will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Carlos Rodon in the 92nd percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.

Carlos Rodon has averaged 97.1 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 98th percentile.

The Chicago White Sox have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Teel, Mike Tauchman, Michael A. Taylor).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yoendrys Gomez in today’s matchup.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10% rate last season to 17.9% this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (21.3°) is considerably better than his 13.2° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Giancarlo Stanton pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

In the last 7 days, Giancarlo Stanton’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 21.2% up to 40%.

Giancarlo Stanton has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 96.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Giancarlo Stanton as Major League Baseball’s 3rd-best home run hitter.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in Major League Baseball.

Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

Placing in the 100th percentile, Aaron Judge sits with a .457 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Posting a .331 batting average this year, Aaron Judge has performed in the 100th percentile.

Mike Tauchman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Mike Tauchman has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP.

Mike Tauchman has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Mike Tauchman will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The New York Yankees have been the 10th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games,Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats across the board, and Yoendrys Gomez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Yoendrys Gomez has compiled a fantastic 2.45 ERA over his last 3 games started.

The 11.8% Barrel% of the New York Yankees ranks them as the #1 group of hitters in the league this year by this standard.

The New York Yankees have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ryan McMahon, Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Jazz Chisholm Jr.).

Yoendrys Gomez was firing on all cylinders in his last start and posted 7 strikeouts.

Out of all starters, Yoendrys Gomez’s fastball spin rate of 2469 rpm is in the 89th percentile this year.

Lenyn Sosa has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Lenyn Sosa will have an advantage in today’s game.

Lenyn Sosa has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lenyn Sosa in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Negatives with the Chicago White Sox Game Today

Curtis Mead is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

The weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-best pitching conditions on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Curtis Mead’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, going from 12.9% on the season to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

In the last week’s worth of games, Curtis Mead has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power).

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.219) may lead us to conclude that Curtis Mead has had some very good luck this year with his .240 actual batting average.

Based on Statcast metrics, Curtis Mead grades out in the 19th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 7.900.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-worst stadium in the game for RHB BABIP.

Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Yoendrys Gomez throws from, Anthony Volpe has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Anthony Volpe in today’s matchup.

By putting up a .294 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Anthony Volpe is ranked in the 17th percentile for offensive ability.

In the past 14 days, Edgar Quero has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Edgar Quero has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .286 figure is inflated compared to his .262 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Edgar Quero has performed at a clip of 7.6 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 9th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Edgar Quero has hit 7.1 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 9th percentile for power.

When estimating his home run skill, Edgar Quero ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Edgar Quero’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, falling from 13.4% on the season to 8.7% in the last 14 days.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Edgar Quero has had positive variance on his side this year. His .325 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .303.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 4th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Chase Meidroth has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 85.6-mph in the past 14 days.

Chase Meidroth’s launch angle of late (-9.4° in the past 14 days) is considerably lower than his 7.9° seasonal figure.

Chase Meidroth has been cold recently, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) in the past 14 days.

Brooks Baldwin is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

Placing in the 18th percentile, Brooks Baldwin has notched a .291 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

When it comes to plate discipline, Brooks Baldwin’s skill is quite bad, putting up a 4.77 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 9th percentile.

Ryan McMahon has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (70% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Ryan McMahon will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Ryan McMahon has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 11.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #21 park in the league for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the last week, Ryan McMahon’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 95.5 mph to 79.1 mph.

Cody Bellinger will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Cody Bellinger has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph dropping to 84.1-mph over the past 7 days.

Cody Bellinger has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 28.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 21.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 12th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Michael A. Taylor is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Michael A. Taylor’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.8% down to 0%.

Michael A. Taylor has recorded a .292 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 15th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Michael A. Taylor has recorded a .281 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 10th percentile.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trent Grisham in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, Trent Grisham’s 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.2%.

Trent Grisham has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 33.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 27.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Trent Grisham’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 21% to 17.3%.

Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Batting from the same side that Yoendrys Gomez throws from, Paul Goldschmidt faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Paul Goldschmidt in today’s game.

Paul Goldschmidt’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 93.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 79.1-mph over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Carlos Rodon in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent.

The 4th-weakest projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Chicago White Sox.

Projected catcher Austin Wells profiles as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Carlos Rodon was firing on all cylinders in his last start and allowed 1 ER.

The #3 field in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

Carlos Rodon’s 93.6-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 2-mph fall off from last season’s 95.6-mph figure.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, going from 20.6% on the season to 0% over the last week.

Batting from the same side that Yoendrys Gomez throws from, Giancarlo Stanton will not have the upper hand today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Giancarlo Stanton today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Giancarlo Stanton’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.5%.

Giancarlo Stanton has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .439 mark is inflated compared to his .351 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Yoendrys Gomez will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Judge in today’s matchup.

Aaron Judge will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Aaron Judge has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 25.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 8.3% in the last week.

Aaron Judge’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 95.2-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 92.6-mph in the past week.

Batting from the same side that Carlos Rodon throws from, Mike Tauchman has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Mike Tauchman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%.

Mike Tauchman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 91-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 77.5-mph over the past week.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) may lead us to conclude that Mike Tauchman has had positive variance on his side this year with his .278 actual batting average.

Over the last 14 days, Mike Tauchman’s 6.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.7%.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Yoendrys Gomez is projected to throw 81 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least of all pitchers on the slate.

The best projected offense of the day in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the New York Yankees.

Checking in at the 14th percentile, Yoendrys Gomez has posted a 1.61 K/BB rate this year.

Lenyn Sosa has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past 7 days.

Lenyn Sosa’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 17.4% on the season to 7.1% in the past 7 days.

Despite posting a .317 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Lenyn Sosa has been very fortunate given the .017 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .300.

When it comes to plate discipline, Lenyn Sosa’s ability is quite weak, sporting a 6.43 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 3rd percentile.

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