Series Game 3 Matchup Details

New York Mets at Washington Nationals
Series Game 3
Wednesday, July 3rd
2024-07-03 18:45:00 EST Game Start Time / First Pitch

MLB Player match stats positives for New York at Washington Series Game 3 Matchup

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86, °.

The New York Mets outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

Nick Senzel will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Nick Senzel’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 11.4% to 21.7%.

When it comes to his batting average, Nick Senzel has had some very poor luck this year. His .211 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jesse Winker ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jesse Winker is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums.

Batting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Jesse Winker will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Christian Scott in today’s game.

James Wood is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Mark Vientos will hold the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today’s game.

Mark Vientos has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 15.7% seasonal rate to 26.1% in the last two weeks.

Joey Meneses’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Joey Meneses is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

Joey Meneses has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Lane Thomas ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Lane Thomas is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Jose Iglesias will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker today.

Jose Iglesias has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 2.6% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the last week.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Mitchell Parker.

Francisco Lindor has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 92.9-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyrone Taylor in the 77th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Tyrone Taylor will have an edge in today’s game.

Tyrone Taylor has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.8% seasonal rate to 21.7% in the past two weeks.

Tyrone Taylor has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 92.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Mark Vientos has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93.7-mph.

Compared to his seasonal average of 2.6°, Jacob Young has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 8.2° angle over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have an edge in today’s game.

Francisco Alvarez has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.5% seasonal rate to 21.7% over the past two weeks.

Francisco Alvarez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.8-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.7-mph mark.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 85°.

Luis Torrens will hold the platoon advantage over Mitchell Parker today.

Luis Torrens has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the league’s 11th-best home run batter.

Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Pete Alonso will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, Pete Alonso grades out in the 81st percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .337.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Christian Scott in the 77th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (David Rackley) behind the plate today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) projects as a good pitch framer.

The New York Mets projected lineup projects as the 4th-strongest on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.

Nationals Park profiles as the #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Mitchell Parker’s 2188-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 19th percentile out of all starters.

Luis Garcia’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Luis Garcia will have an advantage today.

CJ Abrams’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

CJ Abrams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Scott today.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

The Barrel% of Mark Vientos has significantly improved, with an increase from 10.7% last year to 15.7% this year.

CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the majors.

James Wood will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

Brandon Nimmo has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP.

As it relates to plate discipline, Nick Senzel’s talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.84 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 83rd percentile.

Joey Meneses will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Joey Meneses’s launch angle lately (19.5° in the past week) is a considerable increase over his 8.1° seasonal figure.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luis Garcia stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Lane Thomas has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 90.1-mph figure.

Jose Iglesias’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyrone Taylor’s launch angle recently (25.8° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 17.1° seasonal mark.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mitchell Parker has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting a 7.21 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.20 — a 1 K/9 gap.

Wednesday Series Game 3 player match stat slumps with Mets vs Nationals Matchup

Nick Senzel is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Nick Senzel has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 10% of the time.

Nationals Park ranks as the #26 field in baseball for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Christian Scott will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Senzel in today’s matchup.

In the past week, Nick Senzel’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.

The #4 venue in the league for suppressing offensive stats to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.

Jesse Winker has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 8.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last week.

Jesse Winker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 14.7% to 9.6%.

Jesse Winker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, going from 9.6% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.315) may lead us to conclude that Jesse Winker has been very fortunate this year with his .346 actual wOBA.

James Wood is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

Mark Vientos will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Mark Vientos has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .305 figure is inflated compared to his .255 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the same side that Christian Scott throws from, Joey Meneses will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Joey Meneses has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 92.2-mph.

Joey Meneses has put up a .270 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 11th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Grading out in the 15th percentile, Joey Meneses sits with a .270 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Hitting from the same side that Christian Scott throws from, Lane Thomas will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Lane Thomas’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 2nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Jose Iglesias is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

14% of the time that Jose Iglesias has started against a southpaw this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Jose Iglesias will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Jose Iglesias has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph dropping to 84.5-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Tyrone Taylor is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

23% of the time that Tyrone Taylor has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tyrone Taylor today.

When it comes to plate discipline, Tyrone Taylor’s talent is quite poor, putting up a 4.41 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 11th percentile.

Jacob Young is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits.

Hitting from the same side that Christian Scott throws from, Jacob Young has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Jacob Young’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 86.5-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 83.9-mph over the last two weeks.

Over the last 14 days, Jacob Young has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

As it relates to his home run skill, Jacob Young ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Francisco Alvarez in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.304) provides evidence that Francisco Alvarez has had positive variance on his side this year with his .374 actual wOBA.

Francisco Alvarez has put up a .268 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 16th percentile.

The #3 park in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.

Luis Torrens is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

Luis Torrens has been pinch hit for 40% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher since the start of last season.

The #8 park in the game for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Torrens today.

Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Pete Alonso’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 94.9-mph average last year has lowered to 91.1-mph.

Pete Alonso’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (13.2°) is a significant dropoff from his 16.3° figure last year.

Pete Alonso’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, falling from 14.8% on the season to 7.1% in the last 7 days.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (26.6) suggests that Pete Alonso has been lucky this year with his 29.7 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Scott to throw 84 pitches today (7th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 6th-worst park in the game for strikeouts.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Scott today.

The New York Mets have been the 6th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season, Due to his large reverse platoon split, Mitchell Parker will be in a good position facing 7 hitters in the projected batting order of the opposite hand in today’s outing.

Mitchell Parker will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his metrics across the board.

In his last start, Mitchell Parker was in good form and gave up 2 ER.

Luis Garcia has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 7.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days.

As it relates to plate discipline, Luis Garcia’s ability is quite bad, posting a 3.92 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 18th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates CJ Abrams’s true offensive ability to be a .313, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .051 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .364 wOBA.

Despite posting a .394 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mark Vientos has experienced some positive variance given the .081 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Christian Scott’s overall pitching talent is in the 87th percentile out of all starters in the game currently.

The 4th-weakest projected batting order of the day in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Washington Nationals.

Christian Scott was in good form in his previous game started and conceded 2 ER.

Hitting from the same side that Mitchell Parker throws from, Brandon Nimmo faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Nimmo today.

When it comes to his home runs, Brandon Nimmo has been very fortunate this year. His 22.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 19.9.

Nick Senzel’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 87.4-mph figure last year has fallen off to 84.5-mph.

Power-wise, Joey Meneses has performed in the 6th percentile, having paced 5.1 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Mitchell Parker is projected to throw 84 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-least on the slate.