Rangers @ Mets Matchup Details

Positives for the Texas Rangers Game Today

Citi Field ranks as the #9 field in the majors for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Citi Field.

The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today.

Alejandro Osuna will hold the platoon advantage against Jonah Tong today.

Alejandro Osuna hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Alejandro Osuna has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal EV of 91.5-mph.

Alejandro Osuna has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .254 figure is a good deal lower than his .332 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Citi Field projects as the #9 park in the league for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Wyatt Langford pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Wyatt Langford has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 13.5% seasonal rate to 30.8% over the past week.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Jonah Tong’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 87th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB currently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the 4th-worst venue in MLB for batting average.

Jonah Tong will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jonah Tong in the 90th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.

The #8 field in the league for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob deGrom today.

Out of every team today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.

Cedric Mullins will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Over the last 14 days, Cedric Mullins has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 6.6% to 11.8%.

When it comes to his home run ability, Cedric Mullins ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Joc Pederson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Jonah Tong throws from, Joc Pederson will have an edge today.

Over the last 14 days, Joc Pederson has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 21.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 13°.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom today.

Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Jacob deGrom projects as the 13th-best starter in the league currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The New York Mets have been the 9th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in future games,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Kyle Higashioka (the Rangers’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be a good pitch framer.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jacob deGrom in today’s game.

When estimating his strikeout ability, Jacob deGrom projects as the 13th-best pitcher in the majors right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage over Jacob deGrom in today’s matchup.

Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as Major League Baseball’s 11th-best home run hitter.

Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best batter in baseball.

Hitting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today’s game.

Jeff McNeil will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

In notching a .271 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Jeff McNeil finds himself in the 76th percentile.

Placing in the 75th percentile, Jeff McNeil has notched a .345 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Kyle Higashioka pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

When assessing his home run talent, Kyle Higashioka ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Jake Burger is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Jake Burger has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 13.1% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

When assessing his home run talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 88th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Mark Vientos is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Mark Vientos will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage today.

Francisco Alvarez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last year’s 88.7-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Francisco Alvarez has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 6.8% rate last season to 11.8% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 75th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Brett Baty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom today.

Brett Baty has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Brett Baty will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

In the last 7 days, Brett Baty’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 25%.

Josh Jung is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Josh Jung hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Over the last 14 days, Josh Jung has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 9.1% to 15.2%.

Josh Jung has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 88.9-mph average to last year’s 86.2-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Michael Helman pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Over the past 7 days, Michael Helman’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.5% up to 20%.

Josh Smith is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Josh Smith will have the handedness advantage over Jonah Tong in today’s game.

Sporting a 1.71 K/BB rate this year, Josh Smith has shown favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 79th percentile.

Negatives with the New York Mets Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Freeman in the 21st percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Cody Freeman is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.

Citi Field’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.

The weather report forecasts the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Hitting from the same side that Jonah Tong throws from, Cody Freeman encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Freeman in the 16th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the 4th-worst field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.

The #4 venue in the majors for suppressing BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

When it comes to his home run ability, Alejandro Osuna ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Alejandro Osuna is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

This year, Alejandro Osuna has been pulled from the game early in 35% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Jonah Tong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wyatt Langford today.

Wyatt Langford will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Tong to throw 85 pitches in this matchup (4th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Due to his reverse platoon split, Jonah Tong will be in a tough position squaring off against 6 batters in the projected offense who share the same handedness in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Cedric Mullins is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

When it comes to his home runs, Cedric Mullins has been very fortunate this year. His 20.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 17.0.

Cedric Mullins has recorded a .300 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 21st percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Jacob deGrom today.

Francisco Lindor’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (14.3°) is significantly lower than his 18.8° mark last year.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Joc Pederson has been pinch hit for 33% of the time.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Joc Pederson in today’s game.

Joc Pederson has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph dropping to 86.2-mph over the last two weeks.

Joc Pederson’s BABIP skill is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Juan Soto has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 17.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 7.1% in the last 7 days.

In the past 7 days, Juan Soto’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob deGrom to throw 84 pitches in this matchup (2nd-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The 2nd-best projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the New York Mets.

With 6 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Jacob deGrom will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

In the past two weeks, Brandon Nimmo’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (4.2°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 8.9°.

Jacob deGrom will hold the platoon advantage against Pete Alonso in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home run talent, Jeff McNeil ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jeff McNeil is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Jeff McNeil’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 17th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 7th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Kyle Higashioka is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Jonah Tong will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Higashioka in today’s matchup.

Kyle Higashioka will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Jonah Tong throws from, Jake Burger will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Jake Burger has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 1st percentile with a 7.46 K/BB rate.

Jacob deGrom will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mark Vientos in today’s game.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Mark Vientos has had some very good luck this year. His .319 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .306.

In terms of plate discipline, Mark Vientos’s talent is quite poor, posting a 3.68 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 21st percentile.

Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Jacob deGrom throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have a tough challenge today.

Francisco Alvarez has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 11.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 7 days.

Brett Baty is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

There has been a significant decline in Brett Baty’s launch angle from last season’s 10.2° to 5.2° this season.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 5.2°, Brett Baty has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.1°) over the last two weeks.

Jonah Tong will hold the platoon advantage over Josh Jung in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Josh Jung in today’s game.

As it relates to plate discipline, Josh Jung’s skill is quite poor, putting up a 4.69 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 10th percentile.

Michael Helman’s BABIP ability is projected in the 6th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Helman is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

18% of the time that Michael Helman has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Jonah Tong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Helman in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run skill, Josh Smith ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Josh Smith has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 10% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Josh Smith today.

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