Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Yankees vs Dodgers Matchup Today

Anthony Volpe’s BABIP skill is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

In the majors, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Anthony Volpe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Anthony Volpe has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year’s 87.6-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Jasson Dominguez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks.

The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Tony Gonsolin.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jasson Dominguez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the majors for left-handed home runs.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best batter in MLB.

Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Shohei Ohtani will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Enrique Hernandez will have the handedness advantage over Max Fried today.

Enrique Hernandez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Enrique Hernandez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Enrique Hernandez has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.8% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Mookie Betts will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried today.

Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Cody Bellinger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tony Gonsolin today.

Cody Bellinger has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 90-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best park in the league for home runs.

Tony Gonsolin is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #3 HR venue among all parks in this game.

Tony Gonsolin was firing on all cylinders in his last GS and put up 9 strikeouts.

Tony Gonsolin’s high usage rate of his secondary pitches (59.1% this year) figures to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Smith in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Will Smith is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Will Smith will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Trent Grisham is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage over Tony Gonsolin in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Trent Grisham as baseball’s 19th-best home run batter.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Max Fried.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Teoscar Hernandez will have the upper hand today.

Teoscar Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 9th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his batting average talent.

Freddie Freeman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Freddie Freeman will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 14th-best batter in MLB.

The Los Angeles Dodgers projected batting order projects as the strongest on the slate in terms of overall batting skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Max Fried in the 86th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

Max Fried has averaged 95.2 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 90th percentile.

Max Fried has compiled a 24.5% K% this year, checking in at the 75th percentile.

Miguel Rojas will have the handedness advantage over Max Fried in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage today.

Based on Statcast data, Miguel Rojas ranks in the 88th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .275.

Miguel Rojas has exhibited impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 88th percentile with a 1.69 K/BB rate.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Aaron Judge’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 44.9% to 51.8%.

Oswald Peraza has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 90.6-mph mark.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Oswald Peraza has been unlucky this year. His .251 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .305.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Andy Pages ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andy Pages will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried today.

Extreme groundball hitters like Andy Pages tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Fried.

Batting from the opposite that Tony Gonsolin throws from, Austin Wells will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Austin Wells’s launch angle this season (21.4°) is considerably higher than his 16.9° angle last season.

Over the last 14 days, Austin Wells has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 63° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.7°.

When estimating his home run ability, Austin Wells ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with Yankees vs Dodgers

Anthony Volpe is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Tony Gonsolin throws from, Anthony Volpe will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Anthony Volpe will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Anthony Volpe has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.5% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 14 days.

In the last 14 days, Anthony Volpe’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

Jasson Dominguez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 11% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jasson Dominguez today.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Jasson Dominguez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.5% down to 0%.

Jasson Dominguez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, going from 14.7% on the season to 0% in the past 14 days.

As it relates to his batting average, Jasson Dominguez has had some very good luck this year. His .239 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .217.

Hitting from the same side that Max Fried throws from, Shohei Ohtani will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

When it comes to his home runs, Shohei Ohtani has been very fortunate this year. His 47.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 38.3.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.405) suggests that Shohei Ohtani has been very fortunate this year with his .428 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Enrique Hernandez in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Enrique Hernandez is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

Enrique Hernandez has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 22.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably higher than his 13.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Enrique Hernandez has compiled a .276 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 12th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Enrique Hernandez has notched a .285 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 22nd percentile.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Enrique Hernandez grades out in the 25th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .225.

In the past two weeks, Mookie Betts’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 89.5 mph to 83.3 mph.

Mookie Betts’s launch angle this year (15.3°) is considerably worse than his 21.4° mark last year.

Over the past two weeks, Mookie Betts’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.8%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (9.6) provides evidence that Mookie Betts has experienced some positive variance this year with his 20.5 actual HR/600.

In notching a .249 BABIP this year, Mookie Betts is ranked in the 17th percentile.

Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball hitters like Cody Bellinger generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Tony Gonsolin.

