
CIN @ NYY





Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees
Series Game 2
Wednesday, July 3rd
2024-07-03 19:05:00 EST Game Start Time / First Pitch
MLB Player match stats positives for Cincinnati at New York Series Game 2 Matchup
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Spencer Steer is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.
Spencer Steer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today’s game.
Spencer Steer has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph to 91.3-mph in the past 14 days.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 16.7°, Spencer Steer has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.8°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jonathan India is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.
On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Jonathan India will have an edge today.
Jonathan India has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.1-mph mark.
The 2nd-best projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the New York Yankees.
With 7 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Andrew Abbott will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.
Andrew Abbott is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #7 HR venue among all major league parks in this matchup.
Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Andrew Abbott (40.6% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today’s game with 3 FB hitters in New York’s projected batting order.
Levi Jordan will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Rodon today.
Extreme flyball batters like Levi Jordan usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Carlos Rodon.
Santiago Espinal will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Rodon in today’s matchup.
Santiago Espinal has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.
Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Gleyber Torres will have an edge in today’s game.
Gleyber Torres has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
J.D. Davis’s BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
J.D. Davis is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
J.D. Davis will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott today.
J.D. Davis has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
Extreme groundball hitters like J.D. Davis tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Andrew Abbott.
Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
Jeimer Candelario has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 8.4% seasonal rate to 15% in the past 14 days.
In the past 14 days, Jeimer Candelario has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 25.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.8°.
Checking in at the 89th percentile, Jeimer Candelario sits with a .331 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Elly De La Cruz’s launch angle this season (10.6°) is significantly higher than his 3.4° figure last year.
Elly De La Cruz’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (23.2° over the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 12.4° seasonal mark.
Elly De La Cruz has posted a .347 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile.
Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Stuart Fairchild will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Stuart Fairchild’s launch angle this year (21°) is a considerable increase over his 14.1° mark last season.
Stuart Fairchild’s launch angle lately (26° in the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 21° seasonal mark.
Jose Trevino will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott today.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jose Trevino will hold that advantage today.
Jose Trevino has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 91.1-mph in the last 14 days.
Power-wise, Jose Trevino grades out in the 88th percentile, having averaged 27.2 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Anthony Volpe will have an edge today.
Anthony Volpe has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Santiago Espinal’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Santiago Espinal has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .193 mark is a fair amount lower than his .238 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Out of every team today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.
Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitters such as Juan Soto with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Andrew Abbott who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
The Cincinnati Reds have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season, With 9 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Carlos Rodon faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.
Carlos Rodon is an extreme flyball pitcher (41.2% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #7 HR venue in Major League Baseball in this game.
In his previous GS, Carlos Rodon allowed a colossal 8 earned runs.
Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
Aaron Judge will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott in today’s game.
Aaron Judge will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.
Tyler Stephenson will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today’s matchup.
Tyler Stephenson has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
DJ LeMahieu will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott in today’s game.
DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
Extreme flyball hitters like DJ LeMahieu are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Abbott.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Davis in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Jonathan India’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 48.5% on the season to 61.1% in the past 14 days.
Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Carlos Rodon in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Carlos Rodon is projected to throw 98 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-most of all pitchers on the slate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Yankee Stadium as the 9th-best park in the league for strikeouts.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Alex Verdugo will hold that advantage today.
In terms of plate discipline, Alex Verdugo’s skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.8 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 85th percentile.
Jonathan India has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.3% seasonal rate to 13.9% over the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.270) implies that Alex Verdugo has experienced some negative variance this year with his .241 actual batting average.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Andrew Abbott has averaged 92.3 adjusted pitches per start this year, placing in the 78th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
This year, Tyler Stephenson has an average exit velocity of 90.5 mph, which is among the best in the league at the 76th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
DJ LeMahieu will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Wednesday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Reds vs Yankees Matchup
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #24 venue in the majors for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Yankee Stadium’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.
Typically, hitters like Spencer Steer who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Carlos Rodon.
Jonathan India has been pinch hit for 10% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year.
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #26 venue in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Today, Jonathan India is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.5% rate (77th percentile).
It may be best to expect worse results for the New York Yankees offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 9th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Jim Wolf) behind the plate today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the worst ballpark in baseball for base hits.
Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium’s centerfield fences are the 5th-deepest.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Levi Jordan ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Levi Jordan is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
When assessing his home run ability, Santiago Espinal ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Santiago Espinal is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.
When starting against a southpaw this year, Santiago Espinal has been pulled from the game early 11% of the time.
Over the last week, Gleyber Torres’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.
Gleyber Torres has put up a .275 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 14th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When starting against a lefty hurler this year, J.D. Davis has been pinch hit for 21% of the time.
There has been a significant decline in J.D. Davis’s launch angle from last season’s 7.6° to 2.6° this season.
Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeimer Candelario today.
As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will bat from his weak side against Carlos Rodon in today’s game.
Elly De La Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Stuart Fairchild is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Stuart Fairchild has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 46% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jose Trevino ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jose Trevino is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.
Jose Trevino has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 6.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past two weeks.
Anthony Volpe’s launch angle this season (5.1°) is significantly lower than his 14.1° figure last season.
In the last week’s worth of games, Anthony Volpe’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.9%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Trevino in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Gleyber Torres’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 44.4% to 36.7%.
Jeimer Candelario has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph dropping to 83.6-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Andrew Abbott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Juan Soto today.
Juan Soto has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 18.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 12.5% over the past two weeks.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Carlos Rodon’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 79th percentile out of all SPs in the league right now.
Jose Trevino, the Yankees’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In today’s game, Aaron Judge is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.1% rate (78th percentile).
Extreme groundball batters like Aaron Judge generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Abbott.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 18.6°, Aaron Judge’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (15.4° in the past 14 days).
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tyler Stephenson in today’s matchup.
Tyler Stephenson’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 48.3% to 40%.
DJ LeMahieu is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.
Over the last 7 days, DJ LeMahieu’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.8% down to 0%.
J.D. Davis has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 19.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly inflated relative to his 16.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Yankee Stadium grades out as the #24 field in the game for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Compared to his seasonal mark of 9°, Juan Soto has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.2°) over the past two weeks.
Alex Verdugo has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Alex Verdugo has a tough challenge in today’s game.
Alex Verdugo has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jonathan India in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 14th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Anthony Volpe has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 9.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 6.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andrew Abbott in today’s game.
Andrew Abbott wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out in his last start and accumulated 2 Ks.
It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Andrew Abbott has gone to his off-speed and breaking pitches 5% less often this year (45%) than he did last season (50%).
Stuart Fairchild pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.
Tyler Stephenson’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (9.9°) is quite a bit lower than his 13.7° mark last season.
Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Spencer Steer today.
Levi Jordan will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
