Tigers vs Phillies match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, August 3rd

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Tigers vs Phillies match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, August 3rd

DET @ PHI

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Detroit Tigers at Philadelphia Phillies
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, August 3rd
03/08/25 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Tigers vs Phillies Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Wenceel Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3%,— 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team in action today.

Wenceel Perez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 14.1% to 21.4%.

Placing in the 79th percentile, Wenceel Perez sports a .309 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Jahmai Jones is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers.

Jahmai Jones will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today’s game.

Jahmai Jones’s speed has increased this season. His 27.58 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.12 ft/sec now.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Javier Baez will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Javier Baez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.7-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.4-mph mark.

Placing in the 83rd percentile, Javier Baez sits with a .325 BABIP this year.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 15th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nick Castellanos’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Nick Castellanos will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 9th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Trea Turner will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The Philadelphia Phillies projected batting order profiles as the 3rd-strongest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #10 park in the game for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Citizens Bank Park has the 9th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks.

Charlie Morton will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Charlie Morton has averaged 95.5 adjusted pitches per GS this year, ranking in the 94th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Charlie Morton in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton today.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage today.

Max Kepler has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 90.8-mph mark.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton today.

Bryce Harper has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

J.T. Realmuto’s BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (62% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

J.T. Realmuto will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Gleyber Torres will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Gleyber Torres has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 10.1% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the past 7 days.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton today.

Brandon Marsh has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Cristopher Sanchez as the 8th-best starter in the majors currently.

Throwing 91.6 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Cristopher Sanchez falls in the 77th percentile.

It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Detroit Tigers offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Cristopher Sanchez in the 89th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

When it comes to his home run talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Spencer Torkelson will have an edge in today’s game.

Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Hitters such as Spencer Torkelson with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Riley Greene is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Riley Greene has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Riley Greene’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 17.9% to 22%.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Riley Greene ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Checking in at the 96th percentile, Riley Greene has posted a .533 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Dillon Dingler will have an advantage today.

Compared to his seasonal average of 17.7°, Dillon Dingler has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24.9° figure in the past 14 days.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Dillon Dingler ranks in the 82nd percentile with a 17.7° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in the league.

Andy Ibanez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Andy Ibanez will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Andy Ibanez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 14.7% to 18.4%.

Andy Ibanez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .303 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .336 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Matt Vierling’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Vierling will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today.

Matt Vierling has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last year’s 89.5-mph EV.

Matt Vierling’s launch angle this season (19.6°) is considerably higher than his 11.7° mark last season.

Despite posting a .252 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt Vierling has had bad variance on his side given the .063 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .315.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage against Charlie Morton today.

Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage today.

Negative Match Player Stats with Tigers vs Phillies Series Game 3

Wenceel Perez is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst venue in baseball for RHB BABIP.

Citizens Bank Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Cristopher Sanchez in this game.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Wenceel Perez in today’s matchup.

Wenceel Perez has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 9.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jahmai Jones today.

Javier Baez is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Typically, bats like Javier Baez who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Cristopher Sanchez.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Javier Baez today.

Javier Baez has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 6.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The #8 park in MLB for suppressing BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

Kyle Schwarber has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 45.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is inflated compared to his 36.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Schwarber has been very fortunate this year. His .402 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .370.

Batting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Nick Castellanos has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

In the last week, Nick Castellanos’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.6% down to 0%.

Nick Castellanos has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph dropping to 77.3-mph over the last 7 days.

Batting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Trea Turner will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Trea Turner has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 6.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 7 days.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 7.1°, Trea Turner’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls has dropped significantly in recent games (-2.9° in the past 14 days).

Nick Mahrley profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate today.

With a 0.71 deviation between Charlie Morton’s 5.42 ERA and his 4.71 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in baseball this year and should see positive regression going forward.

Charlie Morton has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in the majors on balls in play this year with a .323 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 14th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Max Kepler is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.

In the last week’s worth of games, Max Kepler’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.2%.

Charlie Morton will have the handedness advantage against J.T. Realmuto today.

J.T. Realmuto’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 94.4-mph mark last year has dropped to 91.4-mph.

In the last 7 days, J.T. Realmuto’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 91.4 mph to 85.8 mph.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gleyber Torres in today’s game.

Brandon Marsh is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Brandon Marsh’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (3.1° over the past 14 days) is significantly worse than his 11.8° seasonal figure.

When it comes to power, Brandon Marsh finds himself in the 19th percentile, having paced 10.2 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

The Detroit Tigers have 8 batters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today’s game.

The 9.8% Barrel% of the Detroit Tigers grades them out as the #7 group of hitters in the majors this year by this standard.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Cristopher Sanchez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Cristopher Sanchez has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting a 9.57 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.33 — a 0.25 K/9 gap.

Spencer Torkelson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Spencer Torkelson has been lucky this year, posting a .344 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .016 gap.

Ranking in the 17th percentile, Spencer Torkelson has put up a .266 BABIP this year.

Batting from the same side that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Riley Greene will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Riley Greene will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Riley Greene has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph dropping to 82.9-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 14.1°, Riley Greene has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9.6°) over the past two weeks.

Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Dillon Dingler in today’s game.

Over the last week, Dillon Dingler’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 91.4 mph to 79.2 mph.

Despite posting a .325 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dillon Dingler has been lucky given the .025 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .300.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andy Ibanez today.

Andy Ibanez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 91.6-mph mark last season has fallen to 88.9-mph.

Andy Ibanez has shown bad plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 20th percentile with a 3.89 K/BB rate.

Matt Vierling is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Vierling in today’s matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Matt Vierling’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.6% down to 0%.

Bryson Stott is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

In notching a 10.800 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Bryson Stott has performed in the 19th percentile for power.

In notching a .289 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Bryson Stott is ranked in the 20th percentile.

Bryson Stott has put up a .270 BABIP this year, checking in at the 21st percentile.

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