White Sox @ Guardians Matchup Details

Positives for the Chicago White Sox Game Today

As it relates to his home run talent, David Fry ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

David Fry is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, David Fry will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

David Fry pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in MLB for righty BABIP.

Angel Martinez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Martin Perez.

Angel Martinez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Angel Martinez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colson Montgomery in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Colson Montgomery is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The #3 stadium in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

Colson Montgomery will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today’s matchup.

Colson Montgomery pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

Edgar Quero is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

Edgar Quero has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Over the past 14 days, Edgar Quero’s 20.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Chase Meidroth has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Sporting a 1.55 K/BB rate this year, Chase Meidroth has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 86th percentile.

Chase Meidroth’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tanner Bibee in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

Recording 95 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Tanner Bibee ranks in the 92nd percentile.

The 4th-weakest projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Chicago White Sox.

Tanner Bibee will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his metrics across the board.

Tanner Bibee has relied on his four-seam fastball 16.2% less often this season (27.2%) than he did last season (43.4%).

Kyle Teel’s BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Teel is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

The 5th-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Progressive Field.

Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Kyle Teel will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Kyle Teel has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 106.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal mark of 91.5-mph.

Kyle Teel’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (29° in the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 19° seasonal mark.

Tallying 95.2 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Martin Perez places in the 93rd percentile.

The Cleveland Guardians have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jhonkensy Noel, Nolan Jones, Daniel Schneemann, Bo Naylor).

Martin Perez was rolling in his last outing and posted 9 strikeouts.

Martin Perez’s change-up utilization has increased by 6.8% from last year to this one (22.7% to 29.5%) .

It may be sensible to expect better results for the Cleveland Guardians offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Andrew Benintendi ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andrew Benintendi will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Bibee in today’s matchup.

Andrew Benintendi’s launch angle this season (19.8°) is a considerable increase over his 15.9° angle last season.

Over the past 14 days, Andrew Benintendi has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 26.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.9°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Jose Ramirez will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Martin Perez.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.2% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

Mike Tauchman is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Mike Tauchman will have the handedness advantage over Tanner Bibee in today’s game.

Mike Tauchman has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Over the past two weeks, Mike Tauchman has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 21.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 11.5°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Nolan Jones has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Nolan Jones will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Miguel Vargas has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last year’s 89.3-mph EV.

Miguel Vargas has been unlucky this year, notching a .315 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .016 disparity.

Miguel Vargas has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 16.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount lower than his 20.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Miguel Vargas has displayed good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 76th percentile with a 1.82 K/BB rate.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Brayan Rocchio’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 87.3-mph now compared to just 84.5-mph then.

Brayan Rocchio’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 37.7% to 47.8%.

Brayan Rocchio has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph to 93.2-mph in the past 7 days.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Brayan Rocchio has had bad variance on his side this year. His .281 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .301.

Jhonkensy Noel is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

Jhonkensy Noel will hold the platoon advantage over Martin Perez in today’s matchup.

Jhonkensy Noel pulls many of his flyballs (37.7% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jhonkensy Noel in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Jhonkensy Noel has strong power (83rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (28.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Martin Perez is a pitch-to-contact type (17th percentile K%) — great news for Noel.

Steven Kwan is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Steven Kwan has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Steven Kwan will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lenyn Sosa in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Lenyn Sosa has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (54% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Lenyn Sosa has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Over the last 7 days, Lenyn Sosa’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.9% up to 20%.

Lenyn Sosa’s launch angle this season (18.7°) is a significant increase over his 12.4° figure last year.

Negatives with the Cleveland Guardians Game Today

The #2 park in the league for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

In MLB, the 4th-highest fences are at Progressive Field.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.237) suggests that David Fry has been very fortunate this year with his .261 actual wOBA.

David Fry’s BABIP talent is projected in the 24th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

David Fry has put up a .172 batting average this year, ranking in the 18th percentile.

Angel Martinez has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph dropping to 84.2-mph over the last two weeks.

Over the past 14 days, Angel Martinez’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-0.7°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 11.9°.

Utilizing Statcast data, Angel Martinez ranks in the 5th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .271.

Sporting a .271 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Angel Martinez grades out in the 5th percentile.

As it relates to plate discipline, Angel Martinez’s talent is quite weak, sporting a 5.64 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 4th percentile.

The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams on the slate today.

Colson Montgomery will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Colson Montgomery’s 26.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 33.8%.

