Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for White Sox vs Reds Matchup Today

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 field in the league for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the best for hitting on the schedule today.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Jonathan Cannon.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best venue in baseball for LHB batting average.

Andrew Abbott will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats across the board.

Andrew Abbott’s change-up percentage has jumped by 6.1% from last season to this one (16.4% to 22.5%) .

The Chicago White Sox have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games,The #1 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all parks.

Edgar Quero is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 stadium in the game for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The switch-hitting Edgar Quero will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Andrew Abbott.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #8 park in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Chase Meidroth is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

Chase Meidroth will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott in today’s matchup.

Chase Meidroth has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Recording 94 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Jonathan Cannon falls in the 81st percentile.

In his previous outing, Jonathan Cannon was in good form and gave up 0 ER.

Jonathan Cannon has utilized his sinker 5.3% less often this season (21.9%) than he did last year (27.2%).

Cincinnati Reds batters as a group rank 28th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when using their 7% Barrel%.

Cincinnati’s 88.6-mph average exit velocity this year is among the worst in MLB: #28 overall.

The Cincinnati Reds have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt McLain, Elly De La Cruz, Tyler Stephenson, Will Benson).

Brooks Baldwin has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last season’s 90.6-mph average.

Brooks Baldwin’s 18.6° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in baseball: 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Tyler Stephenson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Gavin Lux’s BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gavin Lux is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest right field fences among all parks.

Gavin Lux will have the handedness advantage against Jonathan Cannon today.

When assessing his home run skill, Michael A. Taylor ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael A. Taylor will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.8) provides evidence that Michael A. Taylor has been unlucky since the start of last season with his 9.3 actual HR/600.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.208) provides evidence that Michael A. Taylor has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .195 actual batting average.

Santiago Espinal is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

Santiago Espinal has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Santiago Espinal will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Santiago Espinal’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his home run skill, Luis Robert Jr. ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Robert Jr. is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

Luis Robert Jr.’s BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

Miguel Vargas is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Miguel Vargas will have an edge in today’s game.

TJ Friedl is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

TJ Friedl will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonathan Cannon today.

TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Will Benson will have an advantage in today’s game.

Will Benson has a ton of pop (83rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (33.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jonathan Cannon has a pitch-to-contact profile (2nd percentile K%) — great news for Benson.

Will Benson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

When assessing his home run talent, Will Benson ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Will Benson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage today.

Compared to his seasonal average of 15°, Spencer Steer has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 19.6° mark in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Matt McLain has big-time HR ability (86th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jonathan Cannon struggles to strike batters out (17th percentile K%) — great news for McLain.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Matt McLain has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Lenyn Sosa will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott in today’s game.

Lenyn Sosa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Lenyn Sosa has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last season’s 88.9-mph mark.

Negative Match Player Stats with White Sox vs Reds

There has been a significant decline in Elly De La Cruz’s launch angle from last year’s 9.7,° to 4.2° this season.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 4.2°, Elly De La Cruz has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.8°) in the past two weeks.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.219) may lead us to conclude that Elly De La Cruz has been very fortunate this year with his .244 actual batting average.

Elly De La Cruz has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .307 figure is considerably higher than his .284 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The Chicago White Sox have 8 bats in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott today.

Because flyball hitters hold a substantial edge over groundball pitchers, Andrew Abbott and his 40.4% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a difficult position in this matchup being matched up with 2 opposing GB hitters.

Andrew Abbott’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.9 mph this season (90.9 mph) below where it was last year (92.8 mph).

Andrew Abbott’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 outings (2133 rpm) has been quite a bit lower than than his seasonal rate (2191 rpm).

The 3rd-worst projected batting order of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

Andrew Abbott performed well in his previous start and allowed 1 ER.

The 7.1% Barrel% of the Chicago White Sox ranks them as the #27 group of hitters in the majors this year by this standard.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Edgar Quero today.

Edgar Quero has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph dropping to 87.7-mph in the past week.

Edgar Quero has been cold lately, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Edgar Quero’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, going from 56.7% on the season to 22.2% in the last week.

When assessing his home run talent, Chase Meidroth ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Chase Meidroth will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Over the past 14 days, Chase Meidroth has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Jonathan Cannon is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.8% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #1 HR venue among all major league parks in this game.

Jonathan Cannon will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jonathan Cannon in the 13th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

Jonathan Cannon has put up an 8% Swinging Strike percentage this year, ranking in the 13th percentile.

