Angels @ Astros Matchup Details

Positives for the Los Angeles Angels Game Today

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Zach Neto ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Zach Neto is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Zach Neto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Zach Neto has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 15.1% seasonal rate to 26.3% over the past 14 days.

Zach Neto has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 96.3-mph.

When it comes to his home run skill, Niko Kavadas ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for HRs.

Hitting from the opposite that Cristian Javier throws from, Niko Kavadas will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith as the 14th-best batter in baseball when estimating his BABIP talent.

Cam Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson today.

Among every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels.

Cam Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.323) may lead us to conclude that Cam Smith has suffered from bad luck this year with his .299 actual wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Taylor Ward is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Grading out in the 95th percentile, Taylor Ward sits with a .376 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Taylor Ward has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .232 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .246 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ranking in the 76th percentile, Taylor Ward has notched a .345 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Taylor Ward’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 19.4% on the season to 23.1% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Jo Adell as MLB’s 18th-best home run hitter.

Jo Adell is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

The 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions in MLB are found in Minute Maid Park.

Jo Adell has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 11.8% rate last season to 17.3% this year.

Jo Adell has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 17.3% seasonal rate to 23.5% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

When it comes to his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Christian Walker will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Anderson in today’s matchup.

Christian Walker pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Christian Walker will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jose Altuve ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jose Altuve is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jose Altuve will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Anderson in today’s game.

Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Jose Altuve will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jose Altuve’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Carlos Correa’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Carlos Correa is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

Carlos Correa will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Anderson today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

It may be best to expect better numbers for the Los Angeles Angels offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yainer Diaz (the Astros’s expected catcher today) projects as a weak pitch framer.

Cristian Javier has compiled a 1.43 K/BB rate since the start of last season, checking in at the 14th percentile.

The 10.7% Barrel% of the Los Angeles Angels ranks them as the #2 team in baseball this year by this metric.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the most strikeout-prone lineup today is the Los Angeles Angels with a 27.8% underlying K%.

The #3 park in the majors for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

Tyler Anderson has a large reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 9 opposite-handed batters in this matchup.

Tyler Anderson’s high utilization percentage of his secondary pitches (57.8% this year) ought to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

The 7.8% Barrel% of the Houston Astros ranks them as the #24 squad in MLB this year by this stat.

Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Anderson throws from, Mauricio Dubon will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Mauricio Dubon will hold that advantage today.

Mauricio Dubon’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 12.1% to 20.1%.

In the last week, Mauricio Dubon’s 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.1%.

Sporting a 1.7 K/BB rate this year, Mauricio Dubon has shown impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Yoan Moncada ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Yoan Moncada is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Yoan Moncada will get to bat from his good side against Cristian Javier in today’s game.

Yoan Moncada has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.7% seasonal rate to 25% over the last week.

Yoan Moncada’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 23.2% on the season to 31.8% over the past 14 days.

Chas McCormick will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson in today’s matchup.

Chas McCormick will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

This season, Chas McCormick has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.6 mph compared to last year’s 90.9 mph mark.

Last season, Chas McCormick had an average launch angle of 15.6° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 22.9°.

In terms of his home runs, Chas McCormick has been unlucky since the start of last season. His 9.5 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 16.7.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 19th-best hitter in the game when assessing his batting average talent.

Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Tyler Anderson throws from, Jeremy Pena will have an edge in today’s game.

Jeremy Pena pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Batters such as Jeremy Pena with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tyler Anderson who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Logan O’Hoppe ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Logan O’Hoppe pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Logan O’Hoppe has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.1-mph average to last season’s 94.6-mph EV.

Last season, Logan O’Hoppe had an average launch angle of 16° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 20.8°.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Logan O’Hoppe’s 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O’Hoppe in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Logan O’Hoppe has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 91.4-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Anderson throws from, Yainer Diaz will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Hitters such as Yainer Diaz with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tyler Anderson who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Yainer Diaz will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Yainer Diaz ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Yainer Diaz’s true offensive talent to be a .328, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .025 disparity between that figure and his actual .303 wOBA.

In the last week’s worth of games, Bryce Teodosio has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 10.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 3.4°.

Negatives with the Houston Astros Game Today

The #6 field in the game for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-tallest fences among all parks.

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense.

Hitting from the same side that Cristian Javier throws from, Zach Neto will have a tough matchup today.

Zach Neto will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 5th-worst stadium in baseball for right-handed batting average.

Zach Neto has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 11th percentile with a 4.49 K/BB rate.

Niko Kavadas is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

When starting against a northpaw since the start of last season, Niko Kavadas has been pinch hit for 15% of the time.

Extreme groundball batters like Niko Kavadas tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristian Javier.

Niko Kavadas will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Niko Kavadas in the 2nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Minute Maid Park ranks as the #24 ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Cam Smith is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

Cam Smith has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Cam Smith has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past two weeks.

Batting from the same side that Cristian Javier throws from, Taylor Ward faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Taylor Ward has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball hitters like Taylor Ward are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristian Javier.

Hitting from the same side that Cristian Javier throws from, Jo Adell meets a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jo Adell today.

With a 4.04 K/BB rate this year, Jo Adell has demonstrated weak plate discipline, checking in at the 17th percentile.

Grading out in the 10th percentile, Jo Adell sits with a .257 BABIP this year.

When it comes to plate discipline, Christian Walker’s talent is quite poor, posting a 3.76 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 19th percentile.

Over the past 14 days, Christian Walker’s 34.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39.7%.

Based on Statcast data, Christian Walker is in the 21st percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .234.

Christian Walker’s BABIP skill is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the last 14 days, Jose Altuve’s 2.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.7%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.289) suggests that Jose Altuve has had positive variance on his side this year with his .338 actual wOBA.

Over the past two weeks, Carlos Correa’s 5.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.2%.

Carlos Correa ranks in the 7th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (11.2% rate this year).

Posting a .198 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Carlos Correa is ranked in the 25th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 5th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for walks.

Cristian Javier will hold the platoon advantage against 6 opposing hitters today.

Because groundball pitchers have a significant edge over groundball hitters, Cristian Javier and his 44.6% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a favorable position in this outing squaring off against 2 opposing GB hitters.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Cristian Javier will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The Houston Astros (20.1 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 4th-least strikeout-prone set of batters on the slate.

Given that flyball batters hold a sizeable edge over groundball pitchers, Tyler Anderson and his 41% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome spot in today’s outing being matched up with 2 opposing GB batters.

Tyler Anderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Tyler Anderson’s 88.6-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 4th percentile out of all SPs.

Tyler Anderson’s 2183-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 9th percentile among all starters.

The Houston Astros have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future,When it comes to his home run skill, Mauricio Dubon ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mauricio Dubon is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.

This year, Mauricio Dubon has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 13% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound.

Mauricio Dubon has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

This year, Yoan Moncada has been pinch hit for in 21% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Yoan Moncada pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Yoan Moncada will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Chas McCormick is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Chas McCormick has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 36% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year.

Chas McCormick has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Over the last week, Jeremy Pena’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.5%.

Despite posting a .365 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jeremy Pena has been lucky given the .035 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

Logan O’Hoppe is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Cristian Javier throws from, Logan O’Hoppe will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Logan O’Hoppe in today’s matchup.

Yainer Diaz has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Yainer Diaz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 85th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Yainer Diaz has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph dropping to 88.3-mph in the past 14 days.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Bryce Teodosio ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Bryce Teodosio is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

This year, Bryce Teodosio has been pinch hit for in 34% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

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