Colson Montgomery has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 50.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 35.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colson Montgomery in the 14th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Colson Montgomery has been lucky this year, putting up a .356 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .053 deviation.

Progressive Field profiles as the #26 field in the majors for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When assessing his home run skill, Edgar Quero ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The switch-hitting Edgar Quero will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Tanner Bibee,Edgar Quero will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Edgar Quero’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 90.9-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 88.8-mph in the past 7 days.

Edgar Quero has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .322 figure is inflated compared to his .298 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Chase Meidroth is penciled in 8th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Batting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Chase Meidroth will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Chase Meidroth is an extreme groundball batter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Cleveland (#1-best on the slate today).

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Chase Meidroth in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 4th-best venue in the game for walks.

Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field’s LF fences are the 3rd-shallowest.

Tanner Bibee’s 93.7-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a notable 1-mph fall off from last year’s 94.7-mph mark.

Tanner Bibee’s fastball spin rate has dropped 116 rpm this year (2245 rpm) below where it was last year (2361 rpm).

With a 4.75 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that focuses on the variables most within a pitcher’s control), Tanner Bibee falls in the 25th percentile.

Tanner Bibee didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out in his last outing and notched 2 Ks.

Kyle Teel will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Despite posting a .363 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kyle Teel has been lucky given the .045 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Martin Perez in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Martin Perez today.

Among all SPs, Martin Perez’s fastball spin rate of 2082.9 rpm ranks in the 14th percentile since the start of last season.

Martin Perez has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching a 7.69 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.20 — a 0.49 K/9 difference.

The 3rd-weakest projected batting order of the day in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Cleveland Guardians.

Martin Perez was firing on all cylinders in his previous start and conceded 0 ER.

Cleveland Guardians bats collectively place 30th- in MLB for power this year when assessing with their 6.7% Barrel%.

Andrew Benintendi has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew Benintendi in today’s matchup.

Andrew Benintendi’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 93-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 86.4-mph over the past week.

In terms of his batting average, Andrew Benintendi has had some very good luck this year. His .248 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235.

Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 17.5% on the season to 13.2% in the last 14 days.

As it relates to his home runs, Jose Ramirez has had some very good luck this year. His 28.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.5.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Ramirez has been lucky this year. His .361 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .343.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mike Tauchman in today’s game.

Mike Tauchman’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 89.4-mph seasonal average has lowered to 83.6-mph over the past two weeks.

From last season to this one, Mike Tauchman’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 20.1% to 16.5%.

In terms of his batting average, Mike Tauchman has experienced some positive variance this year. His .270 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .232.

Nolan Jones is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

Martin Perez will have the handedness advantage against Nolan Jones in today’s matchup.

Nolan Jones has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week.

Nolan Jones has notched a .276 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 8th percentile.

Sporting a .215 batting average this year, Nolan Jones has performed in the 8th percentile.

Miguel Vargas has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Tanner Bibee will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miguel Vargas in today’s game.

In today’s game, Miguel Vargas is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.4% rate (93rd percentile).

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Miguel Vargas in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 12th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Brayan Rocchio is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

Using Statcast data, Brayan Rocchio grades out in the 12th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 8.800.

Brayan Rocchio has put up a .280 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 10th percentile.

Brayan Rocchio has shown poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 19th percentile with a 3.82 K/BB rate.

In the past 14 days, Brayan Rocchio’s 10% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.9%.

Jhonkensy Noel’s BABIP ability is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jhonkensy Noel’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (3°) is considerably lower than his 14.7° angle last season.

In the last week, Jhonkensy Noel’s 14.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 29.4%.

In notching a .161 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Jhonkensy Noel is positioned in the 5th percentile.

Sporting a .268 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Jhonkensy Noel is positioned in the 9th percentile.

Sporting a 6.52 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jhonkensy Noel has demonstrated poor plate discipline, checking in at the 3rd percentile.

When estimating his home run skill, Steven Kwan ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Martin Perez will have the handedness advantage against Steven Kwan in today’s matchup.

Steven Kwan’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 87.5-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 85.3-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

As it relates to his home runs, Steven Kwan has been lucky this year. His 9.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 4.7.

Steven Kwan’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to study power) has been 104.1 mph this year, placing in the 0th percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Lenyn Sosa will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Lenyn Sosa in today’s game.

Despite posting a .316 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Lenyn Sosa has had some very good luck given the .014 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .302.

In terms of plate discipline, Lenyn Sosa’s talent is quite bad, putting up a 6.12 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 2nd percentile.

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