Ranking in the 23rd percentile, Jonathan Cannon has posted a 17.4% Strikeout% this year.

Brooks Baldwin is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

Brooks Baldwin will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Brooks Baldwin’s launch angle of late (4.1° in the past two weeks) is significantly worse than his 12.2° seasonal mark.

In notching a .268 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Brooks Baldwin grades out in the 25th percentile for hitting ability.

Brooks Baldwin has shown bad plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 12th percentile with a 6.08 K/BB rate.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Brooks Baldwin’s 30.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.6%.

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the same side that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have a tough matchup today.

Tyler Stephenson’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 95.7-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 92.5-mph over the last 7 days.

Tyler Stephenson’s speed has decreased this year. His 26.55 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.52 ft/sec now.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Tyler Stephenson has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .339 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .307.

This year, Gavin Lux has been pinch hit for in 16% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Gavin Lux has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 5.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last week.

Gavin Lux has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph dropping to 86.5-mph in the past 7 days.

Gavin Lux’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, going from 14.3% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

As it relates to his batting average, Gavin Lux has been lucky this year. His .282 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .252.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 24th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Michael A. Taylor is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

50% of the time that Michael A. Taylor has started against a lefty on the mound this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael A. Taylor in today’s game.

Michael A. Taylor has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 10.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week.

Michael A. Taylor’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 89.5-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 83.7-mph in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 11th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

As it relates to his home run talent, Santiago Espinal ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the same side that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Santiago Espinal will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (5.1) provides evidence that Santiago Espinal has been lucky since the start of last season with his 10.7 actual HR/600.

With a .149 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, Santiago Espinal grades out in the 7th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Santiago Espinal’s true offensive ability to be a .290, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .035 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .325 wOBA.

By putting up a .289 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Santiago Espinal is ranked in the 25th percentile.

Luis Robert Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Luis Robert Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 11.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week.

Posting a .294 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Luis Robert Jr. grades out in the 25th percentile for offensive ability.

By putting up a .191 batting average this year, Luis Robert Jr. grades out in the 11th percentile.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andrew Vaughn in today’s matchup.

Grading out in the 7th percentile, Andrew Vaughn has put up a .244 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

In terms of plate discipline, Andrew Vaughn’s ability is quite bad, putting up a 5.62 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 10th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 20th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

When starting against a lefty hurler since the start of last season, Miguel Vargas has been pulled from the game early 20% of the time.

Typically, batters like Miguel Vargas who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Andrew Abbott.

Miguel Vargas will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

In the last two weeks, Miguel Vargas’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.3% down to 0%.

Over the last 7 days, Miguel Vargas’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 92 mph to 83.5 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

TJ Friedl has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .276 BA is inflated compared to his .247 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast metrics, TJ Friedl grades out in the 10th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 7.900.

Placing in the 22nd percentile, TJ Friedl has put up a .157 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 18th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

TJ Friedl’s launch angle recently (5.4° in the last week) is significantly worse than his 13.5° seasonal mark.

Despite posting a .329 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes TJ Friedl has experienced some positive variance given the .035 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .294.

Will Benson’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Will Benson is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Will Benson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 33% of the time when starting against a righty hurler since the start of last season.

Based on Statcast data, Will Benson ranks in the 7th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .267.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Will Benson ranks in the 0th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .174.

Ranking in the 9th percentile, Will Benson has put up a .272 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

As it relates to plate discipline, Will Benson’s skill is quite weak, putting up a 4.01 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 18th percentile.

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

Jonathan Cannon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Steer in today’s matchup.

Over the last 7 days, Spencer Steer’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.9% down to 0%.

Grading out in the 12th percentile, the hardest ball Spencer Steer has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 108 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

In notching a .271 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Spencer Steer is positioned in the 7th percentile.

Checking in at the 6th percentile, Spencer Steer has notched a .178 batting average this year.

Hitting from the same side that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Matt McLain faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Matt McLain has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 11.1% seasonal rate has dropped to 3.1% in the past 14 days.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 17.7°, Matt McLain has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.8°) in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lenyn Sosa in the 25th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Lenyn Sosa is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Lenyn Sosa in today’s game.

Lenyn Sosa’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 16% to 8.9%.

By putting up a .276 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Lenyn Sosa has performed in the 13th percentile.

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