
COL @ TEX


Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, May 14th
14/05/25 20:05:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Rockies vs Rangers Series Game 3 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Brenton Doyle is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
Among all stadiums, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.
This game is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Brenton Doyle will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Brenton Doyle’s launch angle of late (25.4° over the last week) is quite a bit better than his 12.9° seasonal angle.
Evan Carter is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Batting from the opposite that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Evan Carter will have an edge in today’s matchup.
The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Evan Carter stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Evan Carter will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.
Hunter Goodman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin today.
Hunter Goodman has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.4-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 89.6-mph EV.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Jordan Beck is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Jordan Beck will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Jordan Beck has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.6% rate last year to 18.3% this year.
This season, Jordan Beck has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.4 mph compared to last year’s 90.2 mph mark.
As it relates to his home run ability, Jordan Beck ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage today.
Wyatt Langford has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .254 mark is a good deal lower than his .268 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Nestor Ceja) calling pitches today.
Considering the 1.37 deviation between Antonio Senzatela’s 4.38 K/9 and his 5.75 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to see better results in the future.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the 3rd-worst ballpark in baseball for BABIP.
Antonio Senzatela was in good form in his last game started and gave up 0 ER.
Given the 0.78 disparity between Antonio Senzatela’s 5.77 ERA and his 4.99 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the league this year and ought to perform better in the future.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Ryan McMahon has big-time power (82nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (29.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Patrick Corbin doesn’t generate many whiffs (12th percentile K%) — great news for McMahon.
Ryan McMahon has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 14.1% seasonal rate to 46.2% in the last week’s worth of games.
Ryan McMahon has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last year’s 92-mph average.
Ryan McMahon has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94.3-mph to 97.8-mph in the past 14 days.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Joc Pederson ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Joc Pederson will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Joc Pederson may have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Patrick Corbin’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 2nd percentile out of all starters in Major League Baseball right now.
It may be wise to expect stronger performance for the Colorado Rockies offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the unluckiest offense in the game this year.
With 8 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Patrick Corbin encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.
The Colorado Rockies (28.8% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the most strikeout-heavy team of hitters on the slate today.
Patrick Corbin’s high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (63.3% this year) figures to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
With a 1.34 discrepancy between Patrick Corbin’s 5.68 K/9 and his 7.02 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and should see better results going forward.
Marcus Semien is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage today.
Marcus Semien has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 92.3-mph in the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Marcus Semien’s 57.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.1%.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Jacob Stallings will have the upper hand today.
Jacob Stallings’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 17.9% to 25.6%.
Jacob Stallings’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 45.8% to 61.5%.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Adolis Garcia’s launch angle this season (21.3°) is considerably better than his 14.8° figure last season.
As it relates to his home run skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Owen Miller will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin in today’s matchup.
Owen Miller’s footspeed has increased this year. His 28.54 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.88 ft/sec now.
Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Alan Trejo will have an edge today.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Alan Trejo has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .166 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .231.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Josh Jung will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
In the last week, Josh Jung’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.4% up to 18.8%.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Josh Jung ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Josh Jung’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 16.8% to 21.4%.
Ezequiel Duran will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (8.8) suggests that Ezequiel Duran has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his 5.8 actual HR/600.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 91st percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Michael Toglia is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
Michael Toglia has big-time power (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (32.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Patrick Corbin doesn’t generate many whiffs (3rd percentile K%) — great news for Toglia.
Michael Toglia has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.8% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the last week.
Michael Toglia has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal EV of 94.2-mph.
Michael Toglia’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (28.9° over the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 17.8° seasonal mark.
Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Sean Bouchard will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Negative Match Player Stats with Rockies vs Rangers Series Game 3
The #9 stadium in the majors for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.
Brenton Doyle hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Brenton Doyle will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Brenton Doyle has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph dropping to 86.4-mph in the last week.
Brenton Doyle’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 17.5% to 12.5%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the 3rd-worst venue in MLB for righty batting average.
The #1 ballpark in the game for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.
Globe Life Field ranks as the #30 field in the game for overall lefty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field’s CF dimensions are the 7th-deepest.
