
CWS @ BOS






Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, September 7th
07/09/24 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for White Sox vs Red Sox Series Game 2 Series Game 2 Matchup Today
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 18th-best hitter in baseball.
Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
The #4 stadium in the league for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.
Rafael Devers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Rafael Devers will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Masataka Yoshida will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Ranking in the 77th percentile, Masataka Yoshida has notched a .336 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
Ceddanne Rafaela’s BABIP talent is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums.
Ceddanne Rafaela will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet today.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage today.
As it relates to his BABIP talent, Jarren Duran is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jarren Duran is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Jarren Duran will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.
Considering Cooper Criswell’s large platoon split, Gavin Sheets will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.
The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Fenway Park projects as the #6 ballpark in MLB for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Dominic Fletcher will hold the platoon advantage against Cooper Criswell in today’s game… and even more favorably, Criswell has a large platoon split.
The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Fletcher can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
Dominic Fletcher has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s shallowest LF fences today.
Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.
The switch-hitting Nick Sogard will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Garrett Crochet.
Nick Sogard pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest LF fences today.
Nick Sogard will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Nick Sogard’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, going from 15.6% on the season to 33.3% in the past week.
Nicky Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (54% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
Considering Cooper Criswell’s large platoon split, Nicky Lopez will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.
Nicky Lopez is apt to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP.
Nicky Lopez has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Tyler O’Neill as MLB’s 12th-best home run hitter.
Tyler O’Neill is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Tyler O’Neill will have an edge today.
Tyler O’Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Jacob Amaya has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Lenyn Sosa has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Lenyn Sosa has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.8-mph figure.
Lenyn Sosa’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 16.4% on the season to 30% in the past week.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Lenyn Sosa has suffered from bad luck this year. His .241 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .315.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Andrew Benintendi will hold the platoon advantage against Cooper Criswell today… and the cherry on top, Criswell has a large platoon split.
Andrew Benintendi is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Andrew Vaughn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Andrew Vaughn’s true offensive skill to be a .330, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .033 difference between that mark and his actual .297 wOBA.
Romy Gonzalez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.
Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Romy Gonzalez will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Romy Gonzalez has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Romy Gonzalez will hold that advantage in today’s game.
This year, Romy Gonzalez has an average exit velocity of 92.3 mph, which is among the best in MLB at the 93rd percentile.
Romy Gonzalez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The #6 park in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.
Nicky Lopez’s launch angle this season (6°) is quite a bit better than his 0.2° mark last year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Luis Robert is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Luis Robert pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Lenyn Sosa’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 46.3% to 51.6%.
Cooper Criswell will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his metrics across the board.
Cooper Criswell’s high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (71.3% this year) ought to work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Rob Refsnyder ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Rob Refsnyder will hold that advantage today.
Korey Lee has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 88.2-mph mark.
In the last week, Korey Lee’s 58.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.6%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Luis Robert has a ton of pop (89th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (29.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cooper Criswell struggles to strike batters out (15th percentile K%) — great news for Robert.
Compared to his seasonal average of 13.3°, Luis Robert has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 28.4° figure over the last week.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Tyler O’Neill will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Jarren Duran has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.2-mph average to last year’s 90.3-mph EV.
Ranking in the 93rd percentile, Rafael Devers has notched a .369 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Andrew Benintendi ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Andrew Benintendi hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.
Ceddanne Rafaela has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7.1% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 7 days.
Ceddanne Rafaela’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 16.5% on the season to 31.6% over the past 14 days.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Masataka Yoshida ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
By putting up a 2.03 K/BB rate this year, Masataka Yoshida has displayed strong plate discipline, grading out in the 76th percentile.
Korey Lee’s launch angle in recent games (19.4° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 9.5° seasonal mark.
Korey Lee has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .256 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .281 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Tyler O’Neill ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Negative Match Player Stats with White Sox vs Red Sox Series Game 2
Among all major league parks, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.
Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.
Garrett Crochet will have the handedness advantage against Rafael Devers today.
Rafael Devers has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 13.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 7 days.
In the past week, Rafael Devers’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 95.5 mph to 83.1 mph.
Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Garrett Crochet throws from, Masataka Yoshida encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Masataka Yoshida has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past two weeks.
Masataka Yoshida has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 80.5-mph in the last week.
Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.
Ceddanne Rafaela has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph dropping to 83.9-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
Utilizing Statcast data, Ceddanne Rafaela grades out in the 18th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .287.
Ceddanne Rafaela has put up a .290 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile.
Garrett Crochet will hold the platoon advantage against Jarren Duran in today’s game.
Jarren Duran’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, going from 14.1% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.
Jarren Duran has been lucky this year, compiling a .372 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .341 — a .031 difference.
12% of the time that Gavin Sheets has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gavin Sheets today.
Over the last 7 days, Gavin Sheets’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.
Gavin Sheets has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph dropping to 83.7-mph over the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Fletcher in the 10th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Dominic Fletcher is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Dominic Fletcher has been pinch hit for 14% of the time.
When it comes to his home run talent, Nick Sogard ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nick Sogard is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Nick Sogard has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) in the past week.
When it comes to his home run skill, Nicky Lopez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nicky Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Nicky Lopez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.8-mph dropping to 76.6-mph over the last 7 days.
Tyler O’Neill has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .363 rate is a fair amount higher than his .322 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Amaya in the 6th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Jacob Amaya is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.
Cooper Criswell will have the handedness advantage against Jacob Amaya today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Criswell’s large platoon split.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Lenyn Sosa ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Lenyn Sosa is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.
Cooper Criswell will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lenyn Sosa today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Criswell’s large platoon split.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew Benintendi in today’s matchup.
Andrew Benintendi has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph dropping to 84.8-mph over the past two weeks.
Checking in at the 18th percentile, Andrew Benintendi has notched a .286 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
By putting up a .240 BABIP this year, Andrew Benintendi finds himself in the 4th percentile.
Because of Cooper Criswell’s large platoon split, Andrew Vaughn will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today.
Andrew Vaughn will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Andrew Vaughn has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 9.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week.
Over the past two weeks, Romy Gonzalez’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 91.4 mph to 73.2 mph.
In the past 14 days, Romy Gonzalez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.8%.
Despite posting a .321 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Romy Gonzalez has had positive variance on his side given the .018 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303.
Cooper Criswell will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Robert in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Criswell’s large platoon split.
Luis Robert will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Luis Robert has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 14 days.
Luis Robert’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 93.9-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 89.2-mph in the last week.
Lenyn Sosa will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Dominic Fletcher ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dominic Fletcher in today’s matchup.
When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Cooper Criswell in the 16th percentile among all starters in the league.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cooper Criswell to throw 83 pitches in this matchup (10th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Connor Wong, the Red Sox’s expected catcher today, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in the league for strikeouts.
Cooper Criswell’s 88.5-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 2nd percentile out of all starters.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Nicky Lopez ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Over the past week, Nicky Lopez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14%.
Over the last week, Rob Refsnyder’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.8% down to 0%.
In the past week, Rob Refsnyder’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 91.1 mph to 84.7 mph.
Despite posting a .346 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Rob Refsnyder has experienced some positive variance given the .018 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Korey Lee ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Korey Lee is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
Because of Cooper Criswell’s large platoon split, Korey Lee will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.
Korey Lee will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 12.5°, Rafael Devers has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-7.6°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
In the past week, Rob Refsnyder’s 14.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46.5%.
Jacob Amaya will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Andrew Vaughn’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 92.2-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 77-mph in the last 7 days.
Over the last 7 days, Nick Sogard has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 83.8-mph on his flyballs.
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