Cody Bellinger will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

The underlying talent of the New York Yankees projected lineup today (.333 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a fair amount weaker than their .347 wOBA this year.

It may be smart to expect weaker performance for the New York Yankees offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the luckiest offense in MLB this year.

Due to his reverse platoon split, Tony Gonsolin will benefit from facing 6 batters in the projected lineup of the opposite hand in this game.

Considering that flyball pitchers have a notable edge over flyball batters, Tony Gonsolin and his 36.8% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong spot in this outing matching up with 3 opposing FB batters.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Tony Gonsolin will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tony Gonsolin to throw 84 pitches in this matchup (5th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 6th-worst field in the league for strikeouts.

Will Smith has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 14 days.

Over the last two weeks, Will Smith’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.5%.

Will Smith has been lucky this year, notching a .422 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .360 — a .062 gap.

Trent Grisham will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

In the past two weeks, Trent Grisham’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 21.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Trent Grisham’s true offensive talent to be a .338, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .038 disparity between that mark and his actual .376 wOBA.

Trent Grisham has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 40.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably higher than his 28.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Tommy Edman has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (54% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.

Tommy Edman has notched a .236 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 18th percentile.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.1) may lead us to conclude that Tommy Edman has been lucky this year with his 31.0 actual HR/600.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 90.6-mph mark last year has decreased to 86.7-mph.

Teoscar Hernandez’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (10.9°) is significantly lower than his 16° figure last year.

This season, there has been a decline in Teoscar Hernandez’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.58 ft/sec last year to 27.89 ft/sec currently.

When it comes to his home runs, Teoscar Hernandez has been lucky this year. His 34.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.4.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Teoscar Hernandez has been lucky this year. His .381 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .333.

When it comes to plate discipline, Teoscar Hernandez’s talent is quite poor, putting up a 6.74 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 4th percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Max Fried throws from, Freddie Freeman will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

In the last 14 days, Freddie Freeman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.8% down to 0%.

Freddie Freeman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 19.1% on the season to 0% over the last 14 days.

Freddie Freeman has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .435 rate is a fair amount higher than his .354 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Max Fried as the 5th-best SP in the league currently.

Projected catcher Austin Wells grades out as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Max Fried has a large reverse platoon split and is fortunate enough to be facing 7 opposite-handed bats in this matchup.

Max Fried is an extreme groundball pitcher (52% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #3 HR venue among all stadiums — in this game.

Max Fried was in good form in his previous game started and gave up 2 ER.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the Los Angeles Dodgers with a 19.8% underlying K%.

Given that flyball batters have a big edge over groundball pitchers, Max Fried and his 52% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard spot in this outing being matched up with 3 opposing GB hitters.

Max Fried will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Miguel Rojas is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

This year, Miguel Rojas has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 30% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter.

In today’s matchup, Miguel Rojas is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.9% rate (85th percentile).

Typically, bats like Miguel Rojas who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Max Fried.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Miguel Rojas ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tony Gonsolin will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Judge in today’s matchup.

Typically, hitters like Aaron Judge who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Tony Gonsolin.

Aaron Judge will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Aaron Judge has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 25.9% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past two weeks.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Aaron Judge’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 20.1%.

Aaron Judge’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 99.2-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 81.7-mph over the past two weeks.

Oswald Peraza is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

Oswald Peraza has been pulled from the game early 15% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Tony Gonsolin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Oswald Peraza today.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Oswald Peraza in today’s game.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Oswald Peraza’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.9% down to 0%.

Andy Pages is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

As it relates to plate discipline, Andy Pages’s skill is quite poor, posting a 3.75 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 21st percentile.

Austin Wells’s BABIP talent is projected in the 11th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Austin Wells is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.

Typically, hitters like Austin Wells who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Tony Gonsolin.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Austin Wells today.

Over the last 14 days, Austin Wells’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12% down to 0%.

Austin Wells has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 27.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 23.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

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