Mariners @ Guardians Matchup Details

Positives for the Seattle Mariners Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in baseball for left-handed BABIP.

Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense.

Angel Martinez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.

Angel Martinez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have the upper hand today.

Throwing 93.9 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Logan Allen checks in at the 86th percentile.

Progressive Field ranks as the #10 stadium in the majors for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Logan Allen will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as the game’s 12th-best home run hitter.

Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Eugenio Suarez will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Allen today.

Eugenio Suarez has big-time HR ability (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Logan Allen is a pitch-to-contact type (17th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best field in the league for righty base hits.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Josh Naylor’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Josh Naylor is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Josh Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Josh Naylor has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 93-mph over the past 14 days.

Victor Robles’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Victor Robles will have an advantage in today’s game.

Victor Robles pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Grading out in the 90th percentile, Victor Robles has notched a .351 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

J.P. Crawford has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

J.P. Crawford’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 16.6% to 20%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.286) implies that J.P. Crawford has experienced some negative variance this year with his .261 actual batting average.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, J.P. Crawford has experienced some negative variance this year. His .319 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .341.

J.P. Crawford has shown impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 86th percentile with a 1.55 K/BB rate.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Randy Arozarena will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Allen today.

Randy Arozarena’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 17.2% on the season to 36% in the past 7 days.

Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.5% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

Jorge Polanco has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last season’s 88.3-mph EV.

Jorge Polanco has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 96.2-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mitch Garver will have the handedness advantage against Logan Allen today.

Mitch Garver has big-time HR ability (89th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (27.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Logan Allen doesn’t generate many whiffs (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Garver.

Mitch Garver pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Mitch Garver’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (25.7° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 16.5° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Gabriel Arias is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Logan Allen.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The Cleveland Guardians have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Mitch Garver (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

Progressive Field grades out as the #4 park in MLB for base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball.

With 7 batters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, George Kirby will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

Recording 92.6 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, George Kirby checks in at the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects George Kirby in the 75th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

The Cleveland Guardians have 4 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Nolan Jones, Will Wilson, Gabriel Arias, Collin Kayfus).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball when assessing his BABIP skill.

Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Julio Rodriguez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Julio Rodriguez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Julio Rodriguez has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.3% seasonal rate to 15.9% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Brayan Rocchio has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (99% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

The 5th-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Progressive Field.

Brayan Rocchio will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Steven Kwan is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Steven Kwan will have an advantage in today’s game.

Steven Kwan has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Negatives with the Cleveland Guardians Game Today

Angel Martinez is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

The league’s 4th-highest average fence height can be found at Progressive Field.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.6-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.

The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will bat from his weak side (0) today against George Kirby,Angel Martinez has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph dropping to 72-mph in the last week.

Kyle Manzardo’s BABIP ability is projected in the 6th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Manzardo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Kyle Manzardo has notched a .225 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Logan Allen in the 24th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

The Seattle Mariners have 7 hitters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in this game.

In his previous outing, Logan Allen wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to post 1 Ks.

This season, Logan Allen has added a new pitch to his repertoire (a sinker), mixing it in on 12.3% of his pitches.

The #3 venue in the majors for suppressing home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Eugenio Suarez in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (32.8) suggests that Eugenio Suarez has experienced some positive variance this year with his 46.9 actual HR/600.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.312) provides evidence that Eugenio Suarez has had some very good luck this year with his .361 actual wOBA.

Eugenio Suarez has compiled a .237 BABIP this year, checking in at the 1st percentile.

Logan Allen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josh Naylor today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Josh Naylor in today’s game.

Progressive Field grades out as the #27 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 93.7-mph mark last year has dropped off to 90-mph.

Victor Robles has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Victor Robles in today’s game.

When estimating his home run talent, Victor Robles ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

From last season to this one, Victor Robles’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 91.2 mph to 87 mph.

J.P. Crawford has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Logan Allen throws from, J.P. Crawford encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for J.P. Crawford in today’s matchup.

When assessing his home run ability, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Randy Arozarena hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Randy Arozarena today.

In the last two weeks, Randy Arozarena’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12% down to 6.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jorge Polanco in today’s matchup.

Mitch Garver’s BABIP talent is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mitch Garver is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mitch Garver in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Gabriel Arias will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Gabriel Arias hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.

Gabriel Arias’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 15.9% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Cal Raleigh has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .389 mark is considerably higher than his .354 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Cal Raleigh has notched a .254 BABIP this year, checking in at the 8th percentile.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (39.8) implies that Cal Raleigh has experienced some positive variance this year with his 51.9 actual HR/600.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, George Kirby’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 92nd percentile out of all starters in Major League Baseball right now.

The worst projected offense of the day in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the the Cleveland Guardians.

George Kirby will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

George Kirby has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 9.13 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.57 — a 0.56 K/9 discrepancy.

In today’s matchup, Julio Rodriguez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.5% rate (79th percentile).

Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Julio Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 94.6-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 87.3-mph over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Brayan Rocchio has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph dropping to 78.8-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Ranking in the 5th percentile, Brayan Rocchio sports a .268 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

When assessing his home run talent, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 2nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Over the past 14 days, Steven Kwan’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 87.7 mph to 83.3 mph.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 14.6°, Steven Kwan has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.8°) over the last 14 days.

Steven Kwan’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to measure power) has been 104.1 mph this year, checking in at the 0th percentile.

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