Twins vs Red Sox match player stats Saturday, September 21st 2024. Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox Series Game 2

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Twins vs Red Sox match player stats Saturday, September 21st 2024. Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox Series Game 2

MIN @ BOS

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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, September 21st
21/09/24 16:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Twins vs Red Sox Series Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Royce Lewis is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.

Royce Lewis pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.3% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Royce Lewis’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 12.3% to 22%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best venue in the league for run-scoring.

Hitting from the opposite that Pablo Lopez throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage today.

Wilyer Abreu hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Ryan Jeffers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Ranking in the 86th percentile for power, Ryan Jeffers has paced 28.1 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

Triston Casas is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits.

Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over Pablo Lopez in today’s matchup.

Triston Casas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Willi Castro pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Willi Castro’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 41.9% to 49.1%.

Over the last 14 days, Willi Castro’s 78.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.1%.

Carlos Santana pulls many of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

As it relates to plate discipline, Carlos Santana’s ability is quite strong, posting a 1.72 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 87th percentile.

Tyler O’Neill projects as the 10th-best home run batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler O’Neill is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Tyler O’Neill pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park’s LF fences are the shallowest.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When estimating his home run skill, Royce Lewis ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Royce Lewis’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, going from 22% on the season to 25% over the past 14 days.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Tyler O’Neill ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the league’s 12th-best home run hitter.

Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Byron Buxton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.2% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences today.

Byron Buxton has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 28.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably lower than his 35.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Posting a .360 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Byron Buxton is ranked in the 93rd percentile for hitting ability.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Carlos Correa ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Carlos Correa is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Based on Statcast data, Carlos Correa ranks in the 98th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .308.

Wilyer Abreu will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Jarren Duran is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Pablo Lopez throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Matt Wallner is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Matt Wallner will have an edge in today’s game.

Matt Wallner has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP.

Matt Wallner pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Pablo Lopez projects as the 17th-best pitcher in Major League Baseball currently as it relates to his strikeout talent, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Pablo Lopez has averaged 94.8 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 88th percentile.

The Boston Red Sox have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Trevor Story, Wilyer Abreu, Triston Casas, Tyler O’Neill).

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Carlos Correa ranks in the 97th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .380.

By putting up a .384 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Carlos Correa is positioned in the 96th percentile.

When estimating his home run talent, Trevor Story ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Trevor Story has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6.2% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past week.

Trevor Story’s launch angle this season (19.6°) is a significant increase over his 15.2° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Matt Wallner projects as the 18th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The Minnesota Twins have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games, The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best field in baseball for BABIP.

Kutter Crawford’s curveball rate has decreased by 5.1% from last year to this one (12.1% to 7%) .

Kutter Crawford has had some very good luck with his ERA this year; his 4.19 figure is significantly deflated relative to his 4.77 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kutter Crawford in the 82nd percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

The Minnesota Twins have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Byron Buxton, Trevor Larnach, Matt Wallner).

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jarren Duran ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Jose Miranda pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Jose Miranda’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 8.5% to 12.2%.

Grading out in the 75th percentile, Jose Miranda sits with a .333 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Sporting a .447 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Jose Miranda is ranked in the 76th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Trevor Larnach is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums.

Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Ceddanne Rafaela has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 14 days.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.4) implies that Ceddanne Rafaela has been unlucky this year with his 16.5 actual HR/600.

Triston Casas will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Compared to his seasonal average of 16°, Carlos Santana has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 19.4° figure in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Placing in the 75th percentile for power, Carlos Santana has averaged 23.1 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

Tyler O’Neill will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Tyler O’Neill has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 12.4% rate last season to 17.7% this season.

Trevor Larnach will probably have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP.

Compared to his seasonal average of 13.1°, Willi Castro has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 20.5° mark in the last 14 days.

Willi Castro has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 12.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount lower than his 18.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Willi Castro grades out in the 77th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (17.5% rate this year).

Negative Match Player Stats with Twins vs Red Sox Series Game 2

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.8-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.

Kutter Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Royce Lewis today.

Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Wilyer Abreu has been pinch hit for 35% of the time.

Fenway Park has the 2nd-tallest average fence height in the majors.

Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 24th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Triston Casas has experienced some positive variance this year. His .326 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .279.

Willi Castro is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Santana in the 1st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the same side that Pablo Lopez throws from, Tyler O’Neill faces a tough challenge today.

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the same side that Pablo Lopez throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.337) implies that Tyler O’Neill has had some very good luck this year with his .365 actual wOBA.

Kutter Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Byron Buxton in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like Byron Buxton are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kutter Crawford.

Kutter Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Correa in today’s matchup.

Jarren Duran has been lucky this year, posting a .356 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .338 — a .018 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 19th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Matt Wallner has been pinch hit for 26% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 8th-worst ballpark in MLB for strikeouts.

Pablo Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Pablo Lopez’s four-seam fastball usage has jumped by 6.5% from last year to this one (34.5% to 41%) .

Pablo Lopez’s 2207-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 21st percentile among all SPs.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Carlos Correa in today’s matchup.

Trevor Story is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Trevor Story has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 12% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kutter Crawford in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent level.

Kutter Crawford is an extreme flyball pitcher (42.5% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #23 HR venue among all major league stadiums in this game.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kutter Crawford is projected to throw 82 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least of all pitchers on the slate.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.4°, Jarren Duran has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.2°) in the past two weeks.

Jose Miranda is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Wilyer Abreu has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

This year, Trevor Larnach has been pulled from the game early in 40% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Kutter Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Miranda in today’s matchup.

Pablo Lopez projects as the 15th-best pitcher in baseball right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Boston Red Sox have been the 6th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward, Trevor Larnach will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Latest Boston Red Sox Match Player Stats

Latest Minnesota Twins Match Player Stats