Yankees vs Red Sox match player stats | 2025 Friday, September 12th

|

NYY @ BOS

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Yankees vs Red SoxYankees vs Red SoxYankees vs Red SoxYankees vs Red SoxYankees vs Red SoxYankees vs Red Sox

Yankees @ Red Sox Matchup Details

Teams : New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox
Series :
Date : Todays Game is on Friday, September 12th
Time : 12/09/25 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the New York Yankees Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.

Nick Sogard pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Among every team playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

Nick Sogard will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

In terms of his home runs, Nick Sogard has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His 0.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 5.3.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 field in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Nick Sogard has posted a .258 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Ben Rice will hold the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today’s game.

Ben Rice pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Ben Rice has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last season’s 90-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

Among all major league parks, Fenway Park’s RF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Trevor Story is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Fenway Park grades out as the #4 stadium in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Trevor Story has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home run ability, Trevor Story ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Ryan McMahon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today’s matchup.

Ryan McMahon hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Ryan McMahon has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 12.4% seasonal rate to 19% over the past two weeks.

Ryan McMahon has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.2-mph to 96.1-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

Cody Bellinger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today’s game.

Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an edge today.

Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences today.

The New York Yankees projected offense profiles as the 3rd-strongest of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill.

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 field in baseball for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park’s LF fences are the shallowest.

Out of all starters, Lucas Giolito’s fastball spin rate of 2234 rpm ranks in the 20th percentile this year.

Lucas Giolito has been lucky this year, compiling a 3.38 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.58 — a 1.2 difference.

Lucas Giolito has averaged 94.8 adjusted pitches per GS this year, checking in at the 91st percentile.

The New York Yankees have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Austin Slater, Giancarlo Stanton, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Ryan McMahon).

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge today.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Giancarlo Stanton as MLB’s 3rd-best home run hitter.

Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Giancarlo Stanton pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Giancarlo Stanton has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 110.5-mph average over the last week to his seasonal figure of 97.1-mph.

Giancarlo Stanton’s launch angle this season (20°) is quite a bit better than his 14.3° angle last season.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in baseball.

Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

Aaron Judge hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Over the past 7 days, Aaron Judge’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 25.4% up to 38.5%.

Compared to his seasonal average of 19°, Aaron Judge has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 23.9° figure in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Luis Gil in the 76th percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.

The Boston Red Sox have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Carlos Narvaez, Trevor Story, Nate Eaton).

Austin Wells, the Yankees’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In his last start, Luis Gil gave up a monstrous 5 earned runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage against Luis Gil today.

Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Austin Wells will have the handedness advantage against Lucas Giolito in today’s matchup.

Austin Wells has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s shallowest LF fences today.

Austin Wells has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.6-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 93.6-mph.

Austin Wells’s launch angle this year (21°) is considerably better than his 16.9° figure last year.

Jose Caballero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.6% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Jose Caballero has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 86.2-mph average to last year’s 83.5-mph average.

Jose Caballero’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 43.9% to 48.9%.

Carlos Narvaez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Carlos Narvaez has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.5% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past 7 days.

Negatives with the Boston Red Sox Game Today

When estimating his home run skill, Nick Sogard ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nick Sogard is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

Among all parks, the 2nd-highest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output.

This game is expected to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The switch-hitting Nick Sogard will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Luis Gil,In the past week, Nick Sogard’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.1% down to 0%.

Ben Rice has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ben Rice in today’s game.

13% of the time that Masataka Yoshida has started against a northpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Masataka Yoshida has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week.

Masataka Yoshida’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 15.5% to 6.9%.

Luis Gil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Story in today’s game.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Trevor Story has experienced some positive variance this year. His .326 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314.

By putting up a 5.22 K/BB rate this year, Trevor Story has shown weak plate discipline, ranking in the 4th percentile.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (21.2) provides evidence that Trevor Story has been lucky this year with his 24.5 actual HR/600.

Ryan McMahon has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

Ryan McMahon will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Luis Gil throws from, Alex Bregman encounters a tough challenge today.

Over the last week, Alex Bregman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%.

Alex Bregman’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 90-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 86.6-mph over the last two weeks.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Cody Bellinger today.

Over the past week, Cody Bellinger’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 91.2 mph to 89 mph.

Using Statcast data, Nathaniel Lowe is in the 22nd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .301.

Ranking in the 12th percentile, Nathaniel Lowe has put up a .221 batting average this year.

As it relates to his home runs, Nathaniel Lowe has had positive variance on his side this year. His 19.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 13.5.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Lucas Giolito will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The #1 ballpark in the league for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 17.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week.

Batting from the same side that Lucas Giolito throws from, Giancarlo Stanton faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Giancarlo Stanton will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Lucas Giolito will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Judge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Aaron Judge in today’s matchup.

Luis Gil will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Luis Gil’s 95-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1.7-mph fall off from last year’s 96.7-mph mark.

The Boston Red Sox projected offense profiles as the 5th-worst on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill.

The Boston Red Sox have been the 6th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward,Jarren Duran has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 9.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Jarren Duran’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (5°) is a considerable dropoff from his 8.4° angle last year.

Jarren Duran’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 16% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Austin Wells’s BABIP talent is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Austin Wells is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Jose Caballero’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Caballero is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

Lucas Giolito will have the handedness advantage over Jose Caballero in today’s matchup.

Carlos Narvaez is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Luis Gil throws from, Carlos Narvaez will not have the upper hand today.

Carlos Narvaez has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .326 mark is a good deal higher than his .293 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Latest Boston Red Sox Matches

Latest New York Yankees Matches