Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays
Series Game 3
Wednesday, July 3rd
2024-07-03 19:07:00 EST Game Start Time / First Pitch

MLB Player match stats positives for Houston at Toronto Series Game 3 Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Jake Meyers is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

In MLB, Rogers Centre’s CF fences are the 6th-shallowest.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for bats.

Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Jake Meyers will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage today.

Compared to his seasonal average of 18.1°, Ernie Clement has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 24.6° angle in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yusei Kikuchi in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.

Yusei Kikuchi has averaged 91.6 adjusted pitches per GS this year, grading out in the 76th percentile.

Alejandro Kirk, the Blue Jays’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #7 ballpark in the majors for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Jeremy Pena will have the handedness advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today’s game.

There has been a significant improvement in Jeremy Pena’s launch angle from last year’s 5.5° to 8.7° this season.

Mauricio Dubon’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Mauricio Dubon will have the upper hand today.

Mauricio Dubon’s launch angle of late (20.8° over the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 13.4° seasonal angle.

Ronel Blanco has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 6.8 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average pitcher.

The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Ronel Blanco’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (63.6% this year) ought to work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

Grading out in the 87th percentile, Ronel Blanco posted a 13.2% Swinging Strike% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Chas McCormick will have an edge today.

Chas McCormick has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9.9% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Rogers Centre projects as the #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Alex Bregman will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

George Springer is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

George Springer will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB.

Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs.

Yordan Alvarez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Alex Bregman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Jose Altuve will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average ability.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Joey Loperfido hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Joey Loperfido is notably quick, checking in at the 89th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.88 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Yainer Diaz is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Yainer Diaz will have an advantage in today’s game.

When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Yusei Kikuchi in the 91st percentile among all starters in MLB.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Yusei Kikuchi will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Yordan Alvarez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.6% up to 18.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Yainer Diaz ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 7th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Spencer Horwitz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronel Blanco in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 11th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average ability.

Bo Bichette is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Bo Bichette will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Alejandro Kirk has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.5-mph average to last year’s 90.6-mph average.

Mauricio Dubon’s launch angle this year (13.4°) is considerably higher than his 9.7° mark last year.

Wednesday Series Game 3 player match stat slumps with Astros vs Blue Jays Matchup

The #7 park in baseball for suppressing base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

The league’s 8th-highest fences can be found at Rogers Centre.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Meyers today.

Over the last 7 days, Jake Meyers’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 14.3%.

Over the last 7 days, Jake Meyers’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.1%.

Ernie Clement is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Ronel Blanco will have the handedness advantage against Ernie Clement in today’s game.

Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.

The 5th-best projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Houston Astros.

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Dan Iassogna) calling pitches in today’s game.

The Houston Astros have 8 bats in the projected lineup that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in this game.

Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Jeremy Pena has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.6-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph figure.

Mauricio Dubon is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Mauricio Dubon in today’s matchup.

Mauricio Dubon’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 86.3-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 80.3-mph in the last 7 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 18.6% underlying K%.

Yainer Diaz, the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ronel Blanco will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Chas McCormick is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

17% of the time that Chas McCormick has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Chas McCormick will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Posting a .226 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Chas McCormick finds himself in the 24th percentile.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alex Bregman in today’s matchup.

Alex Bregman’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 89.2-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 86.4-mph over the past two weeks.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Alex Bregman’s 6.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.7%.

Alex Bregman has been cold lately, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) in the past week’s worth of games.

Ronel Blanco will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Springer in today’s game.

Placing in the 10th percentile, George Springer sits with a .242 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 20th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Batting from the same side that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yordan Alvarez today.

Yordan Alvarez’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 92.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 90.5-mph in the past week.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.368) may lead us to conclude that Yordan Alvarez has had some very good luck this year with his .382 actual wOBA.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Altuve in today’s matchup.

Jose Altuve has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph dropping to 78.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

When it comes to his batting average, Jose Altuve has had some very good luck this year. His .308 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .277.

Hitting from the same side that Ronel Blanco throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Joey Loperfido is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Joey Loperfido will have a tough matchup today.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Joey Loperfido in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yainer Diaz today.

Over the past 7 days, Yainer Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 91.8 mph to 79.1 mph.

Yainer Diaz’s launch angle this season (8.2°) is quite a bit worse than his 11.3° mark last year.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Houston Astros with a 19% underlying K%.

Rogers Centre grades out as the #23 ballpark in the league for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.330) may lead us to conclude that Jose Altuve has been very fortunate this year with his .357 actual wOBA.

Yordan Alvarez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased lately, falling from 43% on the season to 35.5% over the last 14 days.

Spencer Horwitz has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 7 days.

Despite posting a .403 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Spencer Horwitz has been very fortunate given the .084 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .319.

In the last week’s worth of games, Yainer Diaz’s 4.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.8%.

Toronto Blue Jays batters collectively have been among the worst in MLB this year ( 3rd-worst) when it comes to their 87.9-mph average exit velocity.

Sporting a .340 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Chas McCormick finds himself in the 23rd percentile.

Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Ronel Blanco will hold the platoon advantage over Alejandro Kirk in today’s matchup.

Alejandro Kirk has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 5.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last week.

Alejandro Kirk’s launch angle in recent games (-3.3° in the last week’s worth of games) is a significant dropoff from his 12.4° seasonal figure.

Ronel Blanco will have the handedness advantage over Bo Bichette in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 7.4°, Bo Bichette has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.1°) over the past two weeks.

Bo Bichette’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (3.7°) is considerably lower than his 7.8° mark last season.

Bo Bichette has paced 10.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 18th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his home run ability, Ernie Clement ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ernie Clement’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 91.4-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 88.9-mph in the last two weeks.

Mauricio Dubon’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 45.2% to 39.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 16th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.