Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Twins vs Mariners Matchup Today

DaShawn Keirsey Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan Woo in today’s matchup… and even better, Woo has a large platoon split.

The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so DaShawn Keirsey Jr. can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

DaShawn Keirsey Jr. has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball batters like DaShawn Keirsey Jr. tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryan Woo.

The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today.

T-Mobile Park ranks as the #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Brooks Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Brooks Lee will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Bryan Woo) in today’s matchup.

Brooks Lee pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Brooks Lee has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 4.1% rate last year to 10.9% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bryan Woo in the 78th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s game) profiles as an elite pitch framer.

T-Mobile Park projects as the #2 venue in baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 4th-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in T-Mobile Park.

Bryan Woo is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #9 HR venue among all stadiums in this matchup.

Generating 19.1 outs per outing this year on average, Bryan Woo ranks in the 99th percentile.

The #4 field in the league for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

Benjamin Williamson has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball batters like Benjamin Williamson generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Zebby Matthews.

Benjamin Williamson will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Benjamin Williamson’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.8-mph over the course of the season to 95.1-mph of late.

Among every team playing today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Benjamin Williamson’s BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The Seattle Mariners have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Zebby Matthews today.

Zebby Matthews is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.2% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #9 HR venue in MLB in this game.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Zebby Matthews in today’s game.

When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Zebby Matthews in the 79th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.

Carlos Correa’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Carlos Correa is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors.

Despite posting a .288 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carlos Correa has experienced some negative variance given the .046 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

J.P. Crawford has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (55% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an advantage in today’s game.

J.P. Crawford will probably have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Ty France is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Ty France has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .302 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .343 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Randy Arozarena is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.

Randy Arozarena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Randy Arozarena will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Leody Taveras will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Zebby Matthews in today’s game.

Leody Taveras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Leody Taveras has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 5.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Rowdy Tellez will have the handedness advantage over Zebby Matthews in today’s game.

Rowdy Tellez has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Rowdy Tellez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

When estimating his home run talent, Rowdy Tellez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When estimating his home run ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Jorge Polanco will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Ryan Jeffers has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.2-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 92.4-mph.

In the last 14 days, Ryan Jeffers’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today’s matchup… and moreover, Woo has a large platoon split.

The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Kody Clemens pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Kody Clemens has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 17.2% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

When estimating his home run talent, Kody Clemens ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as Major League Baseball’s 6th-best home run batter.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Julio Rodriguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Julio Rodriguez ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the majors.

Miles Mastrobuoni will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zebby Matthews in today’s matchup.

Miles Mastrobuoni may have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Miles Mastrobuoni has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Miles Mastrobuoni will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Trevor Larnach is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

Trevor Larnach will have the handedness advantage over Bryan Woo in today’s game… and even better, Woo has a large platoon split.

Trevor Larnach is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.

Trevor Larnach has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 78th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Royce Lewis pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Royce Lewis has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .294 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .318.

Using Statcast metrics, Royce Lewis ranks in the 85th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 25.700.

Royce Lewis has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .216 figure is quite a bit lower than his .246 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Negative Match Player Stats with Twins vs Mariners

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DaShawn Keirsey Jr. in the 7th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

DaShawn Keirsey Jr. is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

27% of the time that DaShawn Keirsey Jr. has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

The #1 ballpark in the league for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

T-Mobile Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.

T-Mobile Park profiles as the #30 ballpark in baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brooks Lee in the 12th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brooks Lee in today’s matchup.

Brooks Lee has compiled a .259 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 10th percentile.

Ranking in the 19th percentile, Brooks Lee has notched a .163 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bryan Woo as the 18th-best pitcher in the game currently.

The 4th-weakest projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

T-Mobile Park profiles as the #29 stadium in the majors for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When it comes to his home run skill, Benjamin Williamson ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Benjamin Williamson is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Zebby Matthews throws from, Benjamin Williamson encounters a tough challenge today.

T-Mobile Park grades out as the #30 field in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Zebby Matthews’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 84th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball right now.

It may be smart to expect negative regression for the Seattle Mariners offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 7th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

Projected catcher Christian Vazquez grades out as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Zebby Matthews is projected to throw 79 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least on the slate.

Zebby Matthews has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts since the start of last season, posting an 11.48 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.90 — a 2.58 K/9 deviation.

Bryan Woo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Correa in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Woo’s large platoon split.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Carlos Correa in today’s game.

This year, Carlos Correa’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 9.2% last year to just 4.2% this year.

Placing in the 15th percentile, J.P. Crawford has notched a .144 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Bryan Woo will have the handedness advantage over Ty France in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Woo’s large platoon split.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ty France today.

Ty France has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 10.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past two weeks.

Zebby Matthews will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Arozarena today.

Over the last 14 days, Randy Arozarena’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10% down to 0%.

Randy Arozarena has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.4-mph dropping to 80.5-mph in the last 14 days.

Leody Taveras is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

Leody Taveras’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (-18° in the past 14 days) is significantly worse than his 8° seasonal angle.

Leody Taveras’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 14.1% to 5.2%.

Rowdy Tellez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rowdy Tellez is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Jorge Polanco will bat from his worse side (0) today against Zebby Matthews,Typically, hitters like Jorge Polanco who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Zebby Matthews.

Jorge Polanco has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 14.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last two weeks.

Ryan Jeffers’s BABIP ability is projected in the 18th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryan Woo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Jeffers in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Woo’s large platoon split.

Ryan Jeffers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Ryan Jeffers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 15.5% to 11.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Kody Clemens is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Kody Clemens has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 25% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Kody Clemens will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will bat from his bad side (0) today against Zebby Matthews,Typically, batters like Cal Raleigh who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Zebby Matthews.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cal Raleigh’s true offensive ability to be a .346, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .059 difference between that mark and his actual .405 wOBA.

Zebby Matthews will hold the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez today.

Julio Rodriguez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 14 days.

Julio Rodriguez’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 91.8-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 81.9-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

When assessing his home run ability, Miles Mastrobuoni ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Miles Mastrobuoni is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miles Mastrobuoni in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Based on Statcast metrics, Miles Mastrobuoni ranks in the 9th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 2.300.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trevor Larnach today.

Trevor Larnach has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 7.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last 14 days.

Last season, Trevor Larnach had a launch angle of 12° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 3.1°.

Royce Lewis is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Bryan Woo will hold the platoon advantage over Royce Lewis today… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Woo’s large platoon split.

Royce Lewis will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 24th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

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