Putting up a lowly an 81.9-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks’ worth of games, Evan Carter has been in a slump in recent games.
Over the last 14 days, Evan Carter has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a 1.2° angle.
In notching a .206 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Evan Carter is positioned in the 21st percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the 9th-worst park in the league for lefty home runs.
Evan Carter’s 85.4-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in MLB since the start of last season: 15th percentile.
The #3 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 20th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Hunter Goodman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 7th-deepest CF fences today.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Hunter Goodman today.
Hunter Goodman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 20.8% to 12.8%.
Over the past week, Hunter Goodman’s 4.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.8%.
Jordan Beck will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Jordan Beck has been lucky this year, compiling a .366 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .067 discrepancy.
Based on Statcast metrics, Jordan Beck ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .223.
Grading out in the 16th percentile, Jordan Beck has notched a .344 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season.
Antonio Senzatela will hold the platoon advantage against Wyatt Langford in today’s matchup.
Wyatt Langford’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 93.4-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 73.9-mph in the last 7 days.
Wyatt Langford’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 15.8% to 9.4%.
As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Antonio Senzatela in the 1st percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.
Antonio Senzatela will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Antonio Senzatela wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out in his previous game started and posted 0 Ks.
It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Antonio Senzatela has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 57.2% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Antonio Senzatela’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 13th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball right now.
Recording 14.6 outs per GS this year on average, Antonio Senzatela places in the 24th percentile.
The Texas Rangers have been the unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games,Patrick Corbin will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan McMahon in today’s game.
Ryan McMahon will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Sporting a .209 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Ryan McMahon is positioned in the 10th percentile.
From last season to this one, Joc Pederson’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16% to 11.9%.
Joc Pederson’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 43.7% to 36.9%.
The worst projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Colorado Rockies.
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats across the board, and Patrick Corbin will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Patrick Corbin in the 16th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.
In his previous start, Patrick Corbin didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out and only managed to post 0 Ks.
Patrick Corbin’s 90.2-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a notable 1.2-mph drop off from last year’s 91.4-mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 16th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Hitting from the same side that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Marcus Semien will have a tough matchup today.
This year, Marcus Semien’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) is in the 21st percentile at 89.9 mph.
Marcus Semien’s launch angle of late (4.3° in the last week) is quite a bit worse than his 17.1° seasonal angle.
Jonah Heim’s BABIP skill is projected in the 3rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jonah Heim is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Antonio Senzatela,Jonah Heim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 7th-deepest CF fences today.
In the last 14 days, Jonah Heim’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.8% down to 0%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Stallings in the 10th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Jacob Stallings is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jacob Stallings today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Stallings in the 7th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Batting from the same side that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Adolis Garcia encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Adolis Garcia has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph dropping to 87.2-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
Adolis Garcia’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, going from 34.1% on the season to 19% over the past week.
By putting up a 4.3 K/BB rate this year, Adolis Garcia has shown weak plate discipline, grading out in the 15th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Owen Miller in the 12th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Owen Miller is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
In today’s matchup, Owen Miller is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.5% rate (94th percentile).
Owen Miller will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Owen Miller ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Alan Trejo ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Alan Trejo is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alan Trejo in today’s game.
Josh Jung is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Josh Jung will have a tough challenge today.
Today, Josh Jung is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.4% rate (99th percentile).
As it relates to plate discipline, Josh Jung’s skill is quite weak, putting up a 4.96 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 7th percentile.
Ezequiel Duran is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.
Antonio Senzatela will hold the platoon advantage over Ezequiel Duran in today’s game.
As it relates to his batting average, Ezequiel Duran has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .237 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .212.
Utilizing Statcast data, Ezequiel Duran grades out in the 2nd percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .248.
Michael Toglia will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Michael Toglia has put up a .256 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 3rd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Grading out in the 12th percentile, Michael Toglia has put up a .254 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Bouchard in the 10th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
Sean Bouchard is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Sean Bouchard today.
Sean Bouchard has recorded a .250 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 14